Share this page!

Trent Telenko Profile picture
Twitter logo
Sep 29 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
We are seeing a Russian "Lanchester Square Collapse" in progress👇

1/
This Lanchester curve was visible in the Russian truck fleet for a while.

Now the lack of Russian truck logistics is causing the Russian collapse...

2/

...that is catching up with Russian field forces the way it caught up with Imperial Japanese air forces in the 1943 South Pacific.


3/
@MarkHertling called it exactly right as far as what difference mobilized Russians will mean as far as stopping the Russian collapse.

They are Lambs to the Russo-Ukrainian War slaughter.

4/4

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Trent Telenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @TrentTelenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture
Oct 1
This is why the Russians fought so hard for Lyman.

Kreminna has no natural barriers to keep it from be flanked from the North.👇

1/
Gee, it just so happens AFU is doing just that to get at and block the P66 highway supplying Kreminna from the north.

2/ Image
And gee again, there are not many Russian troops there to stop AFU from doing just that.

3/
Read 5 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Oct 1
@Drachinifel
@AC_NavalHistory
@ArmouredCarrier

There is a Bilgepumps episode in comparing the USN San Antonio class Amphib to this Taiwanese LPD.

If Taiwan's self defense fit is what is required to survive in the South China Sea.

Then the USN has a useless amphib
1/
And the Taiwanese ship is a 5th rate while the San Antonio is unarmed on the Bilgepumps rating scale.

The San Antonio as an amphibious LCS design by Taiwan's SCS standards.

2/
This passage from the Drive piece is absolutely lethal:

"At the same time, the fact that these kinds of weapons have been fitted in the Taiwanese LPD (in the case of the TC-2N) or at least considered (HF-2), likely reflects the assumption that any kind of conflict involving
3/
Read 6 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 30
Translated from Spanish:

"Between #Torske and #Kreminna it has become a no man's land, there are likely to be Ukrainian reconnaissance and infiltration units around, making it a shooting gallery for anyone who crosses it."

Lyman🧵
1/5
The entire road out of Lyman is under Ukrainian drone observed artillery fire with MARS-M270 rocket delivered German AT-2 mines to pin Russian columns in the artillery kill jar.

It's all over for the Russian Lyman force, save for the details of its bloody annihilation.
2/5 ImageImage
Editor in Chief Censor.NЕТ Yurii Butusov has dropped this article on the tactical situation pertaining to Lyman.

"If Russian grouping in Lyman manages to be completely destroyed at withdrawal,

3/5
 censor.net/en/news/337064…
Read 5 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 29
English:

According to my position, chemical weapons were used. This is not a joke. Doctors say that the thing is not fatal, but it is difficult for the boys. Due to the castration of the "civilized" world, we will someday wait for the stars. I freaked out to be honest

Ru WMD 🧵
This is no surprise as the Russians have already used chemical weapons in Mariupol.

Russia used a spray-drone on the Azov Btn there as a part of their "Special Operation" because "Ukrainian Nazis deserved it."

Western defense analysts went into deep denial over that fact.
2/
The DC De-escalation faction is making increased Russian WMD use inevitable by denying Ukraine the F-16's, ATACMS, M-1 Abrams tanks, & Bradley fighting vehicles it has been asking for to win quickly.

3/
Read 12 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 29
AFU is using German MLRS rocket delivered anti-tank/anti-vehicle mines to block Russian vehicle movement on the last main supply road to Lyman at Torske in Eastern Ukraine.

1/
This tweet gives you the visuals of the mine and the German MARS version of the M270 launcher which was used to deliver these rockets.

2/
This is @wartranslated tweet on the transfer of these rocket delivered mines.

3/
Read 11 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Sep 28
This is an interesting thread looking into the "Who done it" of the NS-1 & NS-2 sabotage & some game theory on the suspects.

I'm going to highlight one the tweets from the thread to reintroduce the "Irrational Regime Hypothesis"🧵 as an explanation for the behaviors

1/
...you are seeing from Putin's Russia.

@EmmaMAshford makes an extremely astute point that modern political science and foreign policy academics have not been particularly...umm...call it 'reality based' vis a' vis the foreign policy of Putin's Russia.
2/
I don't hold this against those academics for acting in their own interests in avoiding sticking their necks out & getting chopped for being right.

First, I lived 33 years inside the iron rice bowl of US military procurement.

Upton Sinclair had the line describing both
3/ Image
Read 18 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Send Email!

Email the whole thread instead of just a link!

Separate emails with commas

:(