So grateful to Daniel Kahneman for blurbing #QUIT. Also shoutout to @WolfeJosh who introduced me to Danny 4 years ago. What an amazing intro! Danny was incredibly generous w/his time during the writing process, hopping on many zooms with me to help me think through the topic.
Kahneman’s work, much of it with Amos Tversky, is so foundational to the ideas in #QUIT. The concept of sure loss aversion (the bias against turning paper losses into realized losses, which stops you from stopping things when you are in the losses) comes from those conversations.
Loss aversion also biases us against quitting. Loss aversion makes us not want to start things where we might experience a bad outcome & regret. Since quitting means starting something new (ie quitting your job to find another) loss aversion stops us from switching to new things.
It doesn’t feel like sticking w/the status quo is starting new every day. Staying in your job each day doesn’t feel like starting each day. But switching to a new one does. *Loss aversion is asymmetric*, recruited when we consider quitting to start something new.
Danny also offered a solution to our bias against quitting: find a quitting coach. His is @R_Thaler. (I’d like to have a Nobel laureate as my quitting coach also!). If Kahneman thinks he needs someone to help him see when it is time to walk away, I think we all do.
Kahneman is a prolific researcher who won the Nobel prize for his work on prospect theory.
There are too many foundational papers to cite but THINKING FAST AND SLOW is a fantastic intro to his outsized influence on the discipline of behavioral economics: amazon.com/Thinking-Fast-…
Danny also just published NOISE along with @CassSunstein and @SobOliv, a fantastic exploration on how variability in human judgment addles our decision making. I LOVE this book and use the concepts in my everyday work.
You can listen to a super fun podcast of a conversation between me, Kahneman, @WolfeJosh, and @MJMauboussin that Josh hosted at @Lux_Capital. I hope it is obvious how wonderful and warm and kind Danny is when you listen.
Here is Kahneman’s blurb: “This brilliant and entertaining book documents a major flaw in human actions and decisions: the bias against quitting. I learned a lot from its compelling tales of failures and sound recommendations. You will too.”
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Thank you @ShaneAParrish for blurbing #QUIT. Shane is, of course, the founder of @farnamstreet which is an incredible community for those committed to becoming better thinkers and decision makers. fs.blog/blog/
@ShaneAParrish also has a great newsletter, Sunday Brain Food, “timeless ideas you can use to create wealth, live a meaningful life, and achieve unstoppable progress.” I’m a subscriber and you should be to!
@ShaneAParrish is also obsessed with mental models and has written extensively on the topic, publishing The Great Mental Models (3 volumes!). These are great books to help you become a better thinker.
So grateful to @donandrewmoore for supporting #QUIT and blurbing it. Don was crucial in helping me with the section of the book on over optimism and how that contributes to our bias against quitting. He is my go to guy on all things overconfidence😊
I first talked to @Donandrewmoore about quitting back in Jan of 2021 as I was working on the proposal for #QUIT. What day in January?? January 6th!
As we were zooming, I started getting a barrage of texts about what was happening at the Capitol. I realized I had not heard a word of the last few minutes of anything @donandrewmoore had said so suggested that perhaps we should both go watch the news & reconvene at a later date.
So grateful to @RyanHoliday for blurbing #QUIT. Not sure what I can say about him that won’t take a VERY long thread since he might be the most productive human I know! But, I'll try 👇🏻
.@RyanHoliday has a new book coming out THIS TUESDAY! Discipline is Destiny is excellent (I was lucky enough to read an advance copy). Buy it now!
Ryan is best known for his books on #stoicism. His first book I read was The Obstacle is the Way on how to turn adversity into advantage. It's helped me thru some hard times. It is a breezy read on stoic philosophy that doesn’t sacrifice depth.
So grateful to @DavidEpstein for blurbing #QUIT. David didn't just say some nice things to put on the back cover, he also was right there with me when I was just starting the explore the ideas that would become the book.
He was a connector and thought partner and I know this book would be worse, had I not had his support. Thank you @davidepstein.
.@DavidEpstein is a brilliant writer & journalist. His book, RANGE, is a #1 @NYTimes bestseller. It's an engaging & thought-provoking exploration of the counterintuitive idea that being a generalist (not specialist) will = more creativity and success.
I am so grateful to @Katy_Milkman for blurbing QUIT. Katy supported me through the process, reading early drafts & offering invaluable suggestions about how to make the book better. She also introduced me to other folks who were crucial in helping me to navigate the topic.
Katy is best known for her significant work on behavior change as a professor @Wharton. Her bestseller, How to Change, came out last year & received rave reviews. The book is truly a must-read for anyone looking to kick start a change in their life.
Katy is also the host of the wonderful podcast, #Choiceology. Super fun listen exploring “the lessons of behavioral economics, exposing the psychological traps that lead to expensive mistakes.” You should really add this to your regular queue! katymilkman.com/podcast
So grateful to @PTetlock for blurbing my new book, Quit: The Power of Knowing When to Walk Away. Phil is a giant in the field of forecasting and human judgment and decision making. He is also a fantastic follow on twitter!
Phil is most famous for his work on forecasting with Barb Mellers and many other fantastic collaborators. You can read about that work in his New York Times best seller, Superforecasting, The Art and Science of Prediction, coauthored with @dgardner.
Phil also published Expert Political Judgment: How Good is It? How Can We know? It is an excellent read about the good, the bad, and the ugly of punditry and political prediction. Highly recommend both of these books.