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Oct 12 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
So this is fascinating.
maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2022…

Greg Abbott leads Beto O'Rourke by only 4 points among registered voters in Texas.

But Abbott leads O'Rourke by 8 points among people who are DEFINITELY GOING TO VOTE.

It doesn't matter who you like if you don't definitely vote!
Likewise, in Utah, Evan McMullin is only 1 point behind Mike Lee among REGISTERED voters. But he’s 12 points behind among LIKELY voters.

Translation: it doesn’t matter who you’d rather see in office if you don’t get off your behind and VOTE.

centerstreetpac.com/utah-senate-le…
And looking at the #TXGov poll again, you can see the education gap among white voters at work again.

O'Rourke leads Abbott 49-47 (+2) among white voters with degrees.

But O'Rourke gets blown out by Abbott 27-66 (-39) among white voters without degrees.
maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/upl…
I never fail to be completely blown away and have my jaw hit the floor when I see this wide of a gap among one demographic group with educational attainment being the only difference. It's just astounding.

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More from @TheValuesVoter

TheValuesVoter Profile picture
Oct 12
I keep pointing out how education level seems to make a difference in the group of American voters who we have the most data on, white voters. Pollsters provide much more fine-grained data on this group of Americans than any other.

But what about regional differences? Image
Just as if you look at one demographic group and divide them up by attributes such as gender or education, you will often see different voting patterns, the same thing is true when you look at one demographic group and compare their voting patterns by where they live. Image
White non-Hispanic voters, as a group, nationally, tend to vote Republican. It's been that way for decades.

However, there are a higher percentage of counties in the Northeast with a 70% or higher white non-Hispanic population than in all the South. But they vote differently.
Read 10 tweets
TheValuesVoter Profile picture
Oct 12
There were 24,576 homicides in 2020. 19,384 of them (78.9%) were committed with a gun.

Here’s a question, though. How did the people responsible for those 19,384 killings get the gun they used to shoot and kill them?

Were they law-abiding citizens who passed background checks?
I don’t know. But I sincerely doubt that most of them were perfectly law-abiding citizens seeking to enjoy their Second Amendment rights passed firearms background checks, having done nothing to suggest they shouldn’t have them and then they just snapped and killed people.
How do the guns end up in the hands of killers? They don’t just fly into their hands from the firearms factory. They’re legally sold at least initially.

What happens between that first sale, presumably to someone who passed background, and whenever the criminal gets it?
Read 5 tweets
TheValuesVoter Profile picture
Oct 11
How do you explain to MAGA folks that a Constitutional Republic IS a Democracy? It’s sort of like trying to explain that an F-150 is an automotive vehicle.
For the confused people who keep replying with regurgitations of the “we’re not a democracy” argument …

Our Constitution says that the People directly elect our U.S. Representatives (Article I, Section 2, Clause 1).
And that the People directly elect our U.S. Senators (17th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution).
Read 5 tweets
TheValuesVoter Profile picture
Oct 10
Never assume anyone is racist - or assume anything else, for that matter. You CAN’T assess a person’s character based on demographics, where they live or the cadence of their speech. Never prejudge folks.

But when people, by their words, reveal they are racists, do believe them.
There are good and decent people everywhere. And in every group of people, wherever they are and whatever they look like.

But there are also people who harbor deep dislike of individuals they don’t even know, are proud of it and are resentful that they have to hide it.
People can change and there are a lot of people who have struggled with racial hostility or even hatred in the past who have repented and grown. And we need to accept the fact that people can sincerely and truly change. We’re not perfect and we can really grow.
Read 4 tweets
TheValuesVoter Profile picture
Oct 9
If only 2 voters in every precinct in Florida in the last midterm election, 2018, had voted against Rick Scott, Scott would not be in the U.S. Senate today.

If only 3 voters in every precinct in Florida in 2018 had voted against Ron DeSantis, he wouldn’t be Governor.
Sounds close? Sounds like history swung dramatically from one direction to another based on a few votes?

Well, get this: 46.4% of people who were eligible to vote in Florida in 2018 didn’t even bother to.

I’m sure some of them don’t like the outcome and are now complaining.
The Affordable Care Act, Onamacare, which the majority of the country now approves of, would not be law today if just THREE HUNDRED AND TWELVE fewer voters in Minnesota had voted for Al Franken in 2008.

It wouldn’t have gotten past a filibuster by Mitch McConnell.
Read 18 tweets
TheValuesVoter Profile picture
Oct 9
If we don’t have a government in which people choose their leaders instead of the leaders choose whether or not they will accept election outcomes, no other issue matters.

You know where gas prices are low? Russia! Want to live there now?
You know where inflation is low? It’s not that high in China. Want to live there?

(Part of me would like to see how the drama queens who lost their minds over being asked to wear masks during a deadly pandemic would deal with a place where they’re told when they can go outside)
And while we’re on the topic, crime’s pretty low in Saudi Arabia. Want to apply for a visa?
Read 5 tweets

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