Does increased visibility of radical-right parties translate into electoral gains?, asks @alexjabbour at #APSA2022
Visibility can indicate high support, which can generate further support, but could also mobilize people against the RRP.
So, what happens? 1/4
Visibility can indicate high support, which can generate further support, but could also mobilize people against the RRP.
So, what happens? 1/4
Visibility can both be shaped by media attention or election results (e.g., entry into parliament).
Prior research suggests that electoral entry does boost support in next election but this could also reflect more institutional support. 2/4
Prior research suggests that electoral entry does boost support in next election but this could also reflect more institutional support. 2/4
How can we establish causality? This study use qualifications to 2nd election round in France as a case. These qualifications are quasi-random, if we focus on just being below or above the needed threshold. 3/4
The question then is: Does narrow qualifications inhibit or boost electoral support in next election?
The results suggests that there is no electoral gain BUT success of RRPs seems to decrease *overall* voter turnout. Further data & analyses are needed to understand this. 4/4
The results suggests that there is no electoral gain BUT success of RRPs seems to decrease *overall* voter turnout. Further data & analyses are needed to understand this. 4/4
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