nbd, just huge increases in how many american young adults are high or tripping, i'm sure it's fine and progress is leading us to a joyful utopia nida.nih.gov/news-events/ne…
since 2011, the share of young adults using marijuana *almost every day* has almost doubled, from 6% to 11%.

even if marijuana has no longer term effects, that's still a huge increase in the total person hours spent essentially useless to others or to your own self-improvement
increasingly when i talk to groups of young people and they ask about keys to success i really emphasize they need to stop doing all the drugs and the drinking and the porn and the games. stop. maybe low-to-moderate doses are in principle fine, but you have no capability to stop.
daily marijuana and daily alcohol

more mj, but not less alcy
good news is less cigarettes. so, longer lives.

bad news is, nicotine at least makes you smarter and you lose weight. marijuana just makes you dumb and hungry.
in fact on some level, our shift from a nicotine society to a cannabis society seems like something somebody should have a #take about
other drugs, no major change.
but seriously, i think almost everybody wildly overestimates their own level of self-control and agency, and that virtually everything we do is habit forming. so have good habits, not bad ones.
seriously though! i'm a great case of this! which is why i deleted twitter from my phone!
quick note: the evidence marijuana does short term harm to cognitive ability is growing. long term remains hard to say due to little data. sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
but over time as we get more evidence, the science is showing *more* harms of marijuana, not fewer.
effects are more severe among adolescents: link.springer.com/article/10.100…
I get the case for making marijuana legal. But it should still be socially stigmatized! It's bad!
Alcohol too! However much you drink, drinking less is almost always better.
i would suggst the difference issocial media is at least social!

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More from @lymanstoneky

Oct 20
i guess my thing is that it seems okay for traits shared by (depending on your survey method and definitions) 80-93% of the population to be publicly identified as normal
i don't want public school teachers to say anything to make kids with gay parents to feel bad about themselves or their family.

but at some point we all have to accept we live in a society and societies have norms! they do! you can't avoid that! and norms reflect what is normal!
although norms do shape behavior, it's obviously also true that norms emerge from behavior being highly typical and dominant. an overwhelming majority of the population is heterosexual. so in public settings where a general audience must be targeted, it's reasonable to target het
Read 20 tweets
Oct 20
hold on here.

The proposal on offer was a huge increase in direct supports to families especially via energy subsidies, alongside a plan to boost the UK's domestic industrial energy capacity.

How is that not exactly what the state-friendly new right wants?
Yes there were tax cuts, but they walked the tax cuts back and markets didn't forgive them.

It's the energy subsidies that the markets hate.
I'm not sure how it's a big win for post-fusionist folks to see a conservative leader smashed by global finance for trying to directly support family energy costs, and then have to resign because she tried to remove regulations holding back domestic industry.
Read 4 tweets
Oct 19
Big plagues mostly happen in urban societies with long-distance trade.

Urban, trading societies are also the basis of wealth generation and economic growth.
One wonders about a theory of modernity someting like this:

Numerous societies started to hit the scale and complexity to get serious growth and innovation.

But that same scale made them sensitive to plagues.
It wasn't until there was a large scale society *which also had broad-spectrum immunity to all the available plague options* that modern economic growth could take off.
Read 4 tweets
Oct 19
the weird thing about caffeine is that you can get it from so many places.

like a dozen plant species all *independently evolved* their caffeine production capabilities! pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pn…
other plants have cannabinoids, but none anywhere within even the same ballpark as marijuana. basically, for THC, you use marijuana. exceedingly few other plants produce it in meaningful quantities.
same story with opium apparently; pretty much just the poppy plant makes it in useful quantities.
Read 7 tweets
Oct 19
a recent fairly credible poll showed that about 65% of Russians supported Putin continuing the war, but 75% showed they would support him ending the war.
that is to say, i think Putin actually could just announce that they're withdrawing from everywhere except Crimea. it was worth a shot but it didn't go well, and now they're returning to a defensive posture, and he'd be fine domestically
and since it's unfathomable that the west would maintain its current aggressive and costly posture towards Russia if Russia did withdraw, it's likely he'd be able to hand out some goodies from it too.
Read 11 tweets
Oct 19
Researcher choices create estimate variability similar in size to standard errors themselves, and peer reviewers essentially create effects through their feedback. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
The metascientific literature is more and more converging on one inescapable fact:

Biased science (clustered p values, massaged results, whatever) isn't MOSTLY a product of bad research.

It's a product of the scientific community on a meso scale.
Good research gets fed into the review and editorial process and is turned into bad research as reviewers filter out dispreferred findings.
Read 6 tweets

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