Usr Flyr Profile picture
Sep 12 9 tweets 3 min read
$GS Goldman’s Apple Card business has a surprising subprime problem Goldman’s loss rate on credit card loans is the worst among big U.S. card issuers and “well above subprime lenders” at 2.93%, according to a Sept. 6 note from JPMorgan. cnbc.com/2022/09/12/gol…
The profile of Goldman’s card customers actually resembles that of issuers known for their subprime offerings. More than a quarter of Goldman’s card loans have gone to customers with FICO scores below 660
Goldman’s losses are also higher than that of Capital One, the largest subprime player among big banks, which had a 2.26% charge-off rate.
“If there’s one thing Goldman is supposed to be good at, its risk management,” said Jason Mikula, a former Goldman employee who now consults for the industry. “So how do they have charge-off rates comparable to a subprime portfolio?”
$COF 30% of its loans were to customers with FICO <660, a band that contains near-prime and subprime users. $GS sub-660 customers was 28% as of June.

Meanwhile, $JPM 12% of its loans were to users with <660 scores, $BAC said that 3.7% of loans were tied to FICO scores under 620.
$GS Finger-pointing among execs begins at Goldman Sachs, immediately turns nasty pagesix.com/2022/09/14/fin…
$GS ‘s head of IB sounds like Cathie in this interview. #puts.
$GS “We’re told that top execs are less tickled by Solomon’s sideline as a DJ now that the economy is looking more grim.” Image
$GS Goldman Sachs yanks ‘free coffee’ perk as bankers return to five-day week. nypost.com/2022/09/11/gol…

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More from @FlyrUsr

Sep 15
See what happened ? Bulls feel relaxed bcos the floor didn’t open up. And there was green sprinkled to entertain the masses. Yet the index bled some more. THIS is distribution. Big money buys over time. And price is supported.
Whenever I see moronic pumping off the open -ABSENT MACRO OR STOCK CATALYST - I automatically think that it’s decoy of some sort .
It’s either just a short setup pump (similar to in bear markets when Asia or Europe opens - and we have been selling - first thing they do is rip es off the open - then dump it back down.
Read 15 tweets
Sep 15
The next financial crisis may already be brewing — but not where investors might expect marketwatch.com/story/the-next…
A growing number of traders, academics, and bond-market gurus are worried that the $24 trillion market for U.S. Treasury debt could be headed for a crisis as the Federal Reserve kicks its “quantitative tightening” into high gear this month.
BAC interest-rate strategist Ralph Axel warned the bank’s clients that “declining liquidity and resiliency of the Treasury market arguably poses one of the greatest threats to global financial stability today, potentially worse than the housing bubble of 2004-2007.”
Read 8 tweets
Sep 15
Goldman Sachs preparing layoffs across 👉all departments👈 as soon as next week: report. $GS nypost.com/2022/09/12/gol…
“Over the summer, JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley both reported surprisingly steep profit drops. JPMorgan revealed its investment banking fees tanked 54% in the most recent quarter. Morgan Stanley said its equity underwriting fees were off 86%. “. $JPM $MS
Things must be worse than they’re letting on given this nickel and diming by $GS. not that it’s odd for a bank to do this but for GS to be ok with tainting its image
Read 4 tweets
Sep 14
$SPY daily candle Image
$SPY daily raindrop instead of a candle Image
4h candle Image
Read 4 tweets
Sep 14
Sentiment and elf flow wise bulls have advantage today. If they don’t meaningfully convert that should be a tell in itself. But just thinking conceptually what’s the path to Fed LOWERING the rates ? None without blood. Right.?
I mean let’s say if Fed is done whether at 5 or 4.25 or in between. Lots of suits were getting all 💦💦 on hard hikes cuz they think Fed smashes the economy and will have to stimulate but what if they don’t ?
What if the dip buyers just keep prostrating in front of Fed moved and they keep taking it without selling off ? So you’re left with higher rates. The hikes are yet to make their way into consumer pain.
Read 4 tweets
Sep 13
Bond default insurers Image
Credit rating agencies and consumer credit. They get paid when? When new debt is issued, when people pull reports for homes/autos etc. Image
$MCO Image
Read 4 tweets

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