FIRMS Data: 2022-09-18_19:11
Added 103 locations to kml
Filtered 210 locations by proximity to other fires
Removed 45 false positives
There might be an interesting one at one of the pontoon ferry landings in Kherson
Kharkiv
The AFU repulsed an attack along the border north of Kharkiv city, and one in the area of Kupyansk.
I don't believe the attack north of Kharkiv is a serious attempt, I think it's just meant to terrorize and poke.
Lyman
The AFU keep up their offensive in the Lyman-Oskil area. I believe they are close to Oleksandrivka (not even a joke)
Based on geolocated video, I believe the AFU are now in Bilohorivka, Luhansk oblast. I am not prepared to call it liberated just yet. There is a vehicle with the white cross IFF, so I believe this is recent.
Bakhmut
RuAF seems to be concentrating on the area south of Bakhmut for now. They claimed great success yesterday after capturing a bunch of power poles south of the city.
Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Mar'inka and Novomykhailivka.
Kherson north.
Nothing really reported here except for a shelling on Bilyaivka, based on that I moved the RU line of control slightly south.
Looking at this, I would describe the situation for the Russians in this area as "not great"
And you understand why when I apply 20km range circles to the frontline. These are made small on purpose to give us a 10km buffer from the front for those 30km 155mm grenades.
There was a report by operational command south which stated RuAF conceded tactically advantageous
positions in the Kherson region. Exact location is unclear.
The AFU repulsed an attack in the area around Pravdyne.
It looks like the dam gate and crossing by Oskil was blown recently, either by RuAF to cover their retreat or by the AFU to try to trap the RuAF.
Dam before 20220908, after 20220917
As you can see the water is flowing and the water level is reducing in the Oskil reservoir, there also seems to be a gap making it impossible to drive over. This is probably and easy fix.
For before 20220908, after 20220917
RuAF built a crossing with concrete pipes and gravel next to the destroyed bridge a few months ago. This was shallow enough for tanks to be able to pass it without the constructed crossing. This seems to have been washed away now.
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They decided to go and stand on this little piece of road right here.
57.923805, 27.679182
There is some kind of local deal where Estonians are allowed to drive over that little stretch of Russian land if they don't stop. news.err.ee/1609827133/ppa…
Rough infil/exfil path of the UVU shooter, based on photos, videos and eye whitness reports. Green arrows are guestimated paths between sightings.
In the start of this video, the UVU shooter can be seen walking towards the campus, at the end he can be seen running away from it.
40.28187, -111.71443
The next location is the tunnel going under the Campus drive to the parking garage
40.28014, -111.71459
Ukrainian Drone hit the Deng Xiaoping Logistics Complex which is part of the Alabuga Special Economical Zone. The Alabuga SEZ is where they produce the Shahed drone.
The DXLC is a railway logistics center being built in partnership with China to support the fast growing Alabuga SEZ.
At the actual SEZ they are expanding at a rapid pace, they are building on site housing and/or office space for tens of thousands of employees. Their goal is likely to significantly scale up the production of drones.
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House.
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor?