The energy revolution is unfolding live, much faster than most people realize. A thread based on the insurgent view of the energy transition of @RockyMtnInst and @KingsmillBond
In short: The fight against climate change is accelerating - look at the data and do the math
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In short: The fight against climate change is accelerating - look at the data and do the math
🧵
First, the building blocks of the energy revolution
>Solar as a primary energy source is 250% more efficient than coal
>A heat pump is 300% more efficient than a gas boiler
>An electric vehicle is 400% more efficient than an ICE
2/n
>Solar as a primary energy source is 250% more efficient than coal
>A heat pump is 300% more efficient than a gas boiler
>An electric vehicle is 400% more efficient than an ICE
2/n
The "debate" has moved a long way and is not where most people think: right now it's about how fast we're dumping fossil fuels (hint: much faster than most realize)
3/n
3/n
We've done this many times before: exponential growth of wind, solar and batteries will continue
4/n
4/n
All major economic sectors will experience tipping points this decade and move inexorably towards being 100% electric
That moment has already come for electricity, which is 35% of fossil fuel usage - and for light vehicles
5/n
That moment has already come for electricity, which is 35% of fossil fuel usage - and for light vehicles
5/n
Meanwhile: a) renewables have all the growth through 2030
>Rystad: solar PV capacity will increase eightfold from 0.8 TW today to 6 TW in 2030
>BNEF: EVs can grow 20-fold from 16M to 360M
>Forecasts of electrolyzer capacity are of up to 100 GW, up from 0.3 GW today
6/n
>Rystad: solar PV capacity will increase eightfold from 0.8 TW today to 6 TW in 2030
>BNEF: EVs can grow 20-fold from 16M to 360M
>Forecasts of electrolyzer capacity are of up to 100 GW, up from 0.3 GW today
6/n
b) Renewables are 100 times bigger than fossil fuels: the world has annual renewable flows of over 100 times fossil fuel supply and solar rooftops alone could supply us with all our electricity needs
7/n
7/n
c) dramatic policy shifts are everywhere around us
>Over 90% of the world by GDP has net zero targets, up from 6% in 2017
>50 countries and regions are planning to ban petrol cars
>The share of emissions covered by tax has increased fourfold in a decade to 25%
8/n
>Over 90% of the world by GDP has net zero targets, up from 6% in 2017
>50 countries and regions are planning to ban petrol cars
>The share of emissions covered by tax has increased fourfold in a decade to 25%
8/n
d) Tectonic shifts in the USA solidify and amplify the energy revolution
Three new bills invest throughout the technology adoption S-curve, encourage innovation, back multiple technological solutions, and embrace risk
9/n
Three new bills invest throughout the technology adoption S-curve, encourage innovation, back multiple technological solutions, and embrace risk
9/n
Result: Fossil fuel demand will shortly collapse
That's not wishful thinking: look at OPEC's recent move to cut oil output in defiance of US wishes. They (OPEC) know the good times are almost over and it's their dash for their last cash
That's not wishful thinking: look at OPEC's recent move to cut oil output in defiance of US wishes. They (OPEC) know the good times are almost over and it's their dash for their last cash
Must read source report and analysis, with thanks to @RockyMtnInst and @KingsmillBond for a very impressive and extensive piece of work : rmi.org/insight/the-en… #climate
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