Thread by @ArmsControlWonk

I am not convinced it was a nuclear weapons convoy, FWIW.

https://twitter.com/TelegraphWorld/status/1577028610686275589

In May, Russia started serial production of a new "uninhabited combat module" (really just a turret) called BM-30-D Spitsa (32V01) for its armored vehicles.

Some Russian armored vehicles with the Spitsa turret were spotted on a train. This is the "convoy" in question.

One Russian news source suggested that the Spitsa turret "is intended for installation on KamAZ-43269 Shot (4x4) armored vehicles for escort and protection of special cargoes" -- which implies the 12 GUMO will get them to escort nuclear weapons.
en.topwar.ru/196219-v-rossi…

Here's the problem. The same article suggested that no one really knows who will get the armored vehicles with the new turrets, how many will be produced, or whether some might be sent to fight in Ukraine.

Given that the turret just started serial production a few months ago and Russia is in need of more armored vehicles at the moment, there are multiple plausible explanations for what we are seeing. (Assuming the train is a heading to the front.)

Also, this is not the way to transport nuclear weapons! Russia has specialized railcars for transporting nuclear weapons (see below). If we saw a train with those railcars, then we're getting warmer. But even then, Russia moves nuclear weapons around the country all the time.

So do we, by the way! So does every nuclear power. There are even people who try to spot convoys in the UK. (I don't recommend this as a hobby.)
nukewatch.org.uk/convoys/how-to…

One would really need a pattern of life analysis that shows this train with these special cars left a specific place and was headed someplace unusual. Right now, the only claim I see is that this armored vehicle with this turret is a unique signature of 12 GUMO.

All of which is to say the claim that this is a "nuclear weapons convoy" is based on an incredibly fragile chain of inferences made on the basis of very little evidence in the face of many other plausible, I dare even say more plausible, explanations.