Kup'yans'k
The AFU repulsed an attack in the area of Petropavlivka and GSUA reported a shelling in the area of Podoly. This would indicate further AFU expansion of the Kup'yans'k bridgehead, contrary to what Ru channels claim. There is also local telegram chatter confirming this.
Wargonzos and Rybars version of what is going on in Kup'yans'k, this is far from reality.
Lyman
RU channels talk about a RU counter attack around Nove and Karpivka and fights around Ridkodub.
Blue marker is geolocated video of UA forces filming a RU jet being shot down.
This made me move the RU line of control further north.
We can only guess about the exact status of Novoselivka, Drobysheve and Lyman, but RU channels claim presence in all of them.
If I understand this correctly, the RU 2nd Guards MRD were ordered to fight to the last man and to the last bullet. Sounds like WW2 orders.
Sivers'k-Bakhmut
The AFU repulsed attacks by RuAF in the area of Spirne, Vymika, Soledar and Bakhmuts'ke. It seems lite the rumors about RuAF relocating resources to that area were true.
Bakhmut-Horlivka
Attacks by the Russian donkey lovers were repulsed by the AFU in this area.
Odradivka, Ozarianivka, Zaitseve and Mayorsk were the targets of these failed attacks.
Donetsk.
The area of the real pro-RU bottom feeders. Ukrainian super bats stopped RU advances in the area of Kam'yanka, Avdiivka, Opytne, Nevel's'ke and Novomykhailivka.
In this video from yesterday we see RU moving tanks towards the Donetks front, not unlikely to be used today.
They decided to go and stand on this little piece of road right here.
57.923805, 27.679182
There is some kind of local deal where Estonians are allowed to drive over that little stretch of Russian land if they don't stop. news.err.ee/1609827133/ppa…
Rough infil/exfil path of the UVU shooter, based on photos, videos and eye whitness reports. Green arrows are guestimated paths between sightings.
In the start of this video, the UVU shooter can be seen walking towards the campus, at the end he can be seen running away from it.
40.28187, -111.71443
The next location is the tunnel going under the Campus drive to the parking garage
40.28014, -111.71459
Ukrainian Drone hit the Deng Xiaoping Logistics Complex which is part of the Alabuga Special Economical Zone. The Alabuga SEZ is where they produce the Shahed drone.
The DXLC is a railway logistics center being built in partnership with China to support the fast growing Alabuga SEZ.
At the actual SEZ they are expanding at a rapid pace, they are building on site housing and/or office space for tens of thousands of employees. Their goal is likely to significantly scale up the production of drones.
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House.
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor?