Ephemeral Profile picture
Sep 27 10 tweets 14 min read
@Sobretutumba @orwell2022 @OS51388957 @mr_Smith_Econ @connolly_s ??? Really??? Isnt this study saying 2 vax+infection is great & u get a great immune response? Thats crazy! If anything adding booster makes it worse as seen in triple vaxed controversial health care worker study where type of prior infection may matter:
@Sobretutumba @orwell2022 @OS51388957 @mr_Smith_Econ @connolly_s What i find interesting about both of these studies is the lack of correlation to symptoms! If increased immune activity (neutralizing, t cells, b cells etc) doesnt change your symptom outcome, what are we measuring & how important is it to overall health outcomes? Image
@Sobretutumba @orwell2022 @OS51388957 @mr_Smith_Econ @connolly_s Now of course u could say vaxed had more asymptomatic infx, on the other hand their uneven cohort #s are a caveat: 169 unvaxed vs only 41 vaxed. And if u cant show correlation with your various immune response measurements, it brings more questions than answers, as always ;-) Image
@Sobretutumba @orwell2022 @OS51388957 @mr_Smith_Econ @connolly_s The discrepancy may be because more details are needed as seen in this paper, where the quality of the stimulated immune cells matter which may actually be less good in vaxed
@Sobretutumba @orwell2022 @OS51388957 @mr_Smith_Econ @connolly_s My takeaway here is the same as from the response attenuation we saw in triple vaxed wuhan+omicron & multiple omicron: over-exposure to spike is bad. The fact that vaxed consistently have a stronger immune response is not necessarily a good thing... Image
@Sobretutumba @orwell2022 @OS51388957 @mr_Smith_Econ @connolly_s overstimulation, autoimmunity & cytokine storms come to mind. But then again what is the right response? What constitutes as aberrant?
@Sobretutumba @orwell2022 @OS51388957 @mr_Smith_Econ @connolly_s They say in the paper this is good because it will decrease transmission (cuz they cant talk about severe disease in such a young healthy cohort that doesnt need vax for personal health). Yet we see in many places now vaxed having more infx than unvaxed (ontario, canada)
@Sobretutumba @orwell2022 @OS51388957 @mr_Smith_Econ @connolly_s Here is another great thread highlighting how it is previous infection that underlies the protection against transmission NOT vax
@Sobretutumba @orwell2022 @OS51388957 @mr_Smith_Econ @connolly_s If u look carefully u see how in omicron household contacts uninfected vaxed had even slightly higher rates than uninfected unvaxed...interesting!
@Sobretutumba @orwell2022 @OS51388957 @mr_Smith_Econ @connolly_s i point this out because one must be wary of studies making unsupported claims. They should instead ask: what do our results really show? Or at least measure infection rates & tie them to the immune response! Just saying higher response = less transmission is lazy marketing

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More from @EphemeralEther

Sep 21
@Sobretutumba @orwell2022 @TracyBethHoeg @NahasNewman @VPrasadMDMPH @OS51388957 @ClareCraigPath @davidzweig @mr_Smith_Econ @CarlosVecino4 @ChGefaell That i believe is their largest confounder. How many people were boosted by nov 2021?! If u include from dec 2020 its normal to have way more unvaxed in hospital....also same old tricks right? Counting 7 days after injection, so exclude potential risks in week after boost.
@Sobretutumba @orwell2022 @TracyBethHoeg @NahasNewman @VPrasadMDMPH @OS51388957 @ClareCraigPath @davidzweig @mr_Smith_Econ @CarlosVecino4 @ChGefaell Then u don't have equal testing, big issue! They even exclude nosocomial infections yet these are so important! Just basing covid "case" as +test within arbitrary time period instead of clear clinical definitions is unethical to me & diminishes value of test negative study.
@Sobretutumba @orwell2022 @TracyBethHoeg @NahasNewman @VPrasadMDMPH @OS51388957 @ClareCraigPath @davidzweig @mr_Smith_Econ @CarlosVecino4 @ChGefaell They say they adjust for time between pcr date & vax, but if im not mistaken they dont seem to adjust for fluctuations in viral risk periods, as orwell nicely pointed out
Read 12 tweets
Aug 8
The linked tweet below has been receiving a lot of attention but I believe it is for all the wrong reasons. All the various arguments do not question the most fundamental issue: what are the actual polio immunization rates?
How have routine child immunization rates actually changed past 2+ years? While warning about diminishing trust in public health and the potential issues of declining immunization rates is indeed important, we should remain factual & based on high quality data.
There is a difference between warning about low vax uptake & immediately rushing to conclusions to blame "unvaxed" for every single uptick in cases of every single disease.
Read 23 tweets
Aug 4
@apsmunro Why do we keep giving novel meds to those with sig comorbidities without properly evaluating their outcomes in clinical trials? they are often excluded or constitute minimal % of trial participants,
@apsmunro yet these people could be more vulnerable to adverse events especially given often higher rates of medication. We see this in for ex. pfizer kids covid vax data, at most 13% with comorbidities, many of which are "milder" like obesity, where is the separate evaluation for them? ImageImageImage
@apsmunro Even in adult pfizer vax data they exclude HIV+ analysis yet there may be specific risks there. Very frustrating our movement further & further away from personalized medicine.

Read 4 tweets
Jul 14
No "expert" can say the vax harms we are seeing today were "unpredictable" nor that they didn't know! Why were we not informed of these existing risks? This review also clearly demonstrates the experimental nature of covid vaccines. Here are some highlights...
First of all these vax technologies although novel they have indeed have been used in healthy humans (albeit in tiny #s), so claims that they were never tested in humans are false. Here are examples of experiments on humans for HIV, cytomegalovirus, & even influenza vax. ImageImage
That being said researchers called for better/higher quality manufacturing, regulations & especially safety AND efficacy monitoring! Better elucidating resulting cellular/immune pathways is also imperative. These have NOT been resolved & remain serious issues for covid vax Image
Read 26 tweets
May 30
@orwell2022 @Immetjes @MinVWS @connolly_s I thought i saw this study before, took me forever, but of course was just same authors! I hate these unnecessarily complicated papers that play around with putting people into diff categories instead of following stable groups of people over time.
@orwell2022 @Immetjes @MinVWS @connolly_s israel data seems to love that crap since they did that for their myocarditis from vax is less bad than from infection overhyped paper: where in reality they did NOT properly distinguish between myo due to V, myo due to CV, & myo due to just C (no vax)
@orwell2022 @Immetjes @MinVWS @connolly_s Read those convoluted ways of messing with the data (screenshits above)! Check those exclusions! Sometimes simple is best, but not when your data is so bad you need to do everything u can to make sure it fits with pre-conceived hypothesis & even then they struggle!
Read 11 tweets
May 26
@orwell2022 @OS51388957 @dobssi Why do all the above person's graphs look exactly the same no matter what parameter he uses? This tells me that eastern europe has a mortality issue irrespective of his inputs.
@orwell2022 @OS51388957 @dobssi Saying each thing matters because "hey look at my graphs! they correlate!" is a tiny fraction of the complicated mortality story. For ex tobacco use is NOT a mortality driver in bulgaria, only 1% above EU avg despite use being so much higher, you can see that in lung cancer stats
@orwell2022 @OS51388957 @dobssi Where is cyprus?! How come they have similar tobacco use as bulgaria yet low deaths? How come bulgaria's covid deaths are not far off eu avg yet they have large excess?
Read 8 tweets

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