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https://twitter.com/jakluge/status/1826646501172330589As a diplomatic source in Berlin astutely described it, “Zeitenwende could have been a quantum leap but they made it a time loop”
https://twitter.com/acf_int/status/1819438271375536169I explained that the extensive access Russians enjoyed to Europe was a privilege, not a right. Therefore, it can be revoked if the trust that’s the basis of granting such a privilege is broken.
https://twitter.com/mattlightcrim/status/1811149203650871513In spring 2022, I had this conversation with literally all my friends: Finns living abroad wondering whether they should go back to Finland just in case, and even most left wing artist friends inquiring whether they could also contribute in some way to the war effort if need be
https://twitter.com/hanskundnani/status/1808528109789929964Example from Finland: we had a peaceful year after submitting the NATO application as Russia was bogged down in Ukraine. Since fall 2023, after the failed Ukrainian counteroffensive, we’ve seen:
https://twitter.com/marceldirsus/status/1808050406611656791European integration was facilitated by the American security guarantees but it’s nevertheless a unique political process in the world. We Europeans managed to do this one thing right after having messed up pretty much everything imaginable, on a global scale, in the past.
https://twitter.com/tobiaspfella/status/1797646592859844975Conversely, it suggests that if Ukraine were to lose this war, it would be deeply regrettable, but at least a nuclear war would be averted.
https://twitter.com/minna_alander/status/1771127642449715548(The red one is Scholz)
https://twitter.com/eadamson91/status/1771128907225350392
https://twitter.com/liviuhorovitz/status/1746842865165029801While it’s hard to assess what exactly the Bundeswehr scenario included, as I haven’t seen the original document, it sounded quite similar to the classic fait accompli scenarios NATO has been wargaming in the past decade and that the tripwire posture was based on.