Apple $AAPL:
- Apple iCar & Augmented Reality products in the pipeline
- Apple Pay is #1 mobile payment system in US
- 1.5 billion+ active devices in ecosystem, with devices to be replaced every few years
Microsoft $MSFT:
- Dominance in cloud computing space
- Azure is growing faster than Amazon's AWS
- Azure has a large and constantly growing market share for the Cloud Computing market
Data shows great:
- Profitability
- Upside Breakout
- Social Sentiment
- Institutional Flow
Alphabet/ Google $GOOG $GOOGL:
- MOAT on the online ad market
- Leader in quantum computing
- Strong balance sheet
- Healthy cash flow
Amazon $AMZN:
- Largest in cloud infrastructure space
- Health care services growth (health care spending accounts for ~20% of the economy)
Data shows great:
- Upside Breakout
- Social Sentiment
- Institutional Flow
Tesla $TSLA:
-Low battery costs, self-designed A.I. chips & data it has collected from billions of miles of real-world driving from its customers gives #TSLA a huge competitive advantage other EV's
Nvidia $NVDA:
- Makes the best graphics chips
- Huge player in artificial intelligence, machine learning, metaverse, digital biology, robotics, autonomous vehicles, cloud computing space, IoT & 6G space
Data shows great:
- Dark Pools
- Upside Breakout
- Institutional Flow
JPMorgan $JPM:
- America's biggest credit card issuer
- Higher interest rates is a positive
- Friendlier banking regulations is a positive
- Around half of all US households do business with Chase
Data shows great:
- Profitability
- Institutional Flow
Mastercard $MA:
- Very well managed company
- Increasing use of its networks due to unrelenting sector growth in e-commerce & mobile payments (electronic transactions will continue to grow tenfold)
Costco $COST:
- One of the strongest balance sheets
- Consistently ahead of earnings estimates
- One of the most loyal customer bases (90%+ membership renewal rate in North America)
Walmart $WMT:
- 47-years of dividend hikes
- Only American retailer that can complete with Amazon
- Many retailers won't survive this recession, and their losses will be Walmart's gain
Disney $DIS:
- Disney has a lot more great content in their pipeline
- Pandemic has ended and travel restrictions are being lifted + holiday & travel season may be the busiest season for Disney parks
Data shows great:
- Upside Breakout
- Institutional Flow
Data and images are from the @prospero_ai app. My 3 favorite long-term metrics on the app are:
1. Growth Rating- How likely a company is to grow in revenue and/or size in the next 1-2 years
2. Profitability Rating- How likely a company is to be profitable in the next few years
3. Upside Breakout - Higher scores indicate a larger chance of a sharp move upwards in price, any time within the next 1-2 years
My 3 favorite short-term metrics on the app are:
1. Net Institutional Flow- Tracks if institutions are buying up or selling off a stock, or options
2. Net Options Sentiment- Provides information on how long or short the market is on short duration options
3. Net Social Sentiment- Gauges positive & negative sentiment from social media, as well as the difference between them
- Dark Pools are exchanges that institutions use to make trades without immediately moving the markets
- Net Institutional Flow is tracked using 13F & 13G SEC filings
-Profitability is based on current financials & estimates
The US dollar is predicted to depreciate another 10% next year, after already depreciating 11% in the first half of 2025.
But what does it mean for you?
Here’s what you should know:
The U.S. dollar just had its worst first half of a year since 1973, losing 11% of its value.
Morgan Stanley says it could drop another 10% by the end of 2026.
Why?
Slower U.S. growth, falling interest rates, and foreign investors dumping dollar assets.
The best-case scenario?
The Fed gets inflation under control, trade deals stabilize things, and the dollar only loses another 5-7% instead of 10%. Your purchasing power shrinks, but not catastrophically.
The worst-case scenario?
The dollar keeps falling 10% year after year. Your $100,000 savings becomes worth $70,000 in real purchasing power within three years. Foreign investors dump U.S. assets. Interest rates spike to attract them back. Recession follows
4) Do these 10 things to go private (because 70% of lottery winners end up broke and 33% declare bankruptcy)
• Add home security
• Delete all social media
• Use a 2FA on everything
• Use NDAs with everyone
• Change your address to a PO Box
• Freeze your credit with all three bureaus
• Do NOT pose for the winning check photo
• Get a new phone number and e-mail address
• Use Trusts and LLCs to protect your assets and maintain privacy
• Get comprehensive insurance coverage including umbrella policies, kidnap and ransom insurance
Lessons:
• Money is More Than Numbers: Your habits, emotions, and past experiences shape how you handle money.
• Avoid Comparisons: Don't compare your financial journey to others. Focus on your own goals and progress.
• Plan for the Long Term: Think about money in decades, not days. Long-term planning leads to better decisions.
2. Millionaire Next Door by Thomas J. Stanley
Lessons:
• Millionaires Aren't Flashy: Most millionaires live simple lives and don't show off their wealth.
• Avoid Status Symbols: Don't waste money on fancy cars or big houses to impress others.
• Live Below Your Means: Wealth comes from spending less than you earn and saving the rest.
3. Simple Path to Wealth by JL Collins
Lessons:
• Ignore the Noise: Don't get distracted by daily market news. Focus on your long-term goals.
• Index Funds are Key: Invest in index funds for steady, long-term growth. They're easy and effective.
• Stay the Course: Don't panic when the market goes up and down. Stick to your plan.