Untrained Russian infantry with steel helmets, WW1 rifles, no radios, headed into winter, w/o winter boots, gloves, hats, sleeping bags, w/o trucks & supported by mobilized T-62 tanks with untrained crews are military liabilities, not combat power.
The chances of a 1917 style Russian Army collapse in Ukraine, followed by the disintegration of the Russian Federation actually INCREASE with the deployment of such troops.
3/4
Russian mobilization simply does not increase the length of time before Russia is defeated in Ukraine.
All it is going to do is increase the scale of the Russian defeat to include the break up of the Russian state.
4/4
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The Iranian Shahed-136 drone in the Russian's hands is acting as a small propeller cruise missile several hundred kilometers from the nearest Russian position.
No USAF, USMC or US Army airbase or heliport is safe from such munitions
1/14
Long range precision strike, to a depth of 1,800 km, is a game that anyone can play in now.
The US Military services have lost air superiority below 3,000 feet, and it is unclear if they will get it back for decades.
The mal-investment in the utterly irrelevant to this
2/14
...threat F-35 is a large part of the problem.
The F-35 is simply cost INEFFECTIVE for this threat, but the political-military factions invested in it will force it to be used for dealing with lawn mower engine powered drones with air-to-air missiles costing up to 50 times
3/14
Text clipped from the link:
"The good news here is that Putin’s announcement of emergency measures shows he recognises Russia is losing in its war of imperial expansion. The less good news is that if he believes even a tiny fraction of the lies and fantasies he reeled off...
2/5
...during the speech, his grip on reality is even shakier than we previously suspected.
And later in the column:
"In fact, few of Putin’s contradictory storylines stand up to even a moment’s critical thought: we are winning in Ukraine – but the forces of the west aligned...
3/5
"Sex tourism and sex trafficking in Iran are increasing. One contributing cause is the practice of sigheh. Sigheh (also known by its Arabic name “nikah mut‘ah”) allows men to marry a woman for a pre-determined period of time,
2/4
...have intimate relations with her, and then leave her without consequences. While sigheh is often justified using moral terms, in practice it is a legal loophole for prostitution. The problems associated with sigheh are rampant, but there is almost no research or data...
3/4
- Current conscripts can be ordered to the front & 'refuseniks' jailed.
- Stop loss on all Russian conscript & contract troops. They are all in for the duration of the war.
- Priority call up/conscription of former Russian soldiers with needed skills.
2/
- Administratively, new conscripts & contract troops will be used as replacements for existing units.
The previous four bullet points together represent potentially effective steps to delay a Russian lanchester square manpower collapse for up to three months.
3/