For Swedes, this are is slightly larger than Skåne. If you are American, it's almost the size of Connecticut.
GSUA reported 83 shelling locations today.
FIRMS Data: 2022-10-12_19:31
Added 235 locations to kml
Filtered 0 locations by proximity to other fires
Removed 0 false positives
Dvorichne
Shellings and firms indicate the location of the frontline. It seems like the AFU still control the bridge head but is going on around Dvorichne.
Svatove
GSUA reported a shelling around Kovalivka today, and the AFU repulsed an attack in the area of Nevs'ke. Russian channels have claimed they recaptured some towns east of the oskil river. This is of course false.
This is how close the AFU is to Svatove.
Bakhmut - Donetsk
The I♥️🐐division in the east (yes that is the Russians) keep sacrificing cannon fodder on this section of the front line. The AFU repulsed attacks along this entire section.
Locations mentioned by GUSA: Novosadove, Ivangrad, , Soledar, Spirne, and Krasnohorivka. Mykolaivka, Bakhmutske, Bakhmut, Mayorsk and Pervomaiske.
I did not plot Mykolaivka, the order of mention by GSUA suggest a town which would change the front line a bit too much.
Kherson
I have not seen any evidence of change the last few days.
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They decided to go and stand on this little piece of road right here.
57.923805, 27.679182
There is some kind of local deal where Estonians are allowed to drive over that little stretch of Russian land if they don't stop. news.err.ee/1609827133/ppa…
Rough infil/exfil path of the UVU shooter, based on photos, videos and eye whitness reports. Green arrows are guestimated paths between sightings.
In the start of this video, the UVU shooter can be seen walking towards the campus, at the end he can be seen running away from it.
40.28187, -111.71443
The next location is the tunnel going under the Campus drive to the parking garage
40.28014, -111.71459
Ukrainian Drone hit the Deng Xiaoping Logistics Complex which is part of the Alabuga Special Economical Zone. The Alabuga SEZ is where they produce the Shahed drone.
The DXLC is a railway logistics center being built in partnership with China to support the fast growing Alabuga SEZ.
At the actual SEZ they are expanding at a rapid pace, they are building on site housing and/or office space for tens of thousands of employees. Their goal is likely to significantly scale up the production of drones.
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House.
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor?