Here is an example - TSLA earnings met but there were some problems so stonk dropped.
But it dropped relative to YESTERDAYS currencies.
Today?
DXY is down a bit.
Notice what happened to the stonk relative to currency.
But it dropped relative to YESTERDAYS currencies.
Today?
DXY is down a bit.
Notice what happened to the stonk relative to currency.
This morning, of course another #SWAP
The euro strengthened(1)
The dxy weakened (2)
I expect a pop in the indexes (3) on the open
its all currencies doing this
But keep an eye on the 30y (blue) its going up. Everything follows the 30y eventually. A swap coming to correct today
The euro strengthened(1)
The dxy weakened (2)
I expect a pop in the indexes (3) on the open
its all currencies doing this
But keep an eye on the 30y (blue) its going up. Everything follows the 30y eventually. A swap coming to correct today
In between everything else in this "market" you are working against:
a) cb money games
b) corp malfeasance
c) supply shock
d) rising interest rates
e) vol sellers slurping theta
f) fintwit "influencers"
g) cnbc shills
a) cb money games
b) corp malfeasance
c) supply shock
d) rising interest rates
e) vol sellers slurping theta
f) fintwit "influencers"
g) cnbc shills
And know that i am of the strong opinion you must do swaps, ideally iron condors or at least butterfly's to protect from theta decay and rot of vix due to swaps.
See here - notice the vix vs dxy
Its not TIGHT correlation but there seems to be influence.
U don no when swaps hit
See here - notice the vix vs dxy
Its not TIGHT correlation but there seems to be influence.
U don no when swaps hit
Another observation - say you have a loan on a 10m office building.
you got the loan at 2%.
Well that sucks rn cause interest rates are way higher.
So, you want the arb on the interest rate - so you "swap" interest rate w/ higher, and they pay lower.
Banksters will bankster.
you got the loan at 2%.
Well that sucks rn cause interest rates are way higher.
So, you want the arb on the interest rate - so you "swap" interest rate w/ higher, and they pay lower.
Banksters will bankster.
sorry - spreads
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