There's no doubt the storm complex was extremely destructive, long-lived and part of a larger MCS, or mesoscale convective system, that traveled a considerable distance.
BUT some semantics we need to get into. A thread:
For starters, as @WeatherProf and @capitalweather adroitly point out, these MCSs formed on the northern periphery of a sprawling heat dome over Central America and the Gulf. That's a classic recipe for progressive derechos to ride along the CAPE gradient as "ridge runners."
Jul 19, 2023 • 12 tweets • 5 min read
As one reviews radar data, it becomes increasingly apparent that a tornado warning should very much have been in effect for Dortches, N.C.
This was, simply, a big miss; we weren't *anticipating* it, but radar/warning *reaction* was slow.
Let's look at the radar:
As the storm is over Nashville at 12:15 p.m., it is obviously hooking. It also appears it may be ingesting some streamwise vorticity from a boundary, with can be seen south of Spring Hope. SPC had also had a mesoscale discussion up for 1 hour 35 minutes at this point.
Oct 24, 2021 • 11 tweets • 5 min read
An *incredible* atmospheric river event in #California.
A "double bomb" off Pacific Northwest coast with an air pressure rivaling that of Sandy in 2012 is swirling ashore record moisture.
Up to a foot of rain, debris flows, meters of Sierra Nevada snow. washingtonpost.com/weather/2021/1…
In California, Sacramento could see 4 to 6 inches of rain.
They just wrapped up a record dry streak that lasted an incredible 222 days. Flash flood watches blanket the region.
This is feast from famine. Major drought-denting rainfall totals.
Apr 9, 2021 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Why do we say wait 30 minutes after thunder before venturing outdoors?
Exhibit #4372. Lightning – cloud to ground – 70 miles away from the main precipitation core in Texas with this supercell. The anvil carries charge and occasionally sparks lightning.
Only takes one strike.
Also a great example of shear. The storm is moving southeast, but the anvil east-northeast.
That change of wind speed/direction with height is what brewed the rotating updraft to begin with.