It's hard to comprehend how stupid Russia's 'vengeance strikes' for the Kerch Bridge attack truly were, and this is outside of the blatant targeting of civilians. Let me break it down:
1.) They wasted what precious cruise missiles they have left against targets...
1.) They wasted what precious cruise missiles they have left against targets...
with no military value. Fighting a war they are losing, one in which they never achieved air superiority and cannot access the majority of the country with their manned air force, they use the only weapons that can reach these places against worthless targets so that it looks...
'strong' in terms of looney brutality back at home. The effects were even poor at that.
2.) This idiotic decision just massively accelerated Ukraine's acquiring a modern integrated air defense network made up of advanced western systems. Monumental fail. Russia must be in...
2.) This idiotic decision just massively accelerated Ukraine's acquiring a modern integrated air defense network made up of advanced western systems. Monumental fail. Russia must be in...
total denial of what the capabilities of Ukraine's air defenses will look like in the near future. Will missiles and drones still get through? Absolutely, many will. Defending against them is very challenging even with the best integrated air defense system (ADS), but the...
(correction *IADS) the foundation is being laid to give Ukraine a top-rate IADS that will make operating any Russian aircraft over the country and even beyond its borders very risky to its enemies and the idea of ever achieving air superiority over the country...
which is a fleeting dream now will become all but impossible in the future.
3.) This means Russia's fixed and rotary-wing capabilities, standoff weapons, and whatever it buys from Iran etc, will be less effective and will have less of an ROI as time goes on.
4.) The attacks...
3.) This means Russia's fixed and rotary-wing capabilities, standoff weapons, and whatever it buys from Iran etc, will be less effective and will have less of an ROI as time goes on.
4.) The attacks...
did not achieve any tactical or strategic goals. None. The war goes on and Ukraine has some damage to clean up and soals to morn, but beyond that, it was a hollow display that looked more like weakness than strength...
5.) Europe is now going to invest massively heavily in air and missile defense across the continent. Huge deal. Moscow hated Aegis Ashore. Now the possibility of Arrow 3 and patriot covering, etc providing an umbrella over more than a dozen countries is absolutely another level..
6.) With such massive investment will come even more rapid technological development hardening the crust of Europe's air defenses specifically against the Russian threat. Don't underestimate this, huge sums of money will be fueling what is coming...
7.) Once again, this attack just binds everyone closer together, including Kyiv and its many allies ready to pour even more advanced weaponry into the country and unites everyone further against a common foe. Allies working together is Russia's biggest enemy...
and they have been incredible architects at seeing the very thing they despise comes to pass.
So yeah, this campaign of standoff airstrikes in response to the Kerch Strait Bridge attack was just about anything but '4D chess.'
So yeah, this campaign of standoff airstrikes in response to the Kerch Strait Bridge attack was just about anything but '4D chess.'
And please excuse any errors and thank you for reading and sharing your opinions as always. Here are few follow ups worth reading:
Read in this order, all within last 24 hours or so:
thedrive.com/the-war-zone/i…
thedrive.com/the-war-zone/i…
And no, this thread is not about the end game of this conflict, a debate about the policies of countries supporting Ukraine, or if negotiations should occur or not. It's about how bizarre this response was on a military level & how badly it worked against the perpetrators of it.
Annnnd hot off the digital press: thedrive.com/the-war-zone/u…
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