Wed morning election update:
- majority of tracks have D leads, no movement to Rs (see below):
- Biden approval up 9-10 pts
- D candidates w/big cash advantage
- Another big #EarlyVote day in GA
- R crossing over to support Ds across US
It's a close election - keep working hard!
- majority of tracks have D leads, no movement to Rs (see below):
- Biden approval up 9-10 pts
- D candidates w/big cash advantage
- Another big #EarlyVote day in GA
- R crossing over to support Ds across US
It's a close election - keep working hard!
https://twitter.com/SimonWDC/status/1582331367182172161
Here's @JoyAnnReid and I talking about this close, competitive election on @MSNBC last night.
Was a good conversation. Check it out.
Was a good conversation. Check it out.
https://twitter.com/thereidout/status/1582512912836349952
Media friends,
if you suggest that higher gas prices are benefiting Republicans, it is incumbent upon you to complete the thought - this will once again put the GOP leadership in debt to hostile foreign powers, one of which is committing genocide on European soil.
Thank you.
if you suggest that higher gas prices are benefiting Republicans, it is incumbent upon you to complete the thought - this will once again put the GOP leadership in debt to hostile foreign powers, one of which is committing genocide on European soil.
Thank you.
Turns out that gas prices are coming down, rapidly, despite the efforts of Russia and Saudi Arabia.
https://twitter.com/WHCOS/status/1582696720739074048
Make sure you follow my friend @tbonier. He's putting out terrific, timely analysis on the actual voting and registering we are seeing now, data that is far more important than polling.
This new post is very encouraging for Dems.
This new post is very encouraging for Dems.
https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/1582546804633001984
Echelon Insights (@EchelonInsights) predicts a 13% (!!!!!) increase in turnout this year from the record breaking 2018 midterm.
Another reason why this election is nothing like previous midterms, because it is nothing like previous midterms. It is 2022.
Another reason why this election is nothing like previous midterms, because it is nothing like previous midterms. It is 2022.
https://twitter.com/EchelonInsights/status/1582360333100150785
Early vote numbers in GA are mindblowing, off the charts. Two days of general election record level turnout. We've not seen anything like this in a midterm. It's a BFD.
https://twitter.com/MSNBC/status/1582703877878472704
Another good follow is Professor Michael McDonald (@ElectProject). He is putting out fresh early vote data daily. See below.
For where we have party reg data, so far Dems lead in the early vote 53-30. It's encouraging.
For where we have party reg data, so far Dems lead in the early vote 53-30. It's encouraging.
https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/1582552767830577153
A note on current polling dynamic.
One piece of what we're seeing is many really bad GOP candidates moving from low 40s to 45-47 - something that was always going to happen.
Q for Rs isn't their floor but their ceiling. In last 3 elections it's been 47%. Can they beat that?
One piece of what we're seeing is many really bad GOP candidates moving from low 40s to 45-47 - something that was always going to happen.
Q for Rs isn't their floor but their ceiling. In last 3 elections it's been 47%. Can they beat that?
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