1/ Armenia's State Revenue Committee (=customs service) has published an annotated video compilation showing the passage through Armenia of the cargo that reportedly exploded on the Kerch Bridge to Crimea on 8 October. Translation follows. ⬇️ facebook.com/watch/?v=48562…
2/ According to the Russians and the Armenians, the cargo – which comprised 22 tons of ABS plastic (and likely a concealed bomb) – was driven through Georgia to Yerevan, Armenia, and back through Georgia to the Russian border. (See thread below.)
3/ The cargo was transported through Georgia, Armenia and southern Russia in a DAF truck driven by an Armenian citizen, Artur Terjanyan. It was transferred to a different truck in Russia and subsequently exploded on the bridge.
The newly published video shows:
1️⃣ Video about cargo transportation by means of a vehicle of DAF brand, [registration] XS317SS registered in the Republic of Georgia, attached to a KRON brand trailer, number plate VV088U
2️⃣ Entry to the Republic of Armenia (Bagratashen checkpoint), 27.09.2022 at 14:56. [Driver Artur Terjanyan – in the red shirt – is seen here presenting his documents to an Armenian customs officer.]
3️⃣ X-ray examination, "cleared" status is given
4️⃣ Departure from the Bagratashen checkpoint, 27.09.2022 at 17:00
5️⃣ Arrival at Alliance Terminal [Yerevan], 27.09.2022, at 22:43
6️⃣ Inspection on 29.09.2022, at 16:10 to 16:20
7️⃣ Inspection on 30.09.2022, from 14:46 to 15:22
8️⃣ [At this point the cargo was photographed.]
9️⃣ Departure from Alliance Terminal, 30.09.2022, 16:16
🔟 Arrival at Bagratashen checkpoint (export), 01.10.2022, at 00:12
1️⃣1️⃣ Passed X-ray examination at the Bagratashen customs point department, 01.10.2022, at 00:30
1️⃣2️⃣ Exit from the Republic of Armenia, de facto border crossing (Bagratashen checkpoint), 01.10.22, at 00:48
/end
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R: So, the boys called your damn committee. They said, we're not in Ukraine, can you believe this? We're 'on exercises'.
W: Damn, yes, we know. But we wrote to all departments, no one cares!
@wartranslated 2/ R: They didn't send you the corpses either, and unlikely to send in the nearest future.
W: Didn't send what?
R: The dead. And there's loads of them, both from Lebedyansky [district] and from Lipetsk [oblast].
W: Damn. Igoryok phoned, he said you have nothing to eat.
@wartranslated 3/ R: There isn't, I agree, there's no food at all. Those who have no money eat the fucking sprouted grain from fields. And they brought us convicts from prisons...
W: And?
R: They were taken somewhere far in front. And we're sat here like barrier troops.
1/ Why did two Tajiks apparently shoot at least 27 newly mobilised Russian troops at the Soloti training centre in Belgorod region, causing at least 11 deaths? Much is still unclear about the incident, but I'll make some testable predictions.
2/ I predict that in the next few days we'll learn:
🔺 The Tajiks were recruited within the last 2 weeks (possibly sooner)
🔺 They were mobilised from a big city like Moscow or St Petersburg
🔺 They were previously in low-income manual jobs
🔺 They were detained from a hostel
3/ Here's why I think this may be the case.
The Russian authorities have been increasingly indiscriminate in recruiting men in the big cities, including Moscow and St Petersburg. I posted only a few days ago that hostels were being raided.
1/ The Russian Baza Telegram channel reports another example of how mobilisation is affecting Russia's economy: it's ruining the market for Moscow's established strippers, while the partners of mobilised men are taking up stripping to make ends meet. Translation follows:
2/ "Against the backdrop of mobilisation, attendance at strip clubs in the capital has plummeted significantly. Men have become much less likely to go there.
3/ After the mobilisation was announced, Moscow's strip clubs saw a severe drop in customers, and because of this, they have already started to see a noticeable drop in revenues, representatives of several venues in the capital told Baza.
1/ A group of relatives of mobilised men from Fokino in Bryansk oblast have published a video appealing to Vladimir Putin to bring their men back from Ukraine. They say the men have been sent to war with no training and have been robbed of their uniforms by NCOs. 🧵 follows.
2/ The relatives say that "our guys are being thrown onto the front line unprepared ... without military training". The men were robbed by their NCOs, who "take everything away from them, [even] their uniforms, everything".
3/ They say that the men signed up to defend Bryansk, not go to the front. They complain there was no medical commission (=examination) prior to deployment and no proper training. The mothers have been getting calls for help from their sons.
1/ The #Blyatskrieg continues: newly mobilised Russian troops have spent two days waiting outside the gates of a mobilisation base in Maikop because someone screwed up their paperwork. Transcript follows (h/t @wartranslated):
2/ "14 October, blyat, of 2022. This is how spending their time for two days now are the mobilised from Anapa and Krasnodar Krai in general. Basically, they screwed up the paperwork so much that not one unit is accepting us.
3/ I'll talk about Anapa specifically, which representative sent us to the distribution point in Krasnodar. They didn't put any necessary stamps that would lead us to be sent to the unit in Sevastopol. So we were brought to Maikop.
1/ The Russian Telegram channel 'Cheka-OGPU' has posted a detailed account of the recruitment by the Wagner Group of 200 prisoners from the Rostov region and their subsequent massacre by the Ukrainians in their first combat engagement. Translation follows: ⬇️
2/ [Posted on 13 September 2022]
A source told the Cheka-OGPU [Telegram channel] about the recruitment of prisoners for PMCs [Private Military Companies] in a high-security colony in one of the border regions.
3/ "We were told about the visit of the so-called 'musicians' [i.e. Wagner] the day before. The [guard] shift on duty was not let out of the zone [prison complex], the head of the colony was in charge out of schedule.