Oliver Alexander Profile picture
Oct 12, 2022 12 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Russia has released what it claims are the x-ray images of the truck suspected of carrying the bomb that blew up the Kerch Strait Bridge.

According to the cargo manifest they also released it was carrying rolls of Acrylonitrile Butadiene Styrene edge banding
The truck and trailer visible in the X-ray images is not the same truck as is visible in the CCTV camera footage released showing the truck being inspected though.
The truck visible in the CCTV footage is an International ProStar with a double rear axle. The truck in the x-ray image only had one.
Additionally the spare tire on the trailer is also located incorrectly, not as far back as possible as is seen on the CCTV footage. The side bumper is also not visible on the x-ray.
So as of this moment we still have no idea what the cargo of the actual truck was.
This seems like an attempt to cover for the fact that their overhyped security at the bridge was infact as incompetent as the rest of the Russian military.

Releasing these images to try to show that if the truck was the cause that the explosives were well hidden.
It reality, the check we saw on the CCTV footage was probably the only check the truck underwent and a proper security screening may have revealed explosives.
I assume that the FSB will release images of the arrested suspects' Sims 3 collection again soon.
It appears that the x-ray was of this truck as it entered Russia from Georgia at the Upper Lars checkpoint.

As the truck on the bridge was an entirely new truck and trailer, that x-ray is meaningless in regards to what was actually in the truck.

The mystery gets weirder. This bill of lading was released along with the other documents and the image of the x-ray. At this time this document appears to be completely unrelated to the FSB narrative as route, origin, destination has nothing to with this shipment
I can also independently confirm that both the truck and driver from this document are alive and well.

It appears that no Russian officials x-rayed the suspected truck at any time and have resorted to using a random x-ray and bill of lading on file to provide "proof".
They needed an X-ray and Bill of Lading from a similar truck to hide their incompetence and the overall lavt of security checks at the bridge.

They then just seem to have picked this one at random to share as "proof" and hoped no one paid to close attention to the details

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More from @OAlexanderDK

Jan 29
🧵The past 12 hours have seen very significant U.S. Air Force movement indicating an operation against Iran has likely been approved:

After a day layover, GOLD flight of KC-46A tankers are now dragging 6x EA-18G Growlers to Spain, where they will likely continue on to Qatar. Image
A conga line of C-17s have today flown out of several bases in the U.S. heading for Europe and the Middle East.

This includes 9 C-17 flights from Fort Hood which are likely the final air defense assets being moved to the AO near Iran.
The E-11A BACN (Battlefield Airborne Communications Node) has flown to Al Udeid which brings one of the final critical assets into the AO near Iran Image
Read 7 tweets
Jan 24
🧵What does the video of the latest ICE shooting show us? A break down of what is visible:
First shots were fired by this officer as the person attempts to get back to his feet. The shots were fired into the man's back from the officer as seen in screenshot 2. Image
Image
Immediately after the first shots, the officer's scatter and the initial shooter fires several more rounds while backing up, as the man is lying motionless on the ground. Image
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Jan 2
🧵1/10: Since the last thread, several things have shifted at once. Liquidity is tighter, REPO use is higher, household stress is clearer, and fiscal pressure is rising. The system is still working, but on thinner margins.

📷: @evgen1232007 Image
2/10: REPO has crossed an important line. It no longer spikes and fades. It keeps stepping higher and staying there. Recent auctions near ₽4.7tn show banks now rely on the central bank as a permanent funding source.
3/10: At the same time, net system liquidity has fallen deeper into negative territory. This means REPO is replacing lost deposits, not smoothing temporary gaps. That makes the system more fragile.
Read 10 tweets
Dec 27, 2025
🧵1/12: Russia’s economy hasn’t collapsed, but it is suffering immensely. It still runs, but only because the central bank keeps it alive with constant REPO liquidity. What was once emergency support is now the daily operating system.

📷:@evgen1232007 Image
2/12: REPO usage shows the stress clearly. Trillions of rubles are borrowed week after week by the banks with no unwind. Banks aren’t smoothing short-term shocks anymore. They are refinancing theirs and the economy's survival on a rolling basis. Image
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Jun 28, 2025
Elvira Nabiullina is by far the most competent person in the Russian government and has almost single-handedly managed to keep the Russian economy afloat for the past year despite increasing pressure from above to change key policies. Image
She is however rapidly running out of black magic and the creative accounting required to continue her success. With Israel/Iran not causing the expected oil price surge, the record deficit is increasing and the methods of financing it are dwindling.
OFZs are being sold at record levels to state owned banks, but the high interest rate means the income is only just enough to cover the payments due on last year’s bonds.

The NWF’s liquid assets dipped below the government deficit last month further adding to the headaches.
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Jun 21, 2025
Summary of the significant evidence that the B-2s currently airborne are a strike package heading directly for Iran:

1. Immediate refuelling after departing from Whiteman Air Force Base indicates that the aircraft are carry close to their maximum payload.
If not an immediate strike, it is highly likely that the ordnance would have be pre-positioned at Guam or Diego Garcia with C-5 or C-17 transport aircraft in order to save the logistical headache of the additional aerial refueling and airframe stress.
2. If the B-2s continue onward to Iran they will arrive on target a few hours prior to opening of the Futures market at 6PM ET Sunday. This will give the Trump administration time to host a press briefing to calm the markets before they open.
Read 5 tweets

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