@RALee85 called this statement by German military officials 'Bizarre.'

It isn't.

When people say public things that make no sense.

Look for hidden money & power reasons as those are the left & right hands of politics.

1/4
It isn't in Germany's economic interest to have pre-2014 border Ukraine in both NATO & the European Union.

Ukraine is a lower labor cost heavy industry & aerospace competitor to Germany's economy.

What German officials are saying makes sense, to THEM, in light of that fact.
2/4
Doing things that make the Russo-Ukrainian War longer & more damaging to Ukraine's industrial economy is in it's political-economic interests.

Making foreigners think the German elites are crazy, not calculating, is also in their interests.

3/4
My advice in looking at the Stoltz government from now onwards is to ignore whatever stupid things they are publicly uttering and closely evaluate the policy results for the German economy in terms of market competition.

"Follow the money."

You seldom go wrong doing so.

4/4
And yes, it is spelled Scholz.🤦‍♂️🤦‍♀️🤦

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More from @TrentTelenko

Sep 17
This tweet, in one photos, demonstrates why Western airborne & amphibious power projection forces are obsolete as now designed.🧵

They don't have air droppable or helilift medium range counter rocket artillery & mortar (C-RAM) defense necessary to deal with the proliferation
1/
of TB-2 class MALE drones. TB-2's have 100 km range cameras.

They can loiter below 1,200 feet at 50 km and allow artillery & multiple rocket launchers to accurately target air and beach head logistics.

There is no way you can land a C-17 to offload MPF light tanks if the
2/ Image
...runway is under observed artillery fire from a TB-2 talking to a battery of Chinese made MLRS that can reach 130km.

Chinese weapons are proliferating all over Africa & S.E. Asia

3/
Read 34 tweets
Sep 15
At a rough guess, Russia abandoned a mechanized division worth of fighting vehicles, a reinforcing brigade's worth of artillery, and between a fifth and a third of it's artillery shell reserves in Ukraine behind in the Kharkiv Oblast.

Logistics & Armistice🧵
1/
It will take a month(+) to effect repairs & replace Soviet radios with encrypted NATO spec radios in the Kharkiv gear.

The near-cut off nature of Russia's Kherson beachhead means Ukraine will likely capture another divisions worth of military fighting vehicles & artillery.
2/
1-2 full divisions' worth of "trophied" Russian vehicle sets & up to 1 million captured Russian artillery shells covers most of the shortfall in supply from the West required to build AFU numbers up for the "deoccupation" of the South and Crimea.

3/
Read 14 tweets
Sep 14
@ChrisO_wiki has a very on-point thread here on the culture of lying that has hollowed out Russian military professionalism.

The West & Americans in particular should not feel smug about this 'not happening here.'

1/
The US military has a term called "Gundecking" regards falsification of reports and preventive maintenance.

2/
The biggest reason for a professional NCO Corps in the US Military to to fall like the a hammer of G-d on enlisted folks who are gundecking the preventive maintenance.

3/
Read 10 tweets
Sep 14
We all knew this was happening to the Russian High Command & that it would get absolutely get the Russian Army defeated in Ukraine.

A fair amount of people in high positions in
a lot of Western governments made believe it wasn't true, reasons.

🇷🇺 collapse🧵
1/
The difference between Putin in 2022 and Saddam in 1991 is that Saddam had far more of his regime security forces, "The Republican Guard," survive, both as a percentage and in total numbers, than Putin has had of the 60K personnel in Russia's regime security forces.

2/
I put together a "Regime Security Force" unit list back in 2016 as follows:

31st Guards Airborne-Assault Brigade from Ulyanovsk

45th Guards VDV Spetsnaz Regiment from Kubinka

76th Guards VDV Air Assault Division at Pskov,
3/
Read 14 tweets
Sep 13
Image unloading 45 year old DPRK 122mm Grad rockets with crystalized explosives & propellent exactly this way.

I'd want to be concrete bunker 3 postal codes away from that.

Logistics intel🧵

This is the real Soviet/🇷🇺 Army artillery logistics the CIA didn't know existed...
1/
...until Tik Tok videos like that rubbed it in their faces Russian forces didn't use forklifts or any other kind of mechanized kit.

I publicly shoved this fact in their face back in April 2022...
2/
...because they deserved the ridicule.

Now let's add a bit more salt to that 80 years of Ivy league graduate degree recruiting, upper class, cognitive bias stupidity wound.

3/
Read 12 tweets
Sep 13
With the AFU units at Sviatohirsk, Ukrainian ground forces have bounced a possible Siverskyi Donets River defensive line & can rapidly move behind Russian/LPR/DPR forces at Lyman and Lysychansk.

AFU progress 🧵
1/6
This tweet and the next retweet from @wartranslated sums up the tactical situation for Russian/LPR/DPR forces at Lyman and Lysychansk.

2/6
Sievierodonetsk may soon be flanked from the rear.

3/6
Read 7 tweets

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