Any further rate hikes from now on should be beneficial to crypto, as it pushes non-USD currencies into USD-denominated assets. If you're sitting in a country and your currency is being devalued due to high interest rates, the local price of #Bitcoin will continue to rise. (1/3)
#Bitcoin is the #1 crypto, which means it acts as a gateway into the crypto ecosystem, and I expect a lot of money to start pouring in as it exits heavily indebted and financially strained countries. The macro conditions this time are very different than in the past. (2/3)
What I'm saying is that if the Fed pushes this agenda any further, they're going to accelerate forex purchases of #Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies with any further rate hikes, as we saw with Britain earlier this week. #Bitcoin bears are going to be slaughtered. (3/3).
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I thought I’d share some of my market thoughts on crypto in a🧵.
Right now, the sideways consolidation in the crypto market is signaling that any lower in crypto will only be the result of much worsening macro conditions. (1/5)
Throughout this bear cycle, we have seen a number of critical improvements to crypto infrastructure - for example, Solana has become extremely stable and faster, ETH has successfully moved to Proof of Stake, etc. (2/5)
The earlier blowouts this year from within DeFi have worked it’s way out of the system for the most part, and although that deleveraging has brought us down, it has not collapsed the entire ecosystem. (3/5)
This thread got a bit out of hand. I admit that I was pissed that I couldn't mint an NFT, within 5s of a contract going live. I clearly got sniped by bots. I haven't previously minted at a drop on ETH, and didn't realize how Metamask (badly) handles the gas estimation. (1/7)
That said, ETH gas fees make the technology too expensive for mainstream use cases or users. I paid $50 just to run a test transaction to a wallet yesterday. ETH has a lot of good things about it, high gas fees are not one of them. (2/7)
I do want to apologize to anyone who found the tweet offensive, but I've always been an advocate for low-cost blockchains and I will continue to do so because I want to see this technology hit the mainstream. Ethereum will have its place and maybe L2 will help. (3/7)
Many people believe that the crypto winter is over. Here are some of my unfiltered thoughts on this topic. Charts & technicals aside, I don’t believe this rally is sustainable for one reason: The market has not yet decoupled the various crypto assets from Bitcoin.
This means that as the Bitcoin price rises, so does the price of other crypto’s, irrespective of value. This is a key point - Bitcoin could double overnight, but does this mean other assets should too, even if nothing has changed on their end in term of development, network etc?
It’s easy to argue that Bitcoin can be worth $10k or $20k, or even $100k, but the problem is that as the price has been rising towards those levels, we’re not seeing Bitcoin dominance increase disproportionately.
I don’t think I’ve been clear on my thoughts on Bitcoin and the various forks, so here is a quick summary. I still believe peer to peer digital cash will win over “Store of Value”, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that it’s BCH or BSV.
Outside of BTC, BCH and BSV - the other forks are largely unsupported with tiny communities that have little chance of longevity and are, by and large, either outright scams or very poor attempts at forking a protocol and building community & adoption. They may survive sub-scale.
The main forks (BTC, BCH and BSV) are all competing to solve problems relating to a combination of scale, utility, adoption and security, amongst other goals.