Trent Telenko Profile picture
Oct 3 3 tweets 1 min read
If this translation is to be believed, Ukraine jammed Russian communications in support of its Northern Kherson offensive.

This would explain the scale of the AFU breakthrough.

"No coms means no bombs"

Russian forward observers could not reach their guns and rear HQ didn't
1/3
...hear collapsing front line Russian units calls for help until AFU mobile forces were well into the Russian rear areas.

Then the Russian reserves could not hear their directions to counter attack in time to do anything useful.

The Russians now have a case of the "slows"
2/3
...in Kherson until they figure out tactics to limit AFU radio jamming effectiveness.

RuAF won't have time to do so during this AFU operation.

I think getting some popcorn is in order.

3/3

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More from @TrentTelenko

Oct 5
The Russo-ukrainian War is a railway logistics war, so people need to bookmark this map from @xaliu5👇

The denial of the Snihurivka railway hub to the Russians cuts Kherson city proper from rail logistics through Nova Kokhovka & strands engines & rolling stock between

1/5
Snihurivka and either Nova Kokhovka or Kherson city proper.**

**The Russians have put a temporary bypass at Nova Kokhovka by filling the locks with soil for trucks. I haven't seen anything about rail traffic there being similarly restored.

2/5
The Snihurivka railway hub is also of strategic importance for AFU railway artillery logistics supporting future operations.

It's capture will give AFU superior lateral logistics to the Russians across the Kherson front.

4/5
Read 4 tweets
Oct 4
Russian "Good Will Gesture" in progress in Northern Kherson.

Key Ukrainian artillery max range #'s.

55 km - 2S7 Pion 203mm gun
50 km -- Excalibur guided shell range in a 155mm 52 caliber gun
40 km -- 2A36 Giatsint-B 152mm Gun w/OFARS & NATO 155mm 52 cal gun w/RAP shells

1/8
30 km -- 155mm/39 Caliber RAP shells

Those ranges are the key distances AFU needs to be within to use that artillery on the Nova Kakhovka dam road/rail bottleneck in Russian logistics.

Russia lacks anything that can stop artillery shells.
2/8
The closer Ukraine gets, the more artillery systems can exert "fire control" on that bottleneck.

The pacing items here for the Russians are fuel and ammunition, in that order.
3/8
Read 8 tweets
Oct 3
This is the first coherent Russian description of AFU's light motorized forces playing Cossack in the Russian rear areas.

Please carefully note these forces are using small UAV's to dominate the Russian rear area battle space.
1/
What I find highly amusing is I was expecting exactly this pattern to appear because I spent time doing a survey of Ukrainian music videos👇

Blood Lands Rising! — A Music Video Tour of Modern Ukrainian National Identity
July 1, 2019 by Trent Telenko

2/
chicagoboyz.net/archives/60102…
The two videos that relate to AFU's light motorized Cossacks @wartranslated mentioned are first :

Riffmaster – Тихо прийшов, Тихо пішов”, або “Пісня спеціального значення”

3/
Read 15 tweets
Oct 3
Having spent several years accepting MRAP trucks & hearing directly from soldiers because my email was on the property forms.

I cannot tell you how mind blowing the view at the 15 second mark in this video is.🤯🤯🤯

No Russian NCOs🧵

1/6 Image
Mine resistant vehicles a don't work if you treat them like a truck and throw s--t in the back randomly.

It is, frankly, suicidal.

2/6
This is a clip from a US Army document on the proper seating and stowage in a mine resistant, ambush protected (MRAP) vehicle.

That Typhoon crew compartment was yet another example in a Russo-Ukrainian War encyclopedia of how the lack of an NCO Corps is killing the Russian
3/6 Image
Read 6 tweets
Oct 3
Something people should be thinking about is that the Ukrainians might be using their sequence of attacks to knock down the Russians' WILL to resist too, and not merely their ability to fight.

1/3
Ukraine has more Russian speaking intelligence analysts in its national security organizations than every other military power in the world.

Whether it is more than all of NATO militaries combined or world wide I'll leave to others to figure out.

2/3
After seven months of war, AFU knows how the Russian Army thinks.

So, if there is any military that knows how to collapse the current Russian Army's will to fight by multiple defeats inflicted quickly.

That military belongs to Ukraine.

3/3
Read 4 tweets
Oct 3
@CAFranchise @DefMon3 @Caucasuswar @battleorder We don't know if Ukraine used an airmobile operation in Kherson, but we will find out soon enough.

And please note, Ukraine has had heliborne assault capability all along.

Many on Twitter simply have ignored it because...

...I don't know.

1/
@CAFranchise @DefMon3 @Caucasuswar @battleorder I've always assumed Ukraine would do a heliborne assault when it would hurt the Russians more than the risk of failing a carefully planned operation.

Ukraine has put a great deal of thought into defeating such operations, see all the failed VDV airmobile operations including

2/
@CAFranchise @DefMon3 @Caucasuswar @battleorder ...Hostomel.

I'd think the Ukrainians would have a much better feel on how to conduct a successful airmobile operation because they would know what to look for from Russian defenses based on that doctrine.

3/
Read 8 tweets

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