Kup'yans'k
RU 27th Separate Guards Motor Rifle Brigade from the 1st GTA has been geolocated to this area, they lost a few T-90A. The AFU are making incremental gains in this area.
Lyman area
RU BARS-13 retreated from Drobysheve and UA 81st Airmobile brigade moved in and liberated the settlement. The AFU also liberated Yampil tightening the noose around Lyman.
There are some reports from RU channels about a jump over Zherebets river, I'm considering this a rumor at this is point. I also checked satellite today for any sign of a UA bridgehead around Bilohorivka, there were no bridges.
The RU units I are in the Lyman area are:
752nd GMRR
Reservists units BARS 13 and 16
208th Motor Rifle Regiment LDNR
119th regiment with mobilized reserves LDNR
Bakhmut
RuAF are making are on the offensive south of Bakhmut, but it does not look like they have made any progress. The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Zaitseve, Mayorsk, Vesela Dolyna, Bakhmutske, Odradivka, Kurdyumivka, New York and Pervomais'ke by Donetsk.
Kherson
RuAF failed an attack in the area of Bezimenne.
This guy says the AFU has entered Lyman, they control a part of it. I have a geolocation with medium confidence. tiktok.com/@alkash47_ak/v…
Possible location: 48.957061085186005, 37.84990696752767
This video is supposedly from Kreminna today.
Brothers morale very low.
Translation below, h/t discord guy t.me/MezinoYuri/229
Tranlsation: "That's it blyat, all fucked. Met the guys just now, the last ones. Nobody in front blyat. Not the 208th, nobody. Fa**ots blyat. Not ours, not those who lost people here. Everybody knows where the fa**ots are [Shoigu? lmao]."
Sewer rats?
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They decided to go and stand on this little piece of road right here.
57.923805, 27.679182
There is some kind of local deal where Estonians are allowed to drive over that little stretch of Russian land if they don't stop. news.err.ee/1609827133/ppa…
Rough infil/exfil path of the UVU shooter, based on photos, videos and eye whitness reports. Green arrows are guestimated paths between sightings.
In the start of this video, the UVU shooter can be seen walking towards the campus, at the end he can be seen running away from it.
40.28187, -111.71443
The next location is the tunnel going under the Campus drive to the parking garage
40.28014, -111.71459
Ukrainian Drone hit the Deng Xiaoping Logistics Complex which is part of the Alabuga Special Economical Zone. The Alabuga SEZ is where they produce the Shahed drone.
The DXLC is a railway logistics center being built in partnership with China to support the fast growing Alabuga SEZ.
At the actual SEZ they are expanding at a rapid pace, they are building on site housing and/or office space for tens of thousands of employees. Their goal is likely to significantly scale up the production of drones.
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House.
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor?