How early did Trump lay plans to steal the election? In Roger Stone's new footage from Nov 1, 2020, he advises "claim victory" no matter what the vote. But the groundwork was laid even earlier. In Sep. 2020, Trump and others prepped to claim that absentee ballots were frauds. 1/
September 2020 is full of signs of prepping to claim or seize victory (marked in yellow here.) First, organizationally: On Sept. 7 Ali Alexander reboots "Stop the Steal" (Roger Stone's first version was in 2016). Jack Posobiec immediate Tweets out "#StoptheSteal2020 is coming" 2/
On Sep. 10th Roger Stone calls in to Alex Jones' InfoWars show and says outright that Donald Trump should seize power and declare martial law if he loses the election. He then makes the rounds denying that he said what everyone heard. 3/
On Sep. 21, Trump Tweets out "The radical left are laying the groundwork to steal the 2020 Election.." w/ an attached video prepping doubt about absentee ballots: "They are planting stories that President Trump will have a landslide lead on election night - but will lose.." 4/
The ominous implication of that ad was immediately flagged by Time reporter Vera Bergengruen, who noted even earlier "Defend Your Ballot" statements in August. But by Sep 2020, it was a full-on campaign. 5/
On Sep 23, Trump refused to commit to the peaceful transfer of power: "We're going to have to see what happens". That same week, in a presidential debate, he told the Proud Boys "stand back and stand by". The Capitol attack was foretold for months. 6/
The final green-lighting of the Capitol attack didn't happen til late, between midnight & 1:42 AM on Dec. 19th. Many competing plans were floating around. But groundwork was laid early, and militias were talking. Even Tim Pool got word of something. 7/ thedailybeast.com/how-coward-and…
Pool: "I’ve had messages from people saying that they’ve already got plans to rush to D.C. as soon as Nov. 3 goes chaotic” “The right-wing militias, the Oath Keepers, the 3 Percenters, and just the Proud Boys and Trump supporters, they are going to rush full-speed to D.C..." 8/
In Sept. 2020 there wasn't yet consensus on Jan 6, and no one was in charge - the attack was a vague idea, not a concrete plan. But people were talking and logistics were being laid. The poll for Trump were already bad, and backup plans were being laid. 9/ docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
One other important thing to notice about Sep. 2020: the day before Trump sends out his ad prepping an election fraud claim, he says he'll form a '1776 Commission' on patriotic education. Then actually forms it on Dec 18th, just before his J6 decision. 10/ nbcnews.com/politics/white…
The 1776 Commission was announced in Sep. just as election-stealing plans ramped up. It's formed the day the attack decision was made. It doesn't meet til Jan 5. At that point there's only two weeks to inauguration. The committee can only be effective if Trump got a 2nd term. 11/
That "1776 Commission" hangs over the Capitol attack. At every critical date, Trump takes time to move that Commission forward - giving those on it an investment in his 2nd term. When he didn't get one, they rushed out a hasty report & disbanded... 12/ trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/wp-content/upl…
.. but the 1776 Commission didn't just die. Chair Larry Arnn: ` has described education as a "weapon" in the conservative war to reclaim America' (Salon). His `1776 Curriculum' may be coming soon to your schools, even without a presidential mandate. 13/ salon.com/2022/03/15/how…
Any campaign needs supporters. No one can overthrow the US Constitution without powerful people letting it happen. We see plans to seize power talked about early. And Trump's maneuvering before the Capitol attack included doing favors for those whose support he would need. 14/
The group behind the Capitol attack is small; connections are everywhere. Arnn is part of that group. He used to head the Claremont Institute, home to John Eastman. Now leads Hillsdale College in MI, ground central for the Christian right, and the alma mater of Erik Prince. 15/
Many want to depose Ginni Thomas, who lurched from one cult to another. But the main favor Ginni got in the months before the Capitol attack was people being polite about her crazy texts. Life is "Quid pro quo" - look for the quid to find the quo. 16/
Adding the correct link to an article: Salon did a 3-part series on Arnn and Hillsdale; here's the one that describes the 1776 Curriculum and its relationship to the 1776 Commission, so oddly timed around the planning for the Jan 6 Capitol attack. 17/ salon.com/2022/03/16/com…
And a link to reporting by Phil Williams in TN, where the fight over the 1776 Curriculum is ongoing, for 50 schools. Arnn called education a 'weapon'. The attack on US institutions is not over - the battle for education in America is happening now. 18/
