Svatove
Wargonzo reported AFU advances from Petropavlivkain the direction of Kup'yans'k.
Kraken reported liberation of Kyslivka and Kotlyarivka, there was also a video with the AFU in Krokhmal'ne yesterday.
I have previously posted about humanitarian aid being sent to Petropavlivka. Based on this I'm going to say Pishchane and Petropavlivka are most likely liberated.
Bakhmut
The Russians are constantly shelling the area. There are reports of accumulating RU units and equipment in the area.
Pro RU Grey Zone reports the AFU is rotating troops.
Based on this and many more indicators, I believe both the AFU and RuAF are preparing for an attack on Bakhmut.
This attack will most likely come from the south east.
I expect the RuAF will try to reach the two supply roads and envelop Bakhmut.
The AFU repulsed attacks in the area of Odradivka, Ivangrad and Bakhmut.
Donetsk
RuAF are still desperately looking for the road to Dinpro which they claimed they would open up after they captured Pisky. I'm not sure they actually captured Pisky yet.
The AFU repulsed attacks around Vesele, Nevelske and Opytne.
Kherson
The AFU offensive has come to a halt here.
Exactly what is going on around Mylove is unclear to me.
The AFU repulsed attacks around Sukhyi Stavok and Nova Kam'yanka.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
They decided to go and stand on this little piece of road right here.
57.923805, 27.679182
There is some kind of local deal where Estonians are allowed to drive over that little stretch of Russian land if they don't stop. news.err.ee/1609827133/ppa…
Rough infil/exfil path of the UVU shooter, based on photos, videos and eye whitness reports. Green arrows are guestimated paths between sightings.
In the start of this video, the UVU shooter can be seen walking towards the campus, at the end he can be seen running away from it.
40.28187, -111.71443
The next location is the tunnel going under the Campus drive to the parking garage
40.28014, -111.71459
Ukrainian Drone hit the Deng Xiaoping Logistics Complex which is part of the Alabuga Special Economical Zone. The Alabuga SEZ is where they produce the Shahed drone.
The DXLC is a railway logistics center being built in partnership with China to support the fast growing Alabuga SEZ.
At the actual SEZ they are expanding at a rapid pace, they are building on site housing and/or office space for tens of thousands of employees. Their goal is likely to significantly scale up the production of drones.
The reason the confidence is low, is a lack of data. They simply dont have enough information to know yet. Desplite that, the US President proclaims complete destruction, an assesment likely based more on his whishes than any intelligence.
Furthermore, they are trying to supress any discussion about this and might actually prevent the DIA to do their job properly, they know a negative report will not be precieved well by the White House.
Hegseth also tells a story which does not align with reality. We have all seen the pictures. There isnt a mountain of rubble. Hegseth says he have seen it all, and i wonder if it was during his time as prison guard or if it was during his time as a instructor?