It's far too early to talk about "Ukraine's defeat".
https://twitter.com/witte_sergei/status/1575975278652043264
This tweet comes off corny & condescending
You have all been wrong about many things
And by the way, the people who actually make reality hold a gun in their hand. You don't determine/predict whether the troops holding Liman had morale/will-to-fight etc
You have all been wrong about many things
And by the way, the people who actually make reality hold a gun in their hand. You don't determine/predict whether the troops holding Liman had morale/will-to-fight etc
https://twitter.com/witte_sergei/status/1575976429077962752
Even though I'm practically certain of a Russian victory, I've always warned against excessive optimism, and have predicted more of these upsets than probably most people.
E.g.
E.g.
https://twitter.com/tom_username_/status/1522696645296758784
If we want to brag about predictions, here is one of mine back in May. 
Contrast this with your unwarranted excessive optimism (see attached).
Quote: "they're attempting a thrust toward Kupyansk, with the aim of cutting the line connecting Izyum to Belgorod in the north. This operation is ... doomed to spectacular failure."
bigserge.substack.com/p/ukraine-coun…
Quote: "they're attempting a thrust toward Kupyansk, with the aim of cutting the line connecting Izyum to Belgorod in the north. This operation is ... doomed to spectacular failure."
bigserge.substack.com/p/ukraine-coun…
I'm getting a bit sick of the whole "everyone else is panicking, but here is me: 😏the cool, calm one"
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