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Sep 29 • 11 tweets • 4 min read
AFU is using German MLRS rocket delivered anti-tank/anti-vehicle mines to block Russian vehicle movement on the last main supply road to Lyman at Torske in Eastern Ukraine.

1/
This tweet gives you the visuals of the mine and the German MARS version of the M270 launcher which was used to deliver these rockets.

2/
This is @wartranslated tweet on the transfer of these rocket delivered mines.

3/
This tweet explains some of the capabilities of these AT-2 mines, also referred to as the DM1399.

4/
@UAWeapons has also reported the use of these mines in the Kherson Oblast in Western Ukraine on 23 & 25 September 2022.

5/
The DM1399 is part of a family of scatterable mines including the DM1233 and DM1274.

@noclador has a short sub-tweet thread responding to @UAWeapons here you can read here:

6/
This tweet is a German language video of the AT-2 scatterable rocket delivered mine in operation:
7/
This scatterable mine family is referred to as a "full-width" anti-tank mine because the little wire pointing straight up will trigger the mine to blow up under the belly of a Tank or AFV.

This makes them harder for track width mine plows to clear and deadlier to AFV crews.
8/
The AT-2 family of scatterable mines can also be laid by mechanical projectors off the side of helicopters or tracked vehicles (See the tweet below) for large defensive mine fields.

9/
What the rocket delivered version of the AT-2 is doing for Ukraine is temporarily freezing Russian vehicle movement at Torske in Eastern Ukraine, while the physical pocketing of Lyman is completed.

10/10 End
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More from @TrentTelenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 30
Translated from Spanish:

"Between #Torske and #Kreminna it has become a no man's land, there are likely to be Ukrainian reconnaissance and infiltration units around, making it a shooting gallery for anyone who crosses it."

Lyman🧵
1/5
The entire road out of Lyman is under Ukrainian drone observed artillery fire with MARS-M270 rocket delivered German AT-2 mines to pin Russian columns in the artillery kill jar.

It's all over for the Russian Lyman force, save for the details of its bloody annihilation.
2/5 ImageImage
Editor in Chief Censor.NЕТ Yurii Butusov has dropped this article on the tactical situation pertaining to Lyman.

"If Russian grouping in Lyman manages to be completely destroyed at withdrawal,

3/5
 censor.net/en/news/337064…
Read 5 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 29
We are seeing a Russian "Lanchester Square Collapse" in progress👇

1/
This Lanchester curve was visible in the Russian truck fleet for a while.

Now the lack of Russian truck logistics is causing the Russian collapse...

2/

...that is catching up with Russian field forces the way it caught up with Imperial Japanese air forces in the 1943 South Pacific.


3/
Read 4 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 29
English:

According to my position, chemical weapons were used. This is not a joke. Doctors say that the thing is not fatal, but it is difficult for the boys. Due to the castration of the "civilized" world, we will someday wait for the stars. I freaked out to be honest

Ru WMD 🧵
This is no surprise as the Russians have already used chemical weapons in Mariupol.

Russia used a spray-drone on the Azov Btn there as a part of their "Special Operation" because "Ukrainian Nazis deserved it."

Western defense analysts went into deep denial over that fact.
2/
The DC De-escalation faction is making increased Russian WMD use inevitable by denying Ukraine the F-16's, ATACMS, M-1 Abrams tanks, & Bradley fighting vehicles it has been asking for to win quickly.

3/
Read 12 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 28
This is an interesting thread looking into the "Who done it" of the NS-1 & NS-2 sabotage & some game theory on the suspects.

I'm going to highlight one the tweets from the thread to reintroduce the "Irrational Regime Hypothesis"🧵 as an explanation for the behaviors

1/
...you are seeing from Putin's Russia.

@EmmaMAshford makes an extremely astute point that modern political science and foreign policy academics have not been particularly...umm...call it 'reality based' vis a' vis the foreign policy of Putin's Russia.
2/
I don't hold this against those academics for acting in their own interests in avoiding sticking their necks out & getting chopped for being right.

First, I lived 33 years inside the iron rice bowl of US military procurement.

Upton Sinclair had the line describing both
3/ Image
Read 18 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 27
FYI, while Iranian Drone trucks can hide amongst other trucks.

Iranian electronic warfare awareness about Drone C3I radio emissions needs a lot of work.

Short Electronic Warfare 🧵

1/4
Electronic warfare 101 -- Always use radio transmission antennas remote from your command center.

Electronic Warfare 201 - Always put a decoy command center next to the remote transmitting antennas.

2/4
Electronic Warfare 301 - Always have a radio silent backup command center with your best technology, signals & maintenance people there because the enemy always gets a vote.

Since most militaries never truly practice robust EW, and are thus plug ignorant of EW 101 thru 301.
3/4
Read 4 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 27
For those who have missed the implications of text in this map clip, the Russian Rybar channel is reporting the Ukrainian light mechanized 'Cossacks' to its rear now.

Lyman's main resupply road is logistically cut off from unescorted truck resupply convoys.

1/ Image
And what Rybar is representing here is the best case for Russian forces still in Lyman.

There is still a chance of either Russian relief columns or a break out & retreat.

But the clock is ticking as these Ukrainian light forces are going to be setting up mined road blocks
2/
...to stop Russian logistical movements into and out of Lyman.

A mined roadblock covered by heavy machine guns, mortars, plus possible light AFV autocannon and ATGM, is a serious delay for any Russian combat unit escorted truck column.

3/
Read 5 tweets

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