Mark Hertling Profile picture
Oct 15 13 tweets 5 min read
My friend, Australian MG (ret) Mick Ryan (@WarintheFuture), has written a magnificent article on those leading Ukraine's Army.

Highly recommend it!

Hoping Mick won't mind, but I'd like to add some thoughts (& 1 critique). 1/14

engelsbergideas.com/essays/a-tale-…
Mick describes the actions of Generals Valeriy Zaluzhnyy & Andrii Kovalchuk, and Col-Gen Oleksandr Syrskiy and how those will go down in Ukraine's military history (similar to Eisenhower, Bradley & Montgomery on D-Day).

Aggressive, adaptive, innovative...a new breed. 2/
In April, @politico did a great piece on Zaluzhnyy, saying he is part of a "new generation of Ukrainian officers who cut their teeth in the grinding eight-year war in Donbas and...deployed to training ranges across Europe to drill with NATO forces." 3/

politico.com/news/2022/04/0…
I don't know Kovalchuk & Syrskiy, but I did meet then-Colonel Zaluzhnyy on 1 of those "NATO training events" (a @USArmyEURAF sponsored event called "Rapid Trident" at Yavoriv training area).

He was commanding UA's 51st Separate Mech Brigade.

media.defense.gov/2018/May/03/20…
4/
Zaluzhnyy - and a few other colonels - were introduced to me by then-Chief of Ukrainian Ground Forces, Col-Gen Henadii Petrovich Vorobiov.

I wrote about my friend Henadii, the late COL-GEN Vorobiov, in a @BulwarkOnline article in March. 5/ thebulwark.com/i-commanded-u-…
Col-Gen Vorobiov was a visionary.

When appointed the Chief of Ground Forces on November 18, 2009, his goal was to transform the Ukrainian Army.

He had several points of effort: new doctrine, modern training, getting rid of the old guard & developing the new. 6/
Henadii's career started in the Soviet Army -before Ukraine gained its independence in 1991- and told me he needed to rid the UA of all vestiges of the Soviet Model.

His top priority was leadership development: character, standards, ethos, initiative, dedication to Ukraine. 7/
As I say in the Bulwark, he focused on getting rid of corrupt senior officers (from the Soviet period), while training a new corps of senior officers & developing his NCOs.

Every time we came together, like a proud father he would introduce me to "the future of Ukraine." 9/
Then-Colonel Zaluzhnyy -the 51st Mech Bde Commander - was one of those "up and comers."

I remember his big smile, his obvious love of his soldiers, and his "bold" sense of humor.

I wish I had a picture of our meeting. 10/
In reading Mick's article, it became obvious to me that the 3 Ukrainian Generals were the equivalent of 3 of the best...Ike, Brad, Monty.

But it's also obvious how Henadii was a lot like GEN George C. Marshall...keeping names of potential leaders in a little black book. 11/
I'm really glad @WarintheFuture wrote his piece.

Understanding the role of "personalities" is important.

Positivity, energy, caring, character, values, a vision for the future, building a bench of talent...all contribute to success.

The leader traits we all need. 12/
But having a vision, creating standards, adapting...and most importantly teaching, training, counseling, mentoring, coaching in order to build a bench for the future...are required for success.

Actively finding & developing those with potential. 13/
So thanks, Mick.

Oh...the 1 critique?

"Corrosion." Since that word isn't doctrinally defined or universally understood, I believe we ought stick with the operational art construct of "sequencing battles to achieve specific strategy objectives."

That's what UKR did. 14/14

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More from @MarkHertling

Oct 17
Today, Putin continued to commit war crimes. This time incorporating newly purchased Iranian drones to attack civilians.

Many are commenting how to counter these weapons so it might be best to understand the Iranian Shahed 136 (Russia calls them Geran-2).

A new 🧵 1/10
The Iranian Shahed 136 (we'll call it G2 for RU Geran-2) is termed a "loitering munition" drone, according to the Oryx handbook.

It's one of dozens of Iranian drones of myriad types.

