For Swedes, this are is slightly larger than Skåne. If you are American, it's almost the size of Connecticut.
GSUA reported 83 shelling locations today.
FIRMS Data: 2022-10-12_19:31
Added 235 locations to kml
Filtered 0 locations by proximity to other fires
Removed 0 false positives
Dvorichne
Shellings and firms indicate the location of the frontline. It seems like the AFU still control the bridge head but is going on around Dvorichne.
Svatove
GSUA reported a shelling around Kovalivka today, and the AFU repulsed an attack in the area of Nevs'ke. Russian channels have claimed they recaptured some towns east of the oskil river. This is of course false.
This is how close the AFU is to Svatove.
Bakhmut - Donetsk
The I♥️🐐division in the east (yes that is the Russians) keep sacrificing cannon fodder on this section of the front line. The AFU repulsed attacks along this entire section.
Locations mentioned by GUSA: Novosadove, Ivangrad, , Soledar, Spirne, and Krasnohorivka. Mykolaivka, Bakhmutske, Bakhmut, Mayorsk and Pervomaiske.
I did not plot Mykolaivka, the order of mention by GSUA suggest a town which would change the front line a bit too much.
Kherson
I have not seen any evidence of change the last few days.
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🧵The situation in Vovchansk is interesting. The map shows geolocated positions the last 8 days h/t @UAControlMap. When the first rumors about an encirclement at the aggregate plant, I thought it was BS. But it appears there is some truth to it, supposedly 83rd VDV.
The extent of isolation and the amount of people is unclear. Once interesting thing is the Russians committed one of their best units, 2nd Special Purpose Brigade to fight in the town. We have mostly seen poorly trained and equipped units without mechanized support in this fight
According to RU channels UA withdrew from the Filtration Plant in the east and Zenith in the south. This is good news, since avoiding an encirclement should be a priority at this point. It seems the coke plant and Kvartal high-rises are the current UA strongholds.
RU forces continue to try to fully encircle Avdiivka pushing mainly from 3 directions.
It remains to be seen if Ukraine are planning to withdraw from the east side of the city, but I think it's a pretty good idea to do so.
UA might chose to fight for the coke plant and Kvartal for a bit, but the gap for the gloc is only 3km and consists of 2 windbreaks.
I frequently get questions like:
"Are you ok?"
"What happened?"
"Why did you stop posting?"
So here we go⬇️
Yes I'm ok.
(This post is sponsored by Ramzan Fragglerov)
Time.
I have less time to follow Ukraine. I usually spent about 3-4 hours a day to just make my daily threads and going through all the information channels. To be able to keep the information reliable, I have to put in 6-10h per day. I dont have that kind of time anymore.
I lost my best friend in March, so I had go get a new one. He is getting a lot of my attention now.
🧵During the last week, Ukrainian forces have advanced 32km2 in the Robotyne direction. They are expanding their penetration of the Surovikin and have reached the outskirts of Verbove and Verbove.