ChrisO Profile picture
Oct 13 10 tweets 2 min read
1/ Here's a summary timeline of the account I posted earlier from Armenian, Bulgarian and Russian media reports on the movements of the cargo that reportedly exploded on the Kerch Bridge to Crimea on 8 October (see below).
2/ I've marked the country from which each statement comes:
(A) Armenia
(B) Bulgaria
(R) Russia
3/ 1. Early August - cargo despatched from Odesa to Bulgaria. (R)
2. Cargo arrives at Ruse, Bulgaria via Romania and is transported to Burgas on the Black Sea (B)
3. Cargo departs Burgas on 25 September. (B)
4. Cargo arrives at Poti, Georgia on 26 September. (A)
4/ 5. Cargo is collected by Armenian/Georgian driver at Poti and arrives at Bagratashen border post, Armenia, at 14:53 on 27 September. (A)
6. Cargo is transported to Alliance Terminal, Yerevan and arrives there at 22:46 on 27 September. (A)
5/ 7. Cargo is inspected by Armenian customs on 29 September. (A)
8. Cargo receives certification for entry to the Eurasian Economic Union on 30 September. (A)
9. Cargo leaves Armenia at 00:38 on 1 October via Bagratashen border post and reenters Georgia. (A)
6/ 10. Cargo leaves Georgia on 5 October and enters Russia via the Verkhniy Lars checkpoint. (A/R)
11. Cargo arrives at Armavir, Krasnodar Krai, and is unloaded at a warehouse on 6 October. (R)
7/ 12. Cargo delivery contract is advertised on 6 October by Ulyanovsk-based company TEK-34 on Russia's ATI freight handling website. It's quickly accepted by Krasnodar driver Mahir Yusubov. Deadline for delivery to Simferopol, Crimea is set for 7 October, Putin's birthday. (R)
8/ 13. Yusubov collects cargo from Armavir between 12:00-16:00 on 7 October. (R)
14. Instead of going straight to Simferopol, Yusobov parks his truck in the village of Svetlyi Put around 23:06 and goes to sleep. (R)
9/ 15. Yusobov crosses onto the Kerch Bridge at 05:52 on 8 October and at 06:03 his truck explodes. (R) /end
The reported suspects, according to Russian media:

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Oct 15
1/ The Russian Telegram channel 'Cheka-OGPU' has posted a detailed account of the recruitment by the Wagner Group of 200 prisoners from the Rostov region and their subsequent massacre by the Ukrainians in their first combat engagement. Translation follows: ⬇️ Image
2/ [Posted on 13 September 2022]

A source told the Cheka-OGPU [Telegram channel] about the recruitment of prisoners for PMCs [Private Military Companies] in a high-security colony in one of the border regions.
3/ "We were told about the visit of the so-called 'musicians' [i.e. Wagner] the day before. The [guard] shift on duty was not let out of the zone [prison complex], the head of the colony was in charge out of schedule.
Read 28 tweets
Oct 14
1/ Mobilisation in Russia isn't bad for everyone. The Baza Telegram channel has identified one group that is making a good profit from the current situation: fortune-tellers. Translation follows. ⬇️
2/ "Because of the mobilisation, men are turning en masse to tarot readers and numerologists. But soothsayers refuse to look into their future so as not to "take the sin".

Over the past three weeks, men have begun to turn to tarot readers and numerologists more frequently.
3/ Basically, they are interested in their future in the context of mobilization and military operations - with the help of cards and numbers, potential conscripts want to know if they will return home alive, for example.
Read 5 tweets
Oct 14
1/ Armenia's State Revenue Committee (=customs service) has published an annotated video compilation showing the passage through Armenia of the cargo that reportedly exploded on the Kerch Bridge to Crimea on 8 October. Translation follows. ⬇️
facebook.com/watch/?v=48562…
2/ According to the Russians and the Armenians, the cargo – which comprised 22 tons of ABS plastic (and likely a concealed bomb) – was driven through Georgia to Yerevan, Armenia, and back through Georgia to the Russian border. (See thread below.)
3/ The cargo was transported through Georgia, Armenia and southern Russia in a DAF truck driven by an Armenian citizen, Artur Terjanyan. It was transferred to a different truck in Russia and subsequently exploded on the bridge.

The newly published video shows:
Read 15 tweets
Oct 14
1/ What's life like for newly-mobilised Russian troops in their barracks and temporary accomodation? Terrible, from all accounts, with no heating, no food, no sleeping bags, no hot water, no toilets, freezing tents, bedbug-infested mattresses and no training. 🧵 follows. Image
2/ The independent Russian media outlet Verstka reports on the experiences of mobilised men from Ufa and Chelyabinsk, two major cities in west-central Russia. The family of one mobilised man named Semyon spent about 40,000 rubles ($625) to equip him for the war.
3/ Semyon and others from the region were sent to a training centre in Elani near Yekaterinburg. To his shock, there were not enough beds and no food at all. He told his family that the only food the mobilised men had was what they had brought with them. Image
Read 18 tweets
Oct 13
1/ Mobilisation news: The Russian Telegram channel "Watch out for the news" (ON) reports that released convicts in Moscow are being told to come to offices of the Federal Penitentiary Service on various pretexts and handed mobilisation notices, even if they're not eligible. ImageImage
2/ "One of them, a category B inmate with an unexpunged criminal record for a particularly serious crime, was invited to the inspectorate under the pretext of a lecture by a psychologist. On the spot he was handed a summons directly to a collection point in the Museum of Moscow.
3/ If he refused to collect it, they threatened to call in operatives from the criminal investigation department.
Read 17 tweets
Oct 13
1/ The Russian media reports that 12 suspects in the 8 October attack on the Kerch Bridge to Crimea have been identified and 8 arrested. They all appear to be linked to a truck cargo that the Russians say caused the explosion (see below).
2/ Those accused of involvement include:

🔴 Samvel Azatyan, his sons Georgy and Artyom, as well as worker Yuri Postnikov. Samvel and Azatyan are co-owners of Agro-Business, a company in Armavir, Krasdonar region. Artyom is a lawyer in Simferopol, Crimea.
3/ The truck cargo was delivered to their warehouse by an Armenian trucker and taken to the bridge by a Russian trucker. According to the Russian authorities, Artyom called his father to ask him to accept the cargo for a day on behalf of a friend.
Read 9 tweets

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