2/ Available open-source evidence points to multiple potential launch locations, in part due to significant Russian activity before and after the Kramatorsk attack.
Data gathered from the morning of the strike indicates that several Russian missile instalments were active.
3/ However, there is one clear site that shows both smoke from where the launch occurred on 8 April on satellite imagery, & also matches footage filmed of missile launches: it's from a site next to an ash pond at the Zuhres power station, near the village of Shakhtne
4/ The images that line up with this launch site were uploaded only minutes before the first reports of strikes at Kramatorsk; it's a good candidate for the location of the launch.
The location can be seen below, relative to the area of the strike
5/ Further evidence archived shows the launch site, which matches the exact location of where the smoke plumes were seen in the @sentinel_hub imagery from 8 April. This footage was geolocated by CIR investigators however (the exact location has been withheld for safety reasons).
6/ This footage above, showing the missile launch, & filmed on the same day at approx the same time as the strike on the Kramatorsk train station, can be linked to the launch site seen in the @sentinel_hub satellite imagery from April 8 below ⬇️.
7/ The footage, showing the missile launch, was uploaded to Telegram at 10:25am Ukraine time, and was archived on the @waybackmachine (note time difference by two hours due to UK time archival of the web page). Screenshots show 2 clear smoke plumes from missiles being launched.
8/ A second location, lining up with images from group 1, was identified in a field just south of Khartsyzk.
9/ A false-colour rendering of this image, accentuating the near-infrared wavelengths, makes the source of the smoke plume clear as a burning field.
10/ We were able to use this same satellite imagery to identify a 3rd launch site related to activity observed a day earlier, on 7 April. Two images were published that day that showed similar rocket plumes to those seen before the Kramatorsk attack.
Here's the first:
11/ Using the same @sentinel_hub satellite imagery collected on 8 April, CIR was able to verify the location of this image as a field east of Shakhtarsk and South of Hirne.
12/ Analysis of this area, using the same satellite imagery collected on 8 April, revealed darkened areas of grass that were not present on a previous Sentinel-2 pass on 4 April: meaning these burn marks were likely created in the days between those dates.
13/ All three of these locations are well within Russian-occupied territory. The western most of these launch sites lies nearly 35 kilometres from the nearest Ukrainian-controlled territory since 2014.
14/ The @mod_russia denied responsibility for the Kramatorsk's strike on the train station by stating: “Tochka-U tactical missiles are used by Ukrainian Armed Forces only”. This was a lie.
15/ Footage shared on 11 July by Belarusian Hajun Project shows a Tochka-U marked with a ‘Z’ symbol in the town of Lutuhyne in Luhansk Oblast, heading west . Tochka-U systems have also been spotted in Melitopol .
16/ Despite Russia's denial of using Tochka-U missiles, content publicly shared on social media, collected and verified by CIR investigators, shows Russian Tochka-U missiles in Lutuhyne, Luhansk Oblast, a town which had already been under Russian occupation prior to 2022.
17/ Open source evidence indicates Russia was responsible for the attack on Kramatorsk that killed 59 civilians. "Another grim example of the deliberate targeting of civilians" - CIR co-founder @rwdburley
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Soldiers invade, but it’s bureaucrats who occupy—that’s the reality currently playing out in the occupied parts of the Kherson region, where the Russian invasion has been followed by a second assault by bureaucrats, bankers, commercial interests & law enforcement.
The Kremlin—and its arm in Kherson, the occupying authorities—are attempting to entice, persuade, compel, or if need be, violently force civilians in Kherson to accept Russian rule.
It has been six months since Russia invaded Ukraine, and we have documented, verified and investigated each step of the way as the Kremlin pursuits a senseless war on Ukraine.
On the outset, our Ukraine Witness archive currently sits at more than 11,000 entries of videos and photos, which are categorised, verified and analysed.
This archive is shared with justice, accountability, humanitarian and research groups to support them where it matters.
To build the database, we've been working with the open source community, which really shows the strength in collaboration to create the combined product of the database and map.
A big thanks to @bellingcat, @GeoConfirmed and to all of the analysts who helped along the way ✊
For the past four months @93Bcr & @Gralhix have been documenting what’s being said in Kremlin media and pro-Russian channels, specifically around content supporting Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. There’s a lot of it to look at, but one clear trend emerged.
There is a clear indication in many of these channels showing what appears to be manipulation of minds at the earliest of ages.
The apartments seen in the footage above are a series of buildings called the Lviv Quarter (Львівський квартал), located here: 50.462606, 30.487061. We have matched them to the satellite imagery as seen below.
Moments before the impact of this strike, this video was filmed showing a missile flying over apartment blocks in Kyiv's Svyatoshyns'kyi District. We geolocated the footage to this location: 50.409365, 30.400057 with the missile heading north east.
A Ukrainian military factory was bombed in Kyiv's east on the morning of April 16. How was it discovered? And who found its location?
Our new report shows how a pro-Kremlin Telegram group located the factory, and claimed responsibility for the bombing. info-res.org/post/killer-co…
Initial reporting from the April 16 bombing of the military vehicle repair factory in Kyiv shows that numerous people were injured, and some were killed. Source: gazeta.ua/ru/articles/ki…
A few days before the attack, a local media agency was at the factory filming how Russian tanks were repaired and transformed for use by Ukrainian military.