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Sep 13 • 12 tweets • 5 min read
Image unloading 45 year old DPRK 122mm Grad rockets with crystalized explosives & propellent exactly this way.

I'd want to be concrete bunker 3 postal codes away from that.

Logistics intel🧵

This is the real Soviet/🇷🇺 Army artillery logistics the CIA didn't know existed...
1/
...until Tik Tok videos like that rubbed it in their faces Russian forces didn't use forklifts or any other kind of mechanized kit.

I publicly shoved this fact in their face back in April 2022...
2/
...because they deserved the ridicule.

Now let's add a bit more salt to that 80 years of Ivy league graduate degree recruiting, upper class, cognitive bias stupidity wound.

3/
This is the 20 May 1944 War Department Technical Manual 55-310 Stevedoring.

It codified the use of mechanized logistics within the War Department during WW2.

4/ Image
These are photographs of WW2 US War Department mechanized logistics with pallets and forklifts for unloading trains, plus gravity roller conveyors.

Compare them to the Russian Army logistics video that started this🧵

5/ ImageImageImage
May 1944's TM 55-310 Stevedoring showed & described the use of pallets.

6/ Image
TM 55-310 Stevedoring both showed & described how to use gravity roller conveyors.

7/ ImageImage
And finally, TM 55-310 Stevedoring went into great detail in the text describing the role & importance of forklifts.

8/ Image
When you do an internet search on "TM 55-310 Stevedoring," you will find a history manuscript of how the US Army moved cargo in WW2.

The US Army even approved some types of artillery shells for palletization in 1945.
9/ ImageImage
This is the single worse intelligence failure by Western Intelligence, and the CIA in particular...ever.

This was four generations of logistical intelligence failure.

This failure has done profound damage to the American military's professional military education & training
10/
...which I intend to lay out in great detail in a future thread.

H/T @LIM49Spartan for the photos in this 🧵🧵

11/11 End.
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More from @TrentTelenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 13
With the AFU units at Sviatohirsk, Ukrainian ground forces have bounced a possible Siverskyi Donets River defensive line & can rapidly move behind Russian/LPR/DPR forces at Lyman and Lysychansk.

AFU progress 🧵
1/6
This tweet and the next retweet from @wartranslated sums up the tactical situation for Russian/LPR/DPR forces at Lyman and Lysychansk.

2/6
Sievierodonetsk may soon be flanked from the rear.

3/6
Read 7 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 13
@PhillipsPOBrien Ukraine has certainly captured Russia railway engine & rolling stock from Kupyansk south to Izyum & likely captured most between Vovchansk & Kupyansk.

The huge stocks captured at Izyum can be moved up to the Kupyansk marshalling yard & then south to supply the invasion of LPR.
@PhillipsPOBrien Railways are far superior logistical supply lines than trucks on Ukrainian roads, if they go the right way.

The rail network out of Kupyansk does just that, & the Russians left behind all the supplies Ukraine needs for this strategic offensive.

It's not over, but the fat
@PhillipsPOBrien ...lady is getting ready to sing.

The LPR is going down in the next two weeks and the DPR shortly afterwards.

Ukraine has the LPR/DPR outnumbered, with rail supply, facing no real east-west obstacles, & LPR/DPR are lacking enough troops for an east-west defense line in any case
Read 4 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 12
This is the most important logistical observation in today's ISW report.

Ukraine's "Kupyansk Blitzkrieg" has been running mainly on captured Russian vehicles, fuel & ammo for the last three days.

And the most important captured Russian vehicles are train engines and rail
1/6
...car rolling stock.

The Ukrainian capture of this Russian railway rolling stock filled with supplies is why the Russian Army abandoned all of the Kharkiv Oblast.

The Russians did this to the Nazis in Operation Bagration.

2/6
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation…
The Russians knew how Ukraine was going to do it to them and their collective guilty consciousnesses over their genocidal ethnic cleansing of Ukrainians did the rest.

3/6
Read 6 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 12
The other possibility is this is a Kherson style demonstration to freeze Russian forces in place while AFU armored columns sweeps into the LPR/DPR territory from the north.

They are the schwerpunkt of Russia's "Special Operation."

1/4
When the LPR/DPR fall. The AFU pushing waves of displaces Russian Donbas colonists into Russia like paste out of a tube of toothpaste stomped on by Andre the Giant will freeze the Russian Army in border control/regime protection duties for several weeks.

2/4
This will be long enough to roll up all remaining Russian forces in Ukraine.

The Russian Army is simply too small to maintain control of any territory inside Ukraine's pre-2014 borders without the Russian LPR/DPR colonist forces, to include Crimea.

3/4
Read 4 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 12
Russian & colonial militia forces in Lyman are flanked with AFU units sitting on their supply lines to the North.

They can run or fight/lose/surrender.

It doesn't look like Russian forces have any good defensive line geography East of Donetsk city.
1/
AFU troops are saying the RuAF abandoned all of their equipment & ammo in Izyum intact. Other reports say the same across other areas of Kharkiv. This should be enough to equip another 10k-20k AFU troops.

Russia has an extremely fragile remaining force
2/
 ft.com/content/72afd7…
The thing is a retreat to a 'Donetsk city line' after all the other defeats will be like the last French hold line in 1940.

There won't be enough people both equipped & willing to fight.

The human/moral factor with the LPR/DPR colonial militia's

3/
Read 5 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 11
Russia is not going to like Ukraine playing by Russia's rules on civilian power grids.

Russia's power grid is wide open to Ukrainian Alibaba drone/DYI cruise missile strikes.

Now Ukraine has every incentive to go there.🧵
1/
And Russia's very centralized, corruption ridden, and economically sanctioned power grid is far less robust than most people realize.

See @Aviation_Intel here for what I am referring too regards the drone.

2/
The damage such drone can do is all out of proportion to their size.

Spools of carbon fiber thread are small, light and highly effective at stopping the electric power grid.

They have been available since the early 1990's

3/
 apnews.com/article/c3c07b…
Read 17 tweets

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