Apple $AAPL:
- Apple iCar & Augmented Reality products in the pipeline
- Apple Pay is #1 mobile payment system in US
- 1.5 billion+ active devices in ecosystem, with devices to be replaced every few years
Microsoft $MSFT:
- Dominance in cloud computing space
- Azure is growing faster than Amazon's AWS
- Azure has a large and constantly growing market share for the Cloud Computing market
Data shows great:
- Profitability
- Upside Breakout
- Social Sentiment
- Institutional Flow
Alphabet/ Google $GOOG $GOOGL:
- MOAT on the online ad market
- Leader in quantum computing
- Strong balance sheet
- Healthy cash flow
Amazon $AMZN:
- Largest in cloud infrastructure space
- Health care services growth (health care spending accounts for ~20% of the economy)
Data shows great:
- Upside Breakout
- Social Sentiment
- Institutional Flow
Tesla $TSLA:
-Low battery costs, self-designed A.I. chips & data it has collected from billions of miles of real-world driving from its customers gives #TSLA a huge competitive advantage other EV's
Nvidia $NVDA:
- Makes the best graphics chips
- Huge player in artificial intelligence, machine learning, metaverse, digital biology, robotics, autonomous vehicles, cloud computing space, IoT & 6G space
Data shows great:
- Dark Pools
- Upside Breakout
- Institutional Flow
JPMorgan $JPM:
- America's biggest credit card issuer
- Higher interest rates is a positive
- Friendlier banking regulations is a positive
- Around half of all US households do business with Chase
Data shows great:
- Profitability
- Institutional Flow
Mastercard $MA:
- Very well managed company
- Increasing use of its networks due to unrelenting sector growth in e-commerce & mobile payments (electronic transactions will continue to grow tenfold)
Costco $COST:
- One of the strongest balance sheets
- Consistently ahead of earnings estimates
- One of the most loyal customer bases (90%+ membership renewal rate in North America)
Walmart $WMT:
- 47-years of dividend hikes
- Only American retailer that can complete with Amazon
- Many retailers won't survive this recession, and their losses will be Walmart's gain
Disney $DIS:
- Disney has a lot more great content in their pipeline
- Pandemic has ended and travel restrictions are being lifted + holiday & travel season may be the busiest season for Disney parks
Data shows great:
- Upside Breakout
- Institutional Flow
Data and images are from the @prospero_ai app. My 3 favorite long-term metrics on the app are:
1. Growth Rating- How likely a company is to grow in revenue and/or size in the next 1-2 years
2. Profitability Rating- How likely a company is to be profitable in the next few years
3. Upside Breakout - Higher scores indicate a larger chance of a sharp move upwards in price, any time within the next 1-2 years
My 3 favorite short-term metrics on the app are:
1. Net Institutional Flow- Tracks if institutions are buying up or selling off a stock, or options
2. Net Options Sentiment- Provides information on how long or short the market is on short duration options
3. Net Social Sentiment- Gauges positive & negative sentiment from social media, as well as the difference between them
- Dark Pools are exchanges that institutions use to make trades without immediately moving the markets
- Net Institutional Flow is tracked using 13F & 13G SEC filings
-Profitability is based on current financials & estimates
President Trump says the pain from tariffs "will be worth the price."
But what does it mean for you?
I spent the evening analyzing it.
Here’s what you need to know:
1/Because of new tariffs, the average American family could pay about $1,245 more per year for everyday items.
This includes:
• Costlier furniture and home goods
• More expensive clothes and shoes
• Higher prices for cars and car parts
• Pricier groceries, especially fruits and vegetables
2/ Tariffs Will Affect Everyday Life:
1. Cars:
• Vehicle prices could rise due to integrated North American supply chains
• Auto parts costs would increase, affecting repair and maintenance expenses
2. Food:
• Furniture imports from China could see 10-25% price increases
• Electronics and household appliances would likely become more expensive
• Clothing and footwear prices could rise significantly
3. Consumer Goods:
• Avocado prices could increase as 90% come from Mexico
• Popular Mexican beer brands might see price hikes
• Canadian agricultural products, including frozen foods, would become more expensive
Trump’s win will affect your money, taxes, and finances.
But what does it mean for you?
Here's everything you need to know:
1. Taxes:
• One of Trump’s key tax proposals is to eliminate federal income taxes on tips, Social Security benefits, and overtime pay – which could provide financial relief for certain groups, but also reduce revenue for programs like Social Security.
• He has also promised to extend the individual and estate tax cuts from his 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which are set to expire at the end of 2025.
• Trump’s overall tax plan is estimated to increase the deficit by $4.1 trillion over 10 years, according to analyses. The large tax cuts, especially for corporations and the wealthy, are expected to contribute to this.
2. Stock Market:
• The initial market reaction to Trump’s victory was positive, with stocks rallying. Investors likely see his proposals for corporate tax cuts and deregulation as favorable for profits.
• However, his protectionist trade policies, including broad tariffs, could weigh on multinational companies and sectors like semiconductors, autos, and clean energy that are exposed to trade tensions.
• Bond yields are expected to rise further due to concerns about growing deficits from Trump’s economic agenda, which would hurt bond prices.
• Emerging markets could face headwinds from a strengthening dollar, higher US interest rates, and the potential for trade conflicts.