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Sep 18 • 16 tweets • 6 min read
Update đź§µSeptember 18th.
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GSUA reported 88 shellings today.
FIRMS Data: 2022-09-18_19:11
Added 103 locations to kml
Filtered 210 locations by proximity to other fires
Removed 45 false positives

There might be an interesting one at one of the pontoon ferry landings in Kherson
Kharkiv
The AFU repulsed an attack along the border north of Kharkiv city, and one in the area of Kupyansk.
I don't believe the attack north of Kharkiv is a serious attempt, I think it's just meant to terrorize and poke.
Lyman
The AFU keep up their offensive in the Lyman-Oskil area. I believe they are close to Oleksandrivka (not even a joke)
Based on geolocated video, I believe the AFU are now in Bilohorivka, Luhansk oblast. I am not prepared to call it liberated just yet. There is a vehicle with the white cross IFF, so I believe this is recent.
Bakhmut
RuAF seems to be concentrating on the area south of Bakhmut for now. They claimed great success yesterday after capturing a bunch of power poles south of the city.
Donetsk
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Mar'inka and Novomykhailivka.
Kherson north.
Nothing really reported here except for a shelling on Bilyaivka, based on that I moved the RU line of control slightly south.
Looking at this, I would describe the situation for the Russians in this area as "not great"
And you understand why when I apply 20km range circles to the frontline. These are made small on purpose to give us a 10km buffer from the front for those 30km 155mm grenades.
There was a report by operational command south which stated RuAF conceded tactically advantageous
positions in the Kherson region. Exact location is unclear.
The AFU repulsed an attack in the area around Pravdyne.
It looks like the dam gate and crossing by Oskil was blown recently, either by RuAF to cover their retreat or by the AFU to try to trap the RuAF.
Dam before 20220908, after 20220917
As you can see the water is flowing and the water level is reducing in the Oskil reservoir, there also seems to be a gap making it impossible to drive over. This is probably and easy fix.
For before 20220908, after 20220917
RuAF built a crossing with concrete pipes and gravel next to the destroyed bridge a few months ago. This was shallow enough for tanks to be able to pass it without the constructed crossing. This seems to have been washed away now.

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More from @DefMon3

Sep 20
Update đź§µSeptember 20th.
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Todays presentation is brought to you by one of the greatest prophets of all time.

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GSUA reported 97 shellings today. Image
Read 12 tweets
Sep 19
Update đź§µSeptember 19th.
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Kharkiv.
Bilohorivka liberated according to @serhey_hayday
RU pushing back in the Kup'yans'k area according to Russian channels, I have not really seen any evidence of it. Image
Read 9 tweets
Sep 17
Update đź§µSeptember 17th.
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Todays presentation is sponsored by two Russian lovebirds. It feels good to know the goats in the area can relax.

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GSUA reported 83 shelling locations.
Read 18 tweets
Sep 16
I think it's possible the Russians intended to retreat from the Izium area for a while. I do not think the retreat worked out as they planned. I think they are going for defensive positions in the North, unsure where, possibly further south than now Image
What I'm trying to figure out now is what their intentions are in the south. I don't see the Russians staying west of the Dnipro long term.
I think this started a long time ago.
Read 11 tweets
Sep 16
Update đź§µSeptember 16th.
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Interactive map: scribblemaps.com/maps/view/Oper… Image
GSUA reported 79 shelling locations today.
Nothing on FIRMS. Image
Read 13 tweets
Sep 16
Ukrainian presence in eastern parts of Kup'yans'k confirmed.

They are operating on the east side of Oskil river. I don't know if it's still contested or actually liberated. But we can see a glance of a vehicle with UA IFF marker in one of the videos.
I also believe this geolocation is legit.
Source t.me/kupyansk_news/…
Read 4 tweets

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