Thread by @AndrewPerpetua

Update for September 23-24th. ukrdailyupdate.com/updates/update…

Here is my update for September 23rd and 24th. #ukrdailyupdate

Today I will only comment on a small list of noteworthy events because it is the weekend.

If you would like to view the map, here is the link: google.com/maps/d/u/0/edi…

Ukraine crossed the Oskil river near Dvorichna sometime between September 20th and 22nd, and they established a foothold by the end of the 22nd. As of the 24th, they have secured control of Hryanykivka (A) and Horobivka (B), and they are fighting north into Dvorichne (1).

Unfortunately, Ukraine’s attacks on Tavilzhanka were repelled (2).

Ukraine pushed east from Kupyansk and secured Kucherivka (C) and Podoly (D), along with partial control over Petropavlivka (E). In addition, Ukraine is attacking Kupyansk Vuzlovyi (3) and Kurylivka (4). Russia is trying to push Ukraine out of Petropavlivka (5), but they failed.

Ukraine is expanding their control in the Lyman/Oskil area.

North of Lyman, Ukraine secured Pisky-Radkivski (F), Maliivka (G), Pidkodub, and Korovii Iar. Russia attacked Pidkodub (6) and Korovii Iar (7), attempting to drive Ukrainian forces away. These attacks failed. Ukraine still controls both towns.

Russians claim Ukraine briefly controlled Nove and Karpivka before being driven out. My Ukrainian sources did not mention this, but it could be true.

Closer to Lyman, Ukraine has established at least partial control over Novoselivka (8) and Drobysheve (9).

Russia needs to hold these towns to stabilize this area because if Ukraine can push through here and encircle Lyman, it will exacerbate the crisis brewing just a few kilometers to the north.

Ukraine has broken through the main line of defense while capturing Pidkodub, which forces Russia to use its limited operational reserves to try to push Ukraine back out. Meanwhile, Ukraine is simultaneously expanding its bridgeheads to the north.

Russia’s critical lack of manpower is crippling their defense, and they are overly reliant on artillery, but artillery alone cannot stop a determined attack. Ukraine’s continued advances are creating a crisis in Russia’s defensive line.

There is a real chance that Ukraine could collapse the entire Russian line the same way they did a few weeks ago in Balakliya.

Moving on to the Siversk area

Russia moved Wagner mercenaries north from Bakhmut to Spirne (10), Soledar (12), and (presumably) Vyimka (11). My Ukrainian sources in Soledar claim Wagner attacked 3-4 times and made no progress today. Wagner claimed to have moved 300 meters.

South of Bakhmut, I hear Chechens and/or Davestani replaced Wagner and are attacking the same general areas.

Somehow this video ended up in my map image folder so I am going to post it for fun.

I spelled Dagestani wrong. :)