Seeing some outlets publish incorrect or misleading links between #Ian and climate change (CC).
Things the science suggests CC is linked to:
— more rapid intensification
— wetter storms
— stronger storms
— farther north
Not linked to:
— number of storms
— size of storms
Moreover, attributing Ian — a major hurricane during peak hurricane season in the most hurricane-prone state in the U.S. — fully to CC is simply false.
We can examine other elements (intensification rate, rainfall, etc.) down the road.
Likewise, all major hurricanes are predisposed to producing catastrophic storm surge. That’s not a new thing and not a climate change thing. (Argument could be made that a bit of sea level rise means acutely worse surge.)
Responsible reporting means transparent climate science.
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Why do we say wait 30 minutes after thunder before venturing outdoors?
Exhibit #4372. Lightning – cloud to ground – 70 miles away from the main precipitation core in Texas with this supercell. The anvil carries charge and occasionally sparks lightning.
Only takes one strike.
Also a great example of shear. The storm is moving southeast, but the anvil east-northeast.
That change of wind speed/direction with height is what brewed the rotating updraft to begin with.
Folks downwind should be prepared for large hail the size of hen eggs or perhaps bigger. It may be wind-driven.
No downwind warning yet, but there's one coming. Likely just busy at the office or something.