Strap in - The New York Times just published a report on Congress trading stocks and the findings are incredible!

- 97 Congress Members flagged
- 3,700 trades with a potential conflict of interest
- Stock plays with staggering accuracy

It's a big club, and we ain't in it 🧵
They found that 44 of the 50 members of Congress who were most active in the markets traded securities in companies over which *their committee assignments could give them some degree of knowledge or influence.*
The analysis also shows that 13 lawmakers (or immediate family members) had traded shares of companies that were under investigation by their committees between 2019 and 2021.

Let that sink in for a minute - They were trading stocks of companies they were supposed to monitor!
Here are some examples of incredible trades made by some of them 👇!

Alan Lowenthal, Rep from California, sold Boeing shares on March 5, 2020 — one day before a House committee on which he sits released damaging findings on the company’s handling of its 737 Max jet
Bob Gibbs, Rep from Ohio working on the House Oversight Committee, reported buying shares of the pharmaceutical company AbbVie in 2020 and 2021, while the committee was investigating AbbVie and five rivals over high drug prices.
Rep John W. Rose from Tennessee, sold between $100K and $250K worth of Wells Fargo stock in 2019, a few months before the committee issued a sharply critical report on Wells Fargo that coincided with a steep decline in the bank’s share price.
Mr. Tuberville as a member of the Senate health committee traded shares of major pharmaceutical and medical services companies.

He also sold put options on Microsoft less than two weeks before the software company lost a $10 billion contract with the Defense Department.
This is just the tip of the iceberg - Do check out the full report from @nytimes

nytimes.com/interactive/20…
@nytimes It's not just the New York Times who are following trades by Congress.

@unusual_whales released a full report where they showed all the members of congress who beat the market in 2021!

unusualwhales.com/i_am_the_senat…
@nytimes @unusual_whales @mkt_sentiment showed that you could beat the market by following trades of Senators

marketsentiment.substack.com/p/2020-congres…
@nytimes @unusual_whales @mkt_sentiment This is not even getting into investors like Nancy Pelosi who have made millions of dollars from the stock market and have dedicated trackers that just track her stock plays.

@PelosiTracker_
@nytimes @unusual_whales @mkt_sentiment @PelosiTracker_ I left out the party affiliation as this is about more than which side you are on.

It's high time that Congress Members are banned from trading stocks.

I am angry and you should be too! Its time for this to end.
Follow me @GrahamStephan for more interesting breakdowns and insights into the world of personal finance, investing and stock market.

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More from @GrahamStephan

Aug 31
There is a storm brewing in the housing market.

- Home sales are down 20%

- Mortgage demand is now at a 22-year low

- Even Blackstone has stopped home purchases!

Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist - National Association of Realtors said that we are in a "housing recession" 🧵
In 2021, home prices saw their highest increase (~17%) in 34 years as the median price of a home reached $346,000.

Last year, we also saw the median rent for a single-family home skyrocket to nearly $2,260!
So what's causing the sudden decline?

First, the FED raising interest rates has caused mortgage rates to nearly double: the median mortgage payment was $1,361 in July 2021, it is now $1,891😱.

Unsurprisingly, mortgage applications are 18% lower compared to last year
Read 10 tweets
Aug 25
Every single time in the past 50 years, an unemployment rate below 4% was followed by a recession and catastrophic job losses.

Right now, the unemployment rate is at 3.5%.

Here are recession indicators that have been 🚨🚨 for a while now👇 Image
Yield curve - A widely accepted indicator as a herald of recession, the yield curve has been inverted for a while now.

Not only that, the two-year yield was nearly 50 basis points higher than the 10-year rate, a milestone that we haven’t seen since August 2000. Image
Inflation – Since 1940, every time inflation went above 5%, a recession soon followed. Recently, we saw our inflation rate stabilizing around 8.5%.

Most often, Inflation peaks or stabilizes right before a recession. Image
Read 11 tweets
Aug 17
The Chinese economy is experiencing a near-complete collapse.

Nearly half a million customers have lost their deposits as the banks lent indiscriminately to housing developers who are now facing cascading defaults.

Here’s the story the Chinese Govt. doesn't want you to know 👇
All of this begins with one thing - Real Estate. Chinese are obsessed with Real Estate and 70% of China’s wealth is tied to real estate (twice as high as the US).

Reports are now emerging about real estate Ponzi schemes, Mortgage boycotts, and an unfolding banking crisis
Chinese citizens prefer to invest in Real Estate as the Chinese Stock Market is notoriously opaque and unreliable.
The Shanghai Composite (similar to our S&P 500) has not yet recovered from its 2008 peak, despite China's GDP growing by nearly 3 times since then!
Read 15 tweets
Aug 10
All of us have once been in a situation where we realized that we can't get a credit card without having a credit score...

But you can't get a credit score without having a credit card!

Fret not - I have evaluated 100s of options to find the 5 best credit cards for beginners👇
If you could just follow along with this thread, you will be able to get a perfect credit score as fast as possible, get a low-interest rate on your loans, and do all of this without spending a single dollar!
1. Discover it Secured Card - This one is considered the holy grail of credit cards for someone who is starting their credit journey.

I have recommended this card multiple times and it's because there is no other card that comes even close.
Read 15 tweets
Jul 31
A lot has changed from my first job to now - except for one habit.

This habit accelerated my journey towards building wealth.

It's not just me - Many people I know who built massive wealth all have this behavior in common.

Here's how you can use it to build wealth.👇
Here's the secret: Spend way lesser than you make.

Surprise!

No, this isn't about punishing yourself.

Saving $5 on a coffee isn't about waiting for a perfect day in the future when you can splurge

It's about preparing your mind to handle money. Let me tell you a crazy story.
Jack Whittaker won a lottery at 56 - for $314 Million!

Luckiest guy in the world? Not quite. Jack's marriage broke up, his granddaughter died of a drug overdose, and his house burned down.

Here's the kicker to the story - Jack was a millionaire even before the lottery!
Read 13 tweets
Jul 23
The auto industry collapse has just begun and this would be one of the worst times for you to buy a vehicle.

In a normal market (pre-2020), Auto Loan delinquencies hovered at 2 to 3%.

Today that number is exploding with nearly 1 in every 4 loans in default in Washington DC👇
The key issue that caused this is how Auto Loans are issued.

Currently, Americans owe more than $1.2 Trillion on auto loans (the highest in US history and a 75% increase from 2009).

Given the fact that more than 85% of cars are financed, we are looking at a massive problem.
I did some digging and found out that over the last 10 years, car dealerships have begun making more profits from the financing of cars rather than the car sales themselves.

Translating from auto sale to loan sale business has resulted in a loosely regulated grey market.
Read 12 tweets

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