Thread by @DefMon3

Update 🧵October 3rd.
Visit the interactive map for more details and explanations.

Todays thread is presented by the AFU commander in charge of the Kherson offensive.

h/t @giantcat9 (Sorry if I destroyed your image)

Interactive map: scribblemaps.com/maps/view/Oper…

Yesterdays thread:

https://twitter.com/DefMon3/status/1576635038866632704

GSUA reported 58 shelling locations today, there are roughly another 40 unnamed locations.

FIRMS Data: 2022-10-03_17:55
Added 24 locations to kml
Filtered 7 locations by proximity to other fires
Removed 47 false positives

Lyman
The AFU liberated Borova♥️, Shyikivka, Izyums'ke and Druzhelyubivka.
Borova makes me especially happy since I've been reading their telegram feed since early May.
t.me/borova_gromada

GSUA reported shellings in Nevs'ke and Terny which confirms AFU advancing east of Zherebets river. According to rybar, advanced UA units are operating on the high ground overlooking the P66 road between Kreminna and Svatove.

https://twitter.com/EerikMatero/status/1576863999185985536

t.me/borova_gromada…
t.me/DeepStateUA/14…

Possibly a sighting of trucks from 237th Tank Regiment in the Kreminna area.
t.me/sashakots/36191

Bakhmut-Donetsk
Nothing new on the eastern front. The Lada lottery keeps spinning, the RuAF are pleasing mothers in the Russian federation every day.

The AFU repulsed attacks in the following directions: Zaitseve, Bakhmutske, Bakhmut, Odradivka, Vyimka, Spirne, Nevelske, Mayorsk, New York, Pobyeda and Pervomaiske.

Kherson north.
I have seen a lot of evidence of a AFU advance down to the Dudchany area. I find the reports believable.

Things are starting to look "not great" for the RuAF in the northern parts of the Kherson region.

It seems like we once again have seen the Russian version of controlled retreat.

One source out of many for Kherson:

https://twitter.com/Deepstate_UA/status/1576954776562323456

The AFU entering Borova. 🥳
t.me/borova_gromada…

I want to thank everyone sending me information on Twitter and on Discord. I read every message, I try to respond but some times I just don't have time.

If you guys have not noticed (sorry if I'm Cpt Obvious), this is what the AFU seems to be doing.
They envelop a town trying to force a retreat. Every time RU retreats they loose equipment and personnel.

By keeping the Russians moving, they keep having to take position at unprepared locations. Lyman was the first major positions after the AFU crossed the Oskil river, RuAF had about a week or so to prepare defenses here before the AFU caught up.

We can already see the next envelopment in progress, and I expect we will see a similar situation as in Lyman where the AFU try to push around.
There has been rumors about AFU attempts to advance south of the SD river, and I believe these are part of that plan.

I think this is the next step. The Eastern AFU grouping will advance to the north of Kreminna and turn south east. This will force RuAF to retreat from Kreminna.

I think the Borova grouping will turn east while the Kupyansk group keep advancing to the south east to expand and connect the two bridge heads.

At this point I would expect attempts to envelop Svatove.