It isn't in Germany's economic interest to have pre-2014 border Ukraine in both NATO & the European Union.
Ukraine is a lower labor cost heavy industry & aerospace competitor to Germany's economy.
What German officials are saying makes sense, to THEM, in light of that fact.
2/4
Doing things that make the Russo-Ukrainian War longer & more damaging to Ukraine's industrial economy is in it's political-economic interests.
Making foreigners think the German elites are crazy, not calculating, is also in their interests.
3/4
My advice in looking at the Stoltz government from now onwards is to ignore whatever stupid things they are publicly uttering and closely evaluate the policy results for the German economy in terms of market competition.
"Follow the money."
You seldom go wrong doing so.
4/4
And yes, it is spelled Scholz.🤦♂️🤦♀️🤦
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At a rough guess, Russia abandoned a mechanized division worth of fighting vehicles, a reinforcing brigade's worth of artillery, and between a fifth and a third of it's artillery shell reserves in Ukraine behind in the Kharkiv Oblast.
It will take a month(+) to effect repairs & replace Soviet radios with encrypted NATO spec radios in the Kharkiv gear.
The near-cut off nature of Russia's Kherson beachhead means Ukraine will likely capture another divisions worth of military fighting vehicles & artillery.
2/
1-2 full divisions' worth of "trophied" Russian vehicle sets & up to 1 million captured Russian artillery shells covers most of the shortfall in supply from the West required to build AFU numbers up for the "deoccupation" of the South and Crimea.
3/
The US military has a term called "Gundecking" regards falsification of reports and preventive maintenance.
2/
The biggest reason for a professional NCO Corps in the US Military to to fall like the a hammer of G-d on enlisted folks who are gundecking the preventive maintenance.
The difference between Putin in 2022 and Saddam in 1991 is that Saddam had far more of his regime security forces, "The Republican Guard," survive, both as a percentage and in total numbers, than Putin has had of the 60K personnel in Russia's regime security forces.
2/
I put together a "Regime Security Force" unit list back in 2016 as follows:
31st Guards Airborne-Assault Brigade from Ulyanovsk
With the AFU units at Sviatohirsk, Ukrainian ground forces have bounced a possible Siverskyi Donets River defensive line & can rapidly move behind Russian/LPR/DPR forces at Lyman and Lysychansk.