Shahed translates as "witness," Geran is the RU for "geranium." 2/

oryxspioenkop.com/2019/09/the-or…
Facts about the G2:
-It has a published range of 2500 km (about 1500 miles). That's suspect.
-It weighs about 200 kg (≈ 450 lbs)
-The payload (explosives) are estimated to be ≈ 50-60kg (130 lbs of explosives, smaller than the lightest 250 lb bombs delivered by aircraft). 3/ Image
Read 10 tweets
Oct 10
Planners analyze & assess:
-enemy launch platforms (land, sea, air)
-potential "tracks" (the anticipated route the enemy missile will take)
-what they enemy wants to hit
-the critical thing being defended (e.g., airfield, port, infrastructure, specific building, forces). 9/ Image
Here's the point:
It's impossible to line a bunch of ADA systems long the 2500-mile Ukrainian border & expect them to stop missiles launched from RU subs in the Azov, or dropped from RU bombers circling 1500 miles away, or land-based RU missile batteries in RU. 10/ ImageImage
What makes it even harder:
RU is not aiming at "critical infrastructure" or "military targets," (which, in an area like Ukraine would require literally hundreds of ADA systems), RU is striking random civilian targets - to include playgrounds! - all over the country. 11/ Image
Read 7 tweets
Oct 10
After the strike on the Kerch Bridge, it was expected Putin would respond.

He did so by launching 84+ missiles & dozens of drones against Ukrainian civilian targets (an initial assessment) and making more threatening speeches.

A 🧵on that & thoughts on air defense. 1/
As I said in a weekend tweet, the operational strike on the Kerch Bridge resulted in strategic implications.

-Militarily, it affects RU's belief they have a secure line of communication for logistics in a safe area.
-It also negatively affects RU ability to move forces. 2/ Image
RU is now constrained in using the bridge for transport & resupply, and now must use either ship transport to Berydansk or the M4 road from Rostov.

Informationally the RU's - & RU's in Crimea - know about the strike. They can't understand how this "defended" asset was hit. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Oct 8
Wanna know what it's like to be a battlefield commander & have a bridge blow up in your area of operations?

Having had that experience, under different circumstances, it is not a good day in Moscow.

A "war story" 🧵 that will provide some insight into the Kerch attack. 1/
In 2007, I assumed command of the storied @1stArmoredDiv. We would deploy to N. Iraq as "Task Force Iron," and become Multinational Division North, conducting operations in the 7 northern provinces.

Before going, we spent some time training...to include "staff training." 2/
The Division conducted 'battle drills' exercises with our staff at the simulation center at Grafenwoehr, a state of the art facility in S. Germany. During a two week period we practiced everything we thought we might see in combat under the watchful eye of trainers. 3/
Read 17 tweets
Oct 5
Interestingly, RU State TV now claiming it will take “two months” to get recently mobilized to the front lines in Ukraine.

Great. But will they be able to do anything? No friggin’ way.

RU may be able to train the basics of soldiering in 2 months.

But…. 1/5
-You can’t “train” combined arms warfare, especially for large formations, in 2 months
-You can’t “teach” Generals, Colonels and new Sergeants the tenets of leadership in 2 months
-You can’t “fix” a supply system that has been plagued with corruption for years in 2 months. 2/
-You can’t “coordinate” tankers, infantry, arty, intel, engineers, air forces & others for battlefield operations in 2 months
-you can’t “counter distrust” soldiers have in RU govt in 2 months
-after 60,000 dead soldiers, you can’t reverse the loss felt by RU mothers & wives 3/
Read 5 tweets
Oct 3
A 🧵on recent media stories about US "planning reaction to Putin's potential use of nuclear weapons."

While Americans may have concerns about how Ukrainian successes may cause Putin to do more dumb things (use nukes), the US does extensive planning on these (& other) issues. 1/
I just discussed this - in shorter terms - with @AlisynCamerota on @cnn.

Some background:

1. @DeptofDefense, the Joint Staff, and several combatant commands develop "contingency plans" based on strategic guidance for all threats. See chart ⬇️ 2/
COCOM Contingency Plans (at the bottom) are written based on @POTUS & DOD guidance. Those span a spectrum of actions the military must execute, including humanitarian efforts, combat, & deterrence of/reaction to enemy use of nuclear weapons.

There's even a planning manual.⬇️3/
Read 11 tweets

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