Here's a supercut of #WISen candidate Mandela Barnes (D) bragging about how he & #WIGov Tony Evers (D) worked to cut Wisconsin's prison population in half by releasing convicted felons back onto the streets of Wisconsin. 1/6
To meet their political goal of cutting Wisconsin prison population in half Evers & Barnes released murderers & rapist back onto the streets of Wisconsin. In 1st half of 2022 they were averaging granting early release to 2 murderers & rapist per week👇 2/ wisconsinrightnow.com/2022/10/11/eve…
#WIGov Tony Evers (D) appointees granted early release to a stranger who grabbed a UW-Eau Claire college student off the street & raped her and to a man who hacked a gas station clerk to death with a hatchet and blamed it on a fictional black suspects. 3/6
#WIGov Tony Evers (D) appointees also released from prison a man who swung a toddler wildly by his ankle, smashing the boy’s head like an “eggshell”; a man who plowed a car into a crowd, wounding 30 people & a man involved in the plastic bag murder of a well-known diner owner. 4/
#WIGov Tony Evers (D) appointees also released a serial rapist who crawled through home windows to terrorize women in Beloit, a stalker who executed a professor in the parking lot of a Country Kitchen restaurant and many others. 5/6
The release of these prisoners was a policy choice made by #WIGov Tony Evers (D) at the urging of his Lt Governor Mandela Barnes (D) who was one of WI's leading advocates of emptying prisons & setting criminals free. They did this on purpose & if re-elected will do it again. 6/6
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A week late, but let's do a thread on the Alabama VRA case and what it might mean for redistricting in 2024. The Supreme Court is expected to reinterpret the VRA--one way or another--next spring, and the Court's new guidelines will change the way states approach redistricting. 1/
Earlier this year, a lower court ordered Alabama to redraw its map (left), which has had one Black-majority district since 1992. Plaintiffs convinced the court that the VRA required Alabama to draw two Black-majority seats (right, for one example). 2/
SCOTUS has long had a 3-factor test (the "Gingles factors") to determine when a VRA district is required:
1. A compact district can be drawn that is at least 50%+1 of a min. group 2. The minority is politically cohesive 3. Whites bloc vote to defeat minorities' candidates
3/
It's amazing how some of the most damaging op-research against John Fetterman are just contemporaneous news reports about all the shady/possibly illegal stuff John Fetterman did while serving as Mayor of Braddock.
By separating the Assembly lawsuit from the Congressional & state Senate lawsuit the petitioners were able to get a re-draw for those 2 maps this year as opposed to having to operate this election cycle on the legislature's illegal gerrymandered map. 2/4
If NY's Assembly maps were ruled illegal when the House & state Senate maps were tossed the difficulty of redrawing all of NY's election districts in time could have prevented the court from ordering a re-draw this year & allowed the Legislature's gerrymander to stand for 2022.
Quick hits on the new NY Congressional map: this will realistically swing between 16D-10R and 20D-6R, with each party having a couple other longer-shot targets. The key changes from Monday are a safer Malliotakis seat and splitting Suffolk by North/South Shore instead of E/W.
After being tantalized with the possibility of a compact South Brooklyn seat, the court's final map is somehow even worse for the Orthodox Jewish community than the first draft. Boro Park is split precisely down the middle, eliminating its influence.
With the huge exception of South Brooklyn, everything else south of I-84 is about as clean and no-nonsense as you could ask for. But the Upstate lines are still a mess, as Cervas's attempt to draw a "competitive" #NY19 creates a seat that runs from Watertown to Niagara.
Here is the DRA link to the proposed changes the Harkenrider Petitioners have submitted to NY Congressional map proposed by Special Master Jonathan Cervas. The proposed changes would have 1 fewer split county be more compact on almost all measures👇 davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::…
The most important proposed changes in the Petitioners map is it undoes the possibly illegal cracking of the Orthodox Jewish community in south Brooklyn & converts the #NY10 "Bill deBlasio Opportunity" district into an Orthodox Jewish opportunity district.
The Harkenrider Petitioners also cleans up the NY Special Master split of Buffalo and draws a much cleaner and more compact #NY24.
#PASen is extremely unlikely to resolve tonight. Let's do a thread on the races you may have missed in the meantime! #NC1: Sandy Smith (R) vs. Don Davis (D); D's get preferred matchup in D+3, R-trending seat. #NC4: Valerie Foushee (D) wins Safe D open seat
#NC13: 26-year-old Bo Hines (R) and Wiley Nickel (D) advance in R+1 seat #PA6: Guy Ciarrocchi (R) gives GOP best shot in D+5, ancestral R seat #PA7: Lisa Scheller (R) barely leads in R+2 seat #PA12: Summer Lee (D) barely leads in open D+8 seat
#KY03: Morgan McGarvey (D) wins open Safe D seat #IDGov: Brad Little (R) romps over Trump-endorsed primary foe #ID02: Simpson (R) easily survives challenge #ORGov: Tina Kotek (D) and Christine Drazen (R) advance; R's get preferred matchup in 3-way general with Betsy Johnson (I)