Nick Reece Profile picture
Oct 19 7 tweets 3 min read
Interestingly, the real interest rate differential in favor of the dollar peaked in May of this year and has dropped sharply since:

#dxy #g4 #dollar #interestrates Image
Similarly, terms of trade in favor of the dollar peaked in June of this year: Image
The dollar is currently significantly overvalued: Image
With every other G10 currency undervalued relative to the dollar: Image
At this stage, dollar likely primarily driven by ongoing global growth slowdown: Image
Perhaps to peak around the time that credit spreads peak: Image
And if/when Fed swap line uptake jumps: Image

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