Mearsheimer just said that the US was bent on integrating Ukraine 🇺🇦 into the West and pursued it through NATO/EU expansion and Ukr democracy promotion. Who knew that Ukraine was more important to the US than to Russia. #APSA2022
According to JM, controlling Ukraine is existential to Russia so much so that they will escalate to nukes rather than lose. But Russia doesn’t want to conquer Ukraine. So why is it existential to control them? No explanation from Mearsheimer.
@OxanaShevel has destroyed every argument JM made it with evidence and with poise!
One of her points: Ru has tried to push/alter/punish every Ukr domestic policy it didn’t like. JM’s claim that Ru respects Ukr sovereignty and independence is baseless
JM (with emphasis) Ru are not trying to conquer Ukraine. They mobilized too few troops.
@kath_stoner responds: US invaded and conquered Iraq w fewer troops.
I should say, for the record, that @darelasn and Olena Nikolaenko both made detailed, nuanced and crucial points too and @kath_stoner’s opening was great. I couldn’t type as fast. The contrast between their expertise and JM’s assertions + misrepresentations of basics was huge.
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A 🧵for political scientists working on politics and society in Eastern Europe and Eurasia. @CambridgeUP is launching a new Elements Series on the region. The editors-- @LBustikova, @PetraGuasti, Gergana Yankova-Dimova, and I—are inviting pitches. 1/
Please, share widely!
What is a Cambridge Element? It's a short book (20-30K words) with quick turnaround. Individual Elements are original, succinct, authoritative, and peer-reviewed. They are organized into a focused series that provides coverage of key topics in the field. 2/
We will work with you closely through the review process and will promote your book when it’s out. Your book will be part of a thematically coherent series, which will increase its readership. 3/
Bulgarian govt alleges that numerous pundits, journalists, pollsters, and public figures received regular payments from the Russian embassy (~2K euro per month) to present Russian narratives in the media as independent analysis...
Pro-Ru opinion makers retort that US foundations in Bulgaria give grants too. One big difference is that US funding is transparent, whereas the alleged Russian funding is under cover and deceptive. This is not just because the US is a democracy w rule of law and Ru isn't...
It's also because US funding (mostly/ideally) seeks to enhance US soft power by promoting a set of values; it doesn't prioritize loyalty to the US. Ru funding, by contrast, pushes Ru interests exclusively. Ru offers no soft power. The supreme value is loyalty to Russia.
A 🧵on Yanukovych's 2014 removal to dispel some of the conspiracy talk out there. In short: it was not a coup! Rather, it was an ad hoc legal solution to power vacuum created by a crumbling executive. 1/
A coup is an "illegal and overt attempt by military or other elites within the state apparatus to unseat a sitting executive" (Powell & Thyne, 2011). The definition implies an elite-driven, not popular mobilization-driven process. Otherwise, revolutions would be coups. 2/
Also strongly implied is that the coup victim should be in clear control of the executive before the unseating attempt. Can you have a coup against an executive that has already crumbled and lost control over key state functions? No, that's not a coup, but govt collapse. 3/
A 🧵on the significance of EPPO's arrests of former 🇧🇬 PM Borissov and associates on suspicion of EU funds fraud. This is the beginning of a big-risk/big-pay-off move by the EPPO and the reformists in the 🇧🇬 governing coalition... /1
The arrests demonstrate EPPO aims high, dispelling some fears that it might become clogged/distracted by minor cases. Kovesi shows she is motivated to uncover grand corruption, just as she did in Romania./2
The arrests went around 🇧🇬's politically compromised, but inst powerful general prosecution. The 🇧🇬 govt reportedly plans to amend Criminal Code to allow *individual* prosecutors to refer cases to EPPO. Big political opportunity to democratize the prosecution and unclog it! /3