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Sep 17 12 tweets 5 min read
@wartranslated 1/ This is an interesting call – it reflects themes I've covered previously, such as the demoralising effect of high casualties, why Russian soldiers are breaking and quitting the battlefield, and the uselessness of Russian commanders. (See link below).
@wartranslated 2/ Transcript follows:

(R1): How are you doing there? Tell me.

(R2): It's so fucked here. Three days ago... no four now... no, three... Anyway, we attached a "Zushka" [anti-air system] to an MT-LB [armoured fighting vehicle]. Went onto hohols [Ukrainians] on it. It was ATGM'd.
@wartranslated 3/ (R1) It was what?

(R2) ATGM'd. Fucked it with an ATGM [anti-tank guided missile], basically. One 200 [dead], two 300 [wounded], one is critical. And yesterday the last village which at the time was not taken away from us. It was attacked. Twelve 200 and two 300.
@wartranslated 4/ (R1) They're pressing you hard there... Did you fall back even more?

(R2) Yes, it's because the brigade commander is a retard. The village was in the very lowland, and they went to it, took defence in it.
@wartranslated 5/ (R2) They could view one side, but the other side where the enemy was they couldn't see. Didn't place checkpoints. In result, the snipers said how they sat on their checkpoint, looked at, basically, there was a hill behind the village.
@wartranslated 6/ (R2) On that hill, 300, 400 meters from the village were the hohols, ukrops. They said ukrops even had some formation, they were forming, discussing something. He [the sniper] said he was observing them, reported to the brigade commander. He responded: "Keep observing".
@wartranslated 7/ (R2) And in the end they observed enough, the next day they [the Ukrainians] were already bringing some crates. Another day they saw some buff guy in a t-shirt, with a carrying vest, standing waving to them. They reported to the brigade commander, he said, "Keep observing".
@wartranslated 8/ (R2) So they kept observing.

(R1) They took everything?

(R2) Yeah. This brigade commander is a faggot, he's grabbing everything for himself.

(R1) Was he fake or something?
@wartranslated 9/ (R2) Fuck knows. He fucked off, yesterday this attack was, he fucked off the day before, in the evening, from that village.

(R1) So you must have no people left there. Do you have vehicles, at least?
@wartranslated 10/ (R2) We had half a company of snipers dead. They had a platoon, half of the platoon was killed yesterday. Twelve people. And that's it, the snipers are all refusing and going home.
@wartranslated 11/ (R1) Danilka called today, they have mobilisation. All the officers are being taken away. All the sergeants are taken away.
@wartranslated 12/ (R2) They are forming the 3rd Corps. A part have already made it here. I found out from them, those who were meant to replace us, they said they were initially recruited for reinforcement, not for rotation. /end

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Sep 17
1/ @ian_matveev, who's one of the smartest Russian-language commentators on the Ukraine war, has posted a very interesting and detailed thread discussing the reasons for Russia's defeat east of Kharkiv. An English translation, with his permission, follows (LONG thread ahead!). ⬇️
2/ From @ian_matveev: Why was the Russian army defeated and forced to flee the Kharkiv region? Not only local mistakes and a great attack by the Armed Forces of Ukraine were to blame, but also the fundamental problems of the Russian grouping in Ukraine.
3/ In recent days it seemed that something fantastic was happening. However, if you remember everything that analysts have been writing about and that we have been talking about, it becomes clear that the defeat near Izyum is a logical development.
Read 111 tweets
Sep 14
1/ Did a culture of institutionalised lying contribute to Russia's recent disaster east of Kharkiv, by giving its senior commanders a distorted and false picture of the true situation on the ground? A 🧵 reviewing the evidence.
2/ While reading Russian soldiers' personal accounts from published intercepted phone calls and personal accounts (link ⬇️), I've seen one point mentioned repeatedly: Russian army officers frequently lie to their superiors about their unit's status.
3/ In his now-famous memoir, the former paratrooper Pavel Filatyev complains bitterly of "the system of photo reports [фотоотчетами] that is now so widespread in the army, when the command hides problems". So what is this system, and how does it work?
Read 41 tweets
Sep 11
1/ What are the reasons for Russia's Blyatskrieg – its rapid collapse east of Kharkiv – and why might Napoleon Bonaparte have known some of the answers? Here's a 🧵 exploring some possible deeper reasons for Ukraine's stunning successes in recent days.
2/ Without detracting in any way from the heroism of Ukraine's defenders, it's clear that there's been a massive moral collapse among Russia's forces in Kharkiv oblast. They've surrended towns with barely a fight and abandoned vast quantities of equipment.
3/ In 1808, Napoleon wrote: "In war, three-quarters turns on personal character and relations; the balance of manpower and materials counts only for the remaining quarter." (More pithily expressed as "In war, moral power is to physical as three parts out of four.")
Read 41 tweets
Sep 11
1/ An interesting insight into the dynamics of the so-called "Allied Forces" on the Russian side, which unsurprisingly turn out to be rather less than allied. Translation follows as a 🧵.
2/ "Information about indications of preparations for an offensive in the Kharkiv direction came from various sources - this was not a surprise. How it was assessed, how they reacted to it, how they managed to prepare and whether they were preparing is another question.
3/ But my observations say that there was no effective system of reaction, when on receiving signals some wheels started to spin, everything was in motion and the resource, whatever it was, was brought to maximum readiness.
Read 12 tweets
Sep 10
@RALee85 A replay at 10% speed makes this even clearer. Perhaps a Stugna-P or NLAW? Given that the tank had just fired, it looks like whatever its target was fired back at it with quite some effect.
@RALee85 You can see a discharge from the tank's barrel too. Looks like the crew may already have had a round and propellant in the breech, ready to fire, at the exact moment they were hit.
@RALee85 Also, it looks like the commander is standing in the turret at the moment of the explosion. He's propelled upwards and lands on the building of the roof next to the tank several seconds later, which shows just how powerful the explosion was.
Read 4 tweets
Sep 10
1/ Mika Mäenpää (@MMaenpaa1, go follow him!) has posted an excellent assessment of the situation near Kharkiv from a military professional's perspective. It deserves to be read widely, so I hope he'll forgive me for doing a quick translation of it into English.
2/ From @MMaenpaa1:
I was going to write this when the attack on Kharkiv started, but then I said let's wait and see. The Ukrainian counter-attack seems to be a prime example of brilliant use of intelligence, deception and information warfare: operational intelligence.
3/ Military action: since the summer, Ukraine has concentrated its fire and (visible) troop operations on the southern part of the front. In particular, HIMARS, which gave the impression of preparing the battlefield, ...
Read 13 tweets

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