Worth watching: analysis of the successes of the Ukrainian counteroffensive by Brigade General Freuding, fresh from a visit to Kyiv.
He cites Zelenskyy “this counteroffensive didn’t start in early September but on 24 Feb”
He cites Zelenskyy “this counteroffensive didn’t start in early September but on 24 Feb”
This really needs English subtitles @bundeswehrInfo !
Sharing some of my personal highlights from Gen Freuding’s analysis here:
Sharing some of my personal highlights from Gen Freuding’s analysis here:
Such strategic & operative excellence as Ukraine’s deception manoeuvre with Kherson/ Kharkiv has not been seen for several decades - not since the allied operation in the beginning of the Gulf War 1990/91. It’s something for the “school books”
There can be no talk of Russian forces regrouping, they very obviously fled in such a hurry that even food was left on tables.
They left so much equipment behind that it almost equals a whole brigade. We will soon see how Ukraine will make use of it
They left so much equipment behind that it almost equals a whole brigade. We will soon see how Ukraine will make use of it
Geb Freuding cites a NATO defence minister to illustrate the amount of equipment Russian troops left behind while chaotically fleeing: “it was the biggest donation to the Ukrainian armed forces since the beginning of the war”
Western weapons helped but the credit for the success of the counteroffensive goes entirely to Ukrainian forces who executed the operation with tactical excellence, high morale and high combat effectiveness.
The previously ~1300km long front was notably shortened as a consequence. Russia can now execute operations only frontally or from the south. Russian troops depend on railways for their logistics and their supply lines have come significantly under pressure
About “the mystery of the missing Russian air force” (Gen Freuding cites the @RUSI_org article by @Justin_Br0nk): reasons for Russia’s poor performance are the failure to establish air supremacy at the beginning of the war, logistical problems…
rusi.org/explore-our-re…
rusi.org/explore-our-re…
…and most importantly, the still largely intact Ukrainian air defence + the skill of the Ukrainian air force - they are by now able to deploy western missiles from their MiG-29 aircraft “and are very effectively doing so”
Russia faces now extreme psychological and organisational difficulties to consolidate and stabilise a new line of defence.
Strategic goals remain the same on both sides, however: for Russia the imperial quest of complete destruction of Ukrainian statehood; for Ukraine the complete restoration of territorial integrity and sovereignty
Tactical use of nuclear weapons on the Russian side would be an unprecedented “Zivilisationsbruch“ (rupture of civilisation) and alienate Russia’s few remaining partners, thus leading to complete isolation. Gen Freuding says nothing indicates that Russia is planning to do so
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