For the Tory neolibs that look to America as a role model of small government, ‘government off the back of people’ and ‘individual freedom’ it’s interesting to note that that US govt share of GDP is 45.3% vs the UK’s 44.6%.
So, the US is more of a nanny state than the UK?
Then think about the fact the US has a privately funded healthcare system which runs at 18% of GDP vs the UK’s 10% and it has worse clinical outcomes than the nationalised UK system. Further, inequality and mortality in the US are the worst in the developed economies
Of course, we must point out America has chosen to spend its money on guns and the UK on butter to paraphrase the ‘guns and butter’ analogy used by economists. Nevertheless, what these figures show is that in advanced, wealthy economies, governments play an enormous role
If government spending were to be slashed, it’s clear the economy would contract significantly. And, that is exactly what happened under Tory Cameron’s disastrous austerity - just as Keynesian economics predicts. So, @trussliz ‘s neolib policies aren’t going to help the UK.
What they will do is reduce economic activity and make ordinary people poorer. Slashing workers rights and cutting taxes for the richest won’t magic up growth if we have cut ourselves off from the biggest single market on the planet and the US won’t entertain a trade deal either
because of our NIP disaster and willingness to break an international agreement. What will drive growth in an increase in productivity, investment in Green energy (£1 Trillion opportunity), healthcare and education. Contrary to Tory economic orthodoxy, raising the
minimum wage and making decent welfare payments also boost growth - again all predicted and with a great track record by Keynesian economics. The #ToryVoodooEconomics solution is to do the exact opposite and the result will be further stagnation and further decline.
(I really do wish Twitter would post my tweets up in the order that I post them up!)
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A chart is worth a thousand words. The UK bounced back in 2021 from the 2020 pandemic lockdown induced contraction which was the worst in the G7 and then settled at 3.7% in 2022 - part of that the ‘hangover’ boost from the 2021 bounce back.
However, the UK’s average growth over the same period is the lowest in the G7 bar Russia (not shown) and the outlook is indeed dire. With inflation running at 10% (not the worst it should be added), the low growth only adds more misery to an already difficult situation.
The average growth rate over the period under consideration is just 0.6%. This is a stagnating economy. #Brexit has cost the UK 4% of GDP or a cobtrzction of £10 billion a year. The pre-Brexit bilateral EU<>UK trade was 470 billion Euros and UK exports to the bloc €200 billion
Suella Braverman: ‘Britain has a benefits culture problem’. Under the Tories, benefit costs have ballooned from £135 billion to £212 billion while poverty has soared. What’s going on?
Answer: Britain has an in-work poverty problem made worse by Tory policies and #Brexit. Period
Braverman and her ERG colleagues believe in small government - so no social security, no publicly funded healthcare etc. Tories claim their economic management over the last 12 yrs has taken Britain to full employment - 96% of ppl are in employment.
However, if these figures are correct, why has benefits expenditure (despite real world cuts) increased and like for like tax receipts declined? The answer is the economy has stagnated, as expected under austerity, and then we’ve had #Brexit and the pandemic