There are rumors about an AFU offensive around Bilohorivka -> Dibrova.
I think it's possible there was a mix-up with the two Dibrova. I consider this to be just another rumor for now.
Bakhmut
The AFU repulsed RU attacks all along the line. There might be some minor progress in the Kodema area south of Bakhmut. I wont list the town names, there is a map to look at.
Both the AFU and RuAF are keeping a pretty tight lid right now when it comes to the information leaks, but I think it is safe to say,
Ukraine seems to have the overall initiative right now, but that might change with more rain and a bunch of RU cannon fodder. It's possible we might hit a stand still if we get a lot of rain and RU conscripts manning the defensive lines.
For those of you who think I don't read rybar, the one of the largest pro ru milbloggers, well think again.
🧵The situation in Vovchansk is interesting. The map shows geolocated positions the last 8 days h/t @UAControlMap. When the first rumors about an encirclement at the aggregate plant, I thought it was BS. But it appears there is some truth to it, supposedly 83rd VDV.
The extent of isolation and the amount of people is unclear. Once interesting thing is the Russians committed one of their best units, 2nd Special Purpose Brigade to fight in the town. We have mostly seen poorly trained and equipped units without mechanized support in this fight
According to RU channels UA withdrew from the Filtration Plant in the east and Zenith in the south. This is good news, since avoiding an encirclement should be a priority at this point. It seems the coke plant and Kvartal high-rises are the current UA strongholds.
RU forces continue to try to fully encircle Avdiivka pushing mainly from 3 directions.
It remains to be seen if Ukraine are planning to withdraw from the east side of the city, but I think it's a pretty good idea to do so.
UA might chose to fight for the coke plant and Kvartal for a bit, but the gap for the gloc is only 3km and consists of 2 windbreaks.
I frequently get questions like:
"Are you ok?"
"What happened?"
"Why did you stop posting?"
So here we go⬇️
Yes I'm ok.
(This post is sponsored by Ramzan Fragglerov)
Time.
I have less time to follow Ukraine. I usually spent about 3-4 hours a day to just make my daily threads and going through all the information channels. To be able to keep the information reliable, I have to put in 6-10h per day. I dont have that kind of time anymore.
I lost my best friend in March, so I had go get a new one. He is getting a lot of my attention now.
🧵During the last week, Ukrainian forces have advanced 32km2 in the Robotyne direction. They are expanding their penetration of the Surovikin and have reached the outskirts of Verbove and Verbove.