We've reached the "rats in a sack" phase of this new #LizTruss UK Financial meltdown row. The 45% tax rate decision has been canned - and now it looks as if @KwasiKwarteng's deputy @CPhilpOfficial is the designated scapegoat.
Clearly someone had briefed against @CPhilpOfficial for this ^^ interview - suggesting that the idea of the cut to the tax rate had been presented to new PM @TrussLiz during her leadership campaign.
For her part @TrussLiz herself is saying that "it wasn't her idea".
This seems a little vague. When it comes to ideas which are likely to assist one get seelected as a PM replacement among a group of 160,000 of well healed @Conservatives members, cutting their tax rate is definitely a "good idea".
And while perhaps the origin of the idea came was Chris Philps, clearly it was embraced by PM @TrussLiz and Chancellor @KwasiKwarteng, and their apparent reluctance to reverse the decision in the face of a catastrophe, suggests there was a reason to hold on to it.
Given that it wasn't a public campaign committment - as far as I am aware - during her leadership bid, one can't help but wonder now if it was a private one. The reneging on which may now have some blowback from wealthy donors.
One might say that Kwarteng gets a right slapping.
Fault deflection is an obvious course of action in circumstances such as this. But their problem is that removal of this tax cut doesn't really resolve the underlying issue - namely that interest rates have now spiked - threatening the livelihoods and aspirations of millions.
And to be fair to the now beleaguered chief sectretary to the Treasury @CPhilpOfficial, he's not really the one to blame for this, even if it was his idea. Unless we can (and one might) blame him for getting @TrussLiz elected.
NOAA has published a remarkable tool to allow you to look at #HurricaneIAN damage in Florida and beyond.
This image shows the heart of the coverage of the satellite data - From Naples up to Venice. Imagery reveals how concentrated extreme damage is. oceanservice.noaa.gov/news/sep22/ngs…
In the long range PWAT animation in the quoted thread above you can see one possible outcome, a massive cyclone embedded in a gyre which nearly covers the entire Gulf of Mexico.
But that is still a long way off and can probably be considered a worst case scenario.
Hurricane's are not predictable at such long ranges. But large scale dynamics about atmospheric water dynamics are fairly reliable at range.
At this point the NHC remains unconvinced by Invest91L itself. And gave it just a 20% probability of formation only this morning.
The unusual, unpredictable and #ExtremeWeather of #HurricaneIAN is still continuing in the North East of the US. The remnant low has strengthened and remains parked off the Maryland coast.
This storm has now spent nearly a week over the US.
Last night I posted a fairly discursive thread looking at the Tropical Atlantic, and some threats in the long range GFS forecast - including the threat posted by the remnants of #HurricaneIan
Here we are looking in particular at the stationary low pressure center off the coast of Maryland (Top Left) in the animation above. The impacts are becoming more significant now as the remnants of #IAN - back over the Atlantic are strengthening again.
There is a lot going on in the Tropical & North Atlantic over the coming fortnight in this latest GFS run. Including two hurricane's and the continuing impact of the remnants of #HurricaneIAN in NE Nth America.
Here's the PWAT version. For Texas's sake it would be best if #Invest91L does not become a TS/Hurricane.
But there are a few other features in that forecast which are alarming. In the short term the MLSP shows the remnants of #HurricaneIAN remaining stationary just off the coast of Maryland for the next 48 hours. Which means this storm is not going away for two days.