Seeing some outlets publish incorrect or misleading links between #Ian and climate change (CC).

Things the science suggests CC is linked to:
— more rapid intensification
— wetter storms
— stronger storms
— farther north

Not linked to:
— number of storms
— size of storms
Moreover, attributing Ian — a major hurricane during peak hurricane season in the most hurricane-prone state in the U.S. — fully to CC is simply false.

We can examine other elements (intensification rate, rainfall, etc.) down the road.
Likewise, all major hurricanes are predisposed to producing catastrophic storm surge. That’s not a new thing and not a climate change thing. (Argument could be made that a bit of sea level rise means acutely worse surge.)

Responsible reporting means transparent climate science.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Matthew Cappucci

Matthew Cappucci Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @MatthewCappucci

Oct 24, 2021
An *incredible* atmospheric river event in #California.

A "double bomb" off Pacific Northwest coast with an air pressure rivaling that of Sandy in 2012 is swirling ashore record moisture.

Up to a foot of rain, debris flows, meters of Sierra Nevada snow. washingtonpost.com/weather/2021/1…
In California, Sacramento could see 4 to 6 inches of rain.

They just wrapped up a record dry streak that lasted an incredible 222 days. Flash flood watches blanket the region.

This is feast from famine. Major drought-denting rainfall totals.
The rain will come down at rates of up to an inch per hour, which will be enough to bring debris flows, mudslides, etc..

6.7 million acres have burned in the last two years, especially across northern California. Rainfall rates topping 0.25"/hour can spark debris flows.
Read 11 tweets
Apr 9, 2021
Why do we say wait 30 minutes after thunder before venturing outdoors?

Exhibit #4372. Lightning – cloud to ground – 70 miles away from the main precipitation core in Texas with this supercell. The anvil carries charge and occasionally sparks lightning.

Only takes one strike.
Also a great example of shear. The storm is moving southeast, but the anvil east-northeast.

That change of wind speed/direction with height is what brewed the rotating updraft to begin with.
Folks downwind should be prepared for large hail the size of hen eggs or perhaps bigger. It may be wind-driven.

No downwind warning yet, but there's one coming. Likely just busy at the office or something.
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(