The DOJ continues it's 100% winning stream on jury trials, convicting John Strand of America's Frontline Doctos on all 5 counts, including felony obstruction. Strand (age 37) used a defense that he was under the influence of his powerful older girlfriend, Simone Gold. 1/
John Strand did seem to trail behind the more high-profile Simone Gold, who leads the anti-vaxx America's Frontline Doctors. She pled guilty and got 60 days; Strand went to trial and faces years. That lesson should register for their fellow Jan 6 VIPs. 2/
Typo in Tweet 1: "winning streak". DOJ is unbeaten at J6 jury trial convictions. For plea deals, they've had a different streak: defendants taking a guilty plea, then playing the victim on social media. Simone Gold is already accusing her judge of bias. 3/
Jan 6 was a complex event: solo enthusiasts, militia of various levels of competence, directors herding the mob. All facts need context to understand. CNN reports new info on the WH phone call: it's late & to a seeming 'normie'. Charts to follow. 1/
CNN reports a 9-second call at 4:34 PM, to Antony Lunyk who was off-site by then. That's nearly 4 hours after fighting started; the attack had been called off. Here's the first 2 hours - a quick rush, a long standoff, a burst of breaches. Lunyk is still outside when this ends. 2/
Here's the next 2 hours, to 5 PM. Lunyk goes inside during the "Police Pushback" phase, & gets quickly flushed out. He's not around for the "Late Strategic Fighting", battles at the tunnel and N. Doors. His WH call (marked here) is after the organized attack seems called off. 3/
All worrying about today's WaPo claim that "prosecutors recommended against charging" Matt Gaetz - it's actually good news; it's by @DevlinBarrett who wrote that FBI found "no grand [Jan 6] conspiracy" the week before the 1st seditious conspiracy charge 1/ washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
The WaPo source on Gaetz is an anonymous "people familiar with the matter" - not prosecutors. Not only would it be illegal for DOJ to leak, absolutely no one at DOJ is going to talk to Barrett since his previous story about the Mar-a-Lago docs was used against DOJ in court. 2/
@DevlinBarrett's Mar-a-Lago "leak" was used by both Trump and Judge Cannon to justify shutting down the FBI's investigation of Trump - because there were leaks. Barrett almost derailed the whole DOJ investigation - no one there would talk to him now. 3/
#SeditionHunters - a big one has dropped, the first major arrest of Nick Fuentes' Groypers: the neo-Nazi #SuitGuy, Joseph Brody, and his 4 friends (#SuitGuysFlock). This is a big one and some things about it are still embargoed - it will only get bigger. 1/
#SeditionHunters have maintained a mega-thread on this set since March 2021. #SuitGuysFlock walked in with Fuentes' Groyper Army (he brought over 200 followers) but then moved together all day: four young college-aged men and their older mentor. 2/
The iconic picture of #SuitGuy in Tweet 1 is by Victor Blue and was named one of Time's Top 100 photos of the year. He is as scary as the photo implies. Inside the Capitol, his flock following him, he reached the Senate floor. 3/ storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.usco…
Those spreading hate now worked previous ops too. Chad Prather & CJ LeRose, backing DeSanti's anti-immigrant stunt with a viral song, were inner-circle Stop the Stealers in 2021: here with police-assaulter Nathan Hughes, rally MC Matt Couch, Russian influencer Anna Khait. 1/
It's actually comforting that the same folks are involved, because it means it's not a mass movement. Instead it's highly manufactured, recycling the same faces. Also politically unsuccessful: Prather tried to unseat TX Governor Greg Abbott in 2022... 2/
... but Prather failed miserably, getting just 3.8% of the vote. The ultra-MAGA fascist movement is amplified by stunts and social media, powered by complicit judges and politicians - but actual popular support is not deep. It can be defeated. 3/ ballotpedia.org/Chad_Prather
Disgraced Oath Keeper lawyer @JonMoseley is not doing well at Twitter: tried to 'help' his old client Stewart Rhodes by trashing his estranged family, got owned instead.
He can't even help by throwing the trial for ineffective counsel since Moseley's already been disbarred. 1/
@JonMoseley appealed his disbarment but tossing out false allegations of parental alienation is awfully helpful in convincing the court their decision was solid.
Rhodes' son @DakotaVAdams got his mama's smarts instead of his daddy's sedition & messing with him is best avoided 2/
Interestingly Stewart Rhodes (Yale Law School 2004, now charged with seditious conspiracy), is also prone to inappropriate choices and was disbarred, so he and Moseley have a lot in common. 3/