Beezer Clarkson Profile picture
Oct 5, 2022 7 tweets 2 min read Read on X
We are frequently asked what drives #outperformance for a #VC

To answer this we created a database of enterprise vs consumer performance 📊to spot patterns & analyze returns

🧵to share high level findings, but to dig deeper, download the full report👇

🔗bit.ly/3Cf17Uv Image
First, let’s define a power law::

We mean that only a small percentage of returns is responsible for a large percentage of overall return value, either for a specific fund or the industry as a whole.
TL;DR: Both enterprise and consumer exits can produce power law returns, but the nature of them vary considerably.

3 Key Points 🔽 🔽 🔽
1️⃣ Portfolio value creation in enterprise tech is often driven by a cohort of exits, while consumer exit outperformance is highly concentrated and dependent on the top deals.
2️⃣ There are more B💲enterprise exits than B💲consumer exits, so there may be more opportunities for a 🦄 outcome in the enterprise space than consumer.
3️⃣ How (IPO vs M&A) as well as when a company (and then the VC) exits contributes significantly to value creation.
To dive into the data (plus more findings and awesome charts), download the full report here:

🔗 bit.ly/3Cf17Uv

#OpenLP

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More from @Beezer232

Sep 13, 2023
1/👑 Once upon a time, today's legendary venture funds were emerging managers…

Which is why today I’m excited to share that @SapphirePrtnrs is launching a new program to invest in emerging venture managers with a sole LP, @CalSTRS, the world's largest educator-only pension fund!

Why we are excited about this next chapter👇 🧵

As part of this new program, we are taking over the management of five existing CalSTRS “New and Next Generation Manager Funds,” representing $1.4B AUM.* Collectively, we have invested in 300+ emerging managers.

Our plan going forward is to invest ~$100M/year into emerging venture managers.🙌
Image
@SapphirePrtnrs @CalSTRS @natewcl @LauraLPThompson @isabel_bloch @EvanTarzian 2/ Since we started Sapphire Partners more than a decade ago, we’ve had conviction in EMs as a critical part of the venture ecosystem and a successful LP portfolio. We built our investment program to reflect and support this.
@SapphirePrtnrs @CalSTRS @natewcl @LauraLPThompson @isabel_bloch @EvanTarzian 3/ 80% of the US EMs we've invested in (Vintages I - III) have successfully raised subsequent funds, defying the industry average of 24%. Big shout out to what they've accomplished (Pitchbook data, U.S.venture funds 2012 - 2014).
Read 6 tweets
Mar 22, 2022
To reserve or not to reserve, that is the question… and a question we are asked frequently by #VCs.

The answer? It depends on your investing strategy, but TBD on results.

😉
#VCs take a couple different approaches in their initial check vs follow on strategies. Here’s what we see in our database ➡️

#OpenLP
First off - what is the rationale for optimizing for initial dollars into a company vs saving follow on dollars in ‘reserve’?
Read 16 tweets
Jan 4, 2022
Best wishes for 2022 everyone! 🎉

As we enter the new year, I wanted to share a bit of LP perspective.

We all know the venture market was on 🔥 in 2021, but how is that actually manifesting and what does that mean for how the proverbial table is being set for 2022?
Here’s what us LPs are seeing and some of the questions LPs are asking themselves going into 2022.

#OpenLP
1 - The average capital called in the 1st year of a fund is accelerating rapidly.

In 2021, our portfolio averaged 33% in terms of capital called in a fund’s first year, which implies an initial investment period well below two years.
Read 18 tweets
Nov 2, 2021
Hey GPs - In the last few weeks I’ve had multiple asks about emerging manager benchmarks/what we are seeing for 2019 (and other recent) vintages.

So here’s a quick 🧵 breaking down what we see in the case of 2019 venture funds and the greater LP context…

#OpenLP
Key point: 2019 funds, emerging or otherwise, are *really* new.

Stating the obvious here, but it’s worth reiterating.

In the olden days of venture, asking about benchmarks on funds <2 years old wasn’t a thing.
Cambridge specifically caveats that “research shows that most funds take at least six years to settle into their final quartile ranking.”

But what the heck...welcome to 2021! 😂
Read 18 tweets
Sep 7, 2021
It’s September - time for the annual run to raise/close out #VC funds before the end of the year. For many #GPs - this means reaching out to an LP who passed on a previous fund.
This thread deep dives into what to keep in mind as you circle back and reach out to #LPs that passed in the past (which I *do* recommend doing btw)👇

#OpenLP
(Note: Drawing inspiration from this wonderful thread by @dunkhippo33 on a similar dynamic when entrepreneurs are turned down by #VCs:)
Read 17 tweets
Mar 1, 2021
Lots of ink is spilled parsing differences b/w pre-seed vs seed vs early stage (etc…) investing. But some truths hold across all stages of venture investing! @alexiskold digs in here: startuphacks.vc/blog/7-truths-… #OpenLP
Truth 1. Venture outcomes are driven by a power law.

Power law is an immutable law of the universe, and that extends to #VC too. Most startups fail, but the biggest winners, when they happen, tend to be huge.

VC’s NEED 🦄’s (and decacorns!) to succeed.
Truth 2. Your Fund Size is Your Strategy

A fund's portfolio construction will depend on how much capital is under management.

This is why funds often specialize at a specific stage of investing (ie. <$50M fund = pre-seed/seed, $150-$300M fund = seed/series A, etc...).
Read 8 tweets

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