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Vitaly Profile picture
@M0nstas
Oct 2, 2022 • 7 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
Scrolly
Road T0403 is the route to Beryslav that supplies 🇷🇺 foothold on Inhulets.
Checkpoints on a way to Beryslav:
1. Novooleksandrivka
2. Dudchany
3. Mylove - Novokairy
Is it for real?
T0403 crossings with internal roads.
Doesn’t look promising for any emergency retreat.
What about the weather in Beryslav?
🌧 + rural roads = RybarCraft
Ceasars can reach most of the rural area, while mech will take care of the road.
Break through was expected but unpredictable.
The regional T0403 road over the dam looks like it was already shelled.
How good all other roads should look like?

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More from @M0nstas

Vitaly Profile picture
Sep 12
Cheese Defense review
Heavy drone usage has significantly reshaped modern defensive tactics in Ukraine.
For the AFU, adapting means balancing exposure risks with the need for flexibility along one of the world's longest active frontlines.
Instead of rigid continuous lines, the AFU uses "pockets" - fortified strongpoints or "super nodes".
These hubs resist enemy attacks while visible gaps let AFU hold more ground with fewer troops.
Those gaps aren't empty. They’re filled with mines, obstacles & kill zones to slow Russian advances.
Drones amplify this: RuAF UAVs search for weak spots, while AFU FPVs & loitering munitions strike intruders.
Read 10 tweets
Vitaly Profile picture
Sep 12
Russian forces of Army Group East are attempting to secure tactical gains on the front by shifting their focus westward, away from Novopavlivka, in an effort to cross the Vovcha river and establish a foothold.
With Novopavlivka as an obvious answer. Image
AFU are relying on the high ground west of the river and defensive bubbles centered around major strongholds to contain the offensive. In exchange, Ukrainian defenders appear willing to concede some empty territory, of 13 people per square kilometers.
Russians may be allowed to advance as far as Vyshneve, in the area between the Yanchur and Vovcha rivers, moving along AFU main ditches in a narrow corridor behind the defensive lines.
That will give them up to 300km2 to report but no real benefits to threaten AFU. Image
Read 7 tweets
Vitaly Profile picture
Aug 29
MoD RF reportedly captured 90km2 (lowest this month) and 6 settlements over a week.
Seredne at Lyman
Kleban-Byk, Nelipivka at Toretsk
Filia, Pershe Travnia at Pokrovsk
and Zaporozhske at Novopavlivka. Image
Majority of the gains happened at Novopavlivka and Lyman directions.
Things aren't that bad despite the information background.
Activities across all the fronts looks next Image
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Northern sector looks next Image
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Read 4 tweets
Vitaly Profile picture
Aug 1
July in two pictures Image
Image
Average 32280 IvanZ, lowest-ever APC losses 140, second-lowest tank losses 85.
Declining vehicle losses reflect the changes on the battlefield.

Vehicles are no longer shaping the battlefield - drones are. Image
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Artillery is still used in high numbers, as the majority of cannons are damaged but can eventually be repaired. UAV losses reflect further production scaling, and missiles are used as usual, seems like russia is capped in its production. Image
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Read 4 tweets
Vitaly Profile picture
Jul 4
#Map Velykyi Burluk

The Velykyi Burluk area sits on the watershed between the Siverskyi Donets and Oskil rivers. Rugged terrain and sparse roads define the region, with strategic hilltop routes bypassing small settlements. Image
Russians have captured Milove, a narrow stretch along the border. This secures key ravines and threatens Ambarne, potentially opening a route into the next valley with multiple operational options. Image
The most promising move is uniting the Oskil foothold along the Verkhmia Dvurichkova River. The area isn’t great for vehicles, but drones can control it. That alone could force a Ukrainian "withdrawal".
Read 8 tweets
Vitaly Profile picture
Jul 1
June in two Image
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All the categories except UAVs are on decline.
Armor losses on the all time low level, vehicle losses high but 800 less than in April.

Also, significant part of the losses are recoverable.
Russians should be able to accumulate armor for the future operations. Image
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Artillery number decreasing, MLRS remain unchanged despite the decreased number of reported barrages.

UAV broke another record, mostly by Shaheds scaling. Image
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Read 5 tweets

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