1/ Today is the 1000th day after the murderous shooting of flight #PS752 by the IRGC.
A 🧵to remember the #IranLobby's reaction. I hope you'll distribute to media that continues to book these people/or ppl from orgs at which these people work.
2/ Let's start with Negar Mortazavi, who is regularly on television and newspapers commenting on Iran. This was her immediate take. (h/t @hafezeh_tarikhi)
The IRI's has issued an unprecedented" & "very responsible" statement that shows "good governance" and "transparency".
3/ Here is Dr. Narges Bajoghli, prof at Johns Hopkins & always in the press (quoted in the NYT today!)
Suggests Trump admin was responsible.
Something fishy was indeed happening. But in the early hours after the attack, she didn't entertain the possibility of IRI invovlement.
4/ Former NIAC employee suggesting this was about Boeing's stock price.
5/ Mr. Mohammad Ali Shabani (last check, SOAS PhD student) and @amwajmedia editor. Has published in the Guardian and elsewhere. "It's clear" it couldn't have been a missle.
Msg then endorsed by Mr. Adnan Tabatabi, also a SOAS grad and part of @theELN think tank.
6/ Author (formerly?) of BBC Persian Mr. Masoud Behnoud writes about those who said the IRI could be responsible:
"I'm left surprised how these 'political activists' and 'Iran lovers' and 'freedom lovers' have identified the reason for the incident and those responsible."
7/ Mr. Sina Toossi, then of NIAC. White House claims that IRI was responsible are "psychological warfare arimed at stirring discontent & unrest in Iran" which should be taken with a "huge grain of salt".
8/ Mr. Bijan Ahmadi, formerly of the Iranian Canadian Congress (ICC) and now ED of the Instiute for Peace & Diplomacy, used the occasion to point out the effect of sanctions.
9/ Mr. Reza Marashi, formerly of NIAC, endorses Zarif's message and blames not the IRI, but the "lack of diplomatic engagement" between the US and the Iranian regime.
10/ Ms. Saman Tabasinejad on the Iranian Canadian Congress board (she is still there) claims that this is the "cost of war" and that we should focus on "no war with Iran." No mention of the IRGC or potential regime responsibility.
11/ Mr. Pouyan Tabasinejad, brother of the above mentioned Saman, on the Iranian Canadian Congress board at the time of the attack.
Focused on sanctions, blaming Ukrainian Airlines for taking off, blaming Trump and Iran's *civil* aviation authorites (not IRGC)
12/ I put this thread out partly for accountability, but partly so that the media & policymakers know who these people are and what positions they've advanced. There's a reason the West has gotten Iran so wrong for so long. They've been listening to people like this. /End
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۱/ دیروز نوشتم که سیاستی که برای دادخواهی در فردای پس از پیروزی انقلاب نیاز داریم به جای «نه میبخشیم و نه فراموش میکنیم» باید «کمیسیون حقیقت همراه با عفو و بخشش» باشد. در پاسخ به سوالات و انتقادات میخواهم که دربارهی این بیشتر توضیح دهم.
۲/ اول میخواهم درباره زندگینامه و پیشینه خودم نکاتی را یادآوری کنم. خانواده من با اعدام و شکنجه و زندان در دهه شصت از هم پاشیده شد. سالهای کودکیام به ملاقات تعدادی از بستگان شکنجهشدهام در اوین، گوهردشت و قزلحصار گذشت....
۳/ …و در ۲۰ سال گذشته، تلاش کردهام تا با قربانیان و خانوادههای بازمانده برای جلب توجه جهانی به جنایات رژیم همکاری کنم.
دلیل بازگویی پیشینهام این است که بگویم بیش از هر چیز خواهان محاکمهی کسانی هستم که خانوادهام را نابود کردند. کمیتهچیهایی که عزیزانم را دستگیر کردند،…
🧵۱. من واقعا اطلاع ندارم که اپوزسیون متحد خواهد شد و #ائتلاف_اپوزیسیون شکل خواهد گرفت یا نه. ولی اگر قرار باشد این اتفاق بیفتد قطعا باید برای آن برنامهریزی داشت.
در این رشته توییت به این پرداختهام که چه باید کرد که ائتلاف موثر باشد.
۲. بنظر من اپوزیسیون باید فعالیتهای پیش روی خود را در دو فاز مجزا ببیند: ۱- فاز انقلاب و ۲- فاز انتقال
۳. امروز به بررسی فاز اول میپردازم. ولی باور دارم که تصمیماتی که در فاز انقلاب گرفته میشود، به شدت بر فاز انتقال تاثیر خواهد گذاشت. (به عنوان مثال، یک انقلاب خشونتآمیز، دوره انتقال متفاوتی در پی خواهد داشت تا انقلابی خشونت پرهیز.
🧵* 1/Why we need an opposition coalition comprised of figures inside & outside Iran, and why we need it urgently: a message to leaders of the opposition, including those reluctant to take up the mantle
[* A translation of the thread below, for friends who requested it ]
2/ Everyone has their reasons for why a coaltion is necessary. I see three reasons for it. But before stating them, let me say that I don't think forming this coalition is a "political" (or, more accurately, "partisan") act. It is a civil act.
3/ I believe that b/c the goal of the coalition isn't to have one's preferred faction win power. It's not a left-wing or right-wing move. Its only purpose is to ensure that this regime is toppled in the most peaceful way possible so that Iranians can choose what comes next.
🧵۱/ چرا ما به ائتلافی از اپوزیسیون متشکل از چهرههای داخل و خارج از ایران نیاز داریم و چرا این نیاز فوری و اضطراری است: پیامی برای رهبران اپوزیسیون، بخصوص آنانی که تمایلی به پوشیدن ردای رهبری ندارند.
۲/ هر کس دلایلی برای ضرورت ایجاد ائتلاف در اپوزیسیون دارد. من سه دلیل عمده بر ضرورت چنین ائتلافی میبینم. اما پیش از بیان دلایلم، لازم میدانم تاکید کنم که به نظر من تشکیل یک جبهه ائتلافی کاری «سیاسی» یا دقیقتر بگویم «حزبی» نیست. بلکه یک کار مدنی است.
۳/ دلیل باورم این است که هدف این ائتلاف به قدرت رسیدن حزب مورد نظر شخص نیست. همچنین حرکتی در جهت طیف چپ یا راست سیاسی نیست. تنها هدفش این است که کمک کند رژیم جمهوری اسلامی به صلحآمیزترین راه ممکن سقوط کند تا مردم ایران بتوانند برای آینده پس از جمهوریاسلامی تصمیم بگیرند.
1/ A few days ago, I criticized @DokhiFassihian for her long-ago involvement with NIAC. But she's very open with her criticism now 👇 & a trusted friends in the human rights community tells me that she has aince been a solid voice for human rights protections in Iran, including..
2/... with respect to the establishment of the UN special rapporteur on Iran.
It's not my place, and I have no authority, to absolve anyone of anything. But my personal drive in talking about these issues has always been accountability, not vindictiveness.
3/ The goal should be to get people of good faith to genuinely recognize why their involvement with the #IranLobby was harmful and to take steps to rectify harms they may have caused.
Based on what I've been told and what I see, Ms. Fassihian meets that test.