1/ Armenia's State Revenue Committee (=customs service) has published an annotated video compilation showing the passage through Armenia of the cargo that reportedly exploded on the Kerch Bridge to Crimea on 8 October. Translation follows. ⬇️ facebook.com/watch/?v=48562…
2/ According to the Russians and the Armenians, the cargo – which comprised 22 tons of ABS plastic (and likely a concealed bomb) – was driven through Georgia to Yerevan, Armenia, and back through Georgia to the Russian border. (See thread below.)
3/ The cargo was transported through Georgia, Armenia and southern Russia in a DAF truck driven by an Armenian citizen, Artur Terjanyan. It was transferred to a different truck in Russia and subsequently exploded on the bridge.
The newly published video shows:
1️⃣ Video about cargo transportation by means of a vehicle of DAF brand, [registration] XS317SS registered in the Republic of Georgia, attached to a KRON brand trailer, number plate VV088U
2️⃣ Entry to the Republic of Armenia (Bagratashen checkpoint), 27.09.2022 at 14:56. [Driver Artur Terjanyan – in the red shirt – is seen here presenting his documents to an Armenian customs officer.]
3️⃣ X-ray examination, "cleared" status is given
4️⃣ Departure from the Bagratashen checkpoint, 27.09.2022 at 17:00
5️⃣ Arrival at Alliance Terminal [Yerevan], 27.09.2022, at 22:43
6️⃣ Inspection on 29.09.2022, at 16:10 to 16:20
7️⃣ Inspection on 30.09.2022, from 14:46 to 15:22
8️⃣ [At this point the cargo was photographed.]
9️⃣ Departure from Alliance Terminal, 30.09.2022, 16:16
🔟 Arrival at Bagratashen checkpoint (export), 01.10.2022, at 00:12
1️⃣1️⃣ Passed X-ray examination at the Bagratashen customs point department, 01.10.2022, at 00:30
1️⃣2️⃣ Exit from the Republic of Armenia, de facto border crossing (Bagratashen checkpoint), 01.10.22, at 00:48
/end
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1/ Why is Russia so vulnerable to Ukraine's mid-range drone attacks? Russian drone developer Alexey Chadayev says that it's due to an ongoing and unresolved series of Russian failures in developing new interceptor drones and anti-drone capabilities. ⬇️
The balance of the war has shifted significantly in the enemy's favour, not because of any problems on our part at the front—the same positional dragging continues there, essentially."
3/ "Problems have arisen in the rear—due to the exponential increase in the number and capabilities of deep strikes and middle strikes, as well as the focused pressure on our logistics, especially fuel and energy infrastructure.
1/ Russia faces "tectonic events" in the near future due to Ukraine's seizure of the initiative in the war, which presages an "impending disaster", according to a gloomy commentary by Russian journalist and warblogger Maxim Kalashnikov. ⬇️
2/ Kalashnikov draws attention to the convergence of several unfavourable trends for Russia – economic, military and industrial – which he says are seriously threatening a Russian war effort that is faltering and weakened by chronic corruption, inertia, and backward-thinking.
3/ He writes:
"We are on the eve of a new upheaval. Anyone who studied dialectical and historical materialism ... knows that the number of changes always leads to a qualitative leap. Or a collapse.
War in early summer 2026 is the threshold of the latter. What do we have?"
1/ The explosion in Moscow this morning killed Colonel Damir Davydov, head of the procurement department of the Main Missile and Artillery Directorate of the Russian Ministry of Defense, according to VChK-OGPU. ⬇️
"The BMW X3 in which Damir Davydov, head of the Main Missile and Artillery Directorate [GRAU] of the Russian Ministry of Defence, was blown up today belongs to Davydov himself. He purchased the used car in 2024 from a businessman in the Vladimir region.
3/ "More than 15 years ago, Davydov headed the Central Testing Technical Bureau at the 51st Arsenal of the Main Missile and Artillery Directorate of the Russian Ministry of Defense, located in the Vladimir region.
1/ Russian journalist and blogger Anastasia Kashevarova is baffled and upset by Russia's apparent helplessness in the face of Ukraine's drone campaign. "They're fighting us, and we're wanking our limp dicks," she complains. "Guys, what are you doing?" ⬇️
"The enemy is loading UAVs with all sorts of destructive elements. The enemy doesn't care what they use to kill you, as long as it kills you. The enemy is hitting everything that moves on the roads."
3/ "The enemy doesn't give a damn about the elderly, children, women, or Ukrainian politics—the more Russians die, the better.
The enemy is begging other countries for weapons. The enemy is ready to crawl on their knees just to be given weapons to kill Russians.
1/ The Russian Navy is being condemned as "unteachable" by Russian warbloggers following a Ukrainian attack on an ammunition depot, which is said to have destroyed 5,000 tons of ammunition. They say that the Navy has learned nothing from the war. ⬇️
2/ High-resolution satellite images from before the strike show massive amounts of ammunition being stored in the open air at the 15th Arsenal of the Russian Navy in Petergof, Leningrad region. This Soviet-style practice has led to repeated disasters at Russian Army depots.
3/ As 'Alex Parker Returns' comments, "The ammunition was stored outdoors, so triggering a detonation using drones was no problem. Pypa [Putin], here are the results."
1/ Igor 'Strekov' Girkin must die, says another Russian warblogger. His missives of doom are not universally welcomed by Russia's 'angry patriots', who don't always appreciate the ideological commitments which underlie his criticisms of the Russian war strategy. ⬇️
2/ Girkin has repeatedly issued warnings about Russia's failing strategy in Ukraine, and the consequences thereof, along with criticisms of the Russian leadership. He is currently in prison for his criticisms, but this doesn't seem to have deterred